Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong has entered a consolidation stage of its long-term Secular Bull Market.  Southbound buying declined in October from an all time high in the previous month.</li>
<li>Dividend yield and low volatility factors outperformed in October as growth and momentum factors declined.  </li>
<li>The technology and healthcare sectors declined in October, while the energy and utility sectors gained during the month.</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong has entered a consolidation stage of its long-term Secular Bull Market.  Southbound buying declined in October from an all time high in the previous month.
Dividend yield and low volatility factors outperformed in October as growth and momentum factors declined.  
The technology and healthcare sectors declined in October, while the energy and utility sectors gained during the month.


BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Market Update (November 5)

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 19th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, Beigene, China Pacific Insurance, Duality Biotherapeutics, Xiaomi, Tencent, ICBC, Great Wall Motor.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 19th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, Beigene, China Pacific Insurance, Duality Biotherapeutics, Xiaomi, Tencent, ICBC, Great Wall Motor.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Sep 19th): Alibaba, Beigene, China Pacific Insurance

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Although lower interest rates will benefit the technology sector more, many investors will still opt for high-yield stocks to protect their income stream.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cnooc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:175:1" rel="noopener">CNOOC Ltd (883 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-lung-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:49:1" rel="noopener">Hang Lung Prop (101 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-hongqiao-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1909:1" rel="noopener">China Hongqiao (1378 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hengan-international-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29:1" rel="noopener">Hengan Intl Group (1044 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/henderson-land-development-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:376:1" rel="noopener">Henderson Land (12 HK)</a> are the top 5 high-yield HSI constituents.</li>
<li>Mainland China banks no longer made the list, but <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/industrial-and-commercial-bank-of-china-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1119:1" rel="noopener">ICBC (H) (1398 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-of-china-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:656:1" rel="noopener">Bank Of China Ltd (H) (3988 HK)</a> remain attractive at 5.7% and 5.6%, respectively.</li>
</ul>


Although lower interest rates will benefit the technology sector more, many investors will still opt for high-yield stocks to protect their income stream.

CNOOC Ltd (883 HK), Hang Lung Prop (101 HK), China Hongqiao (1378 HK), Hengan Intl Group (1044 HK), and Henderson Land (12 HK) are the top 5 high-yield HSI constituents.
Mainland China banks no longer made the list, but ICBC (H) (1398 HK) and Bank Of China Ltd (H) (3988 HK) remain attractive at 5.7% and 5.6%, respectively.


HK Strategy: Time to Revisit the Yield Story

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The HSCEI serves as a benchmark to reflect the overall performance of the top 50 "Mainland China" securities listed in Hong Kong.</li>
<li>The official index changes and indicative weights for the June 2025 index rebal event will be announced on Friday 16th May 2025.</li>
<li>We continue to expect zero index changes for June 2025 but we estimate there to be capping flows of US$396mn one-way.</li>
</ul>


The HSCEI serves as a benchmark to reflect the overall performance of the top 50 "Mainland China" securities listed in Hong Kong.
The official index changes and indicative weights for the June 2025 index rebal event will be announced on Friday 16th May 2025.
We continue to expect zero index changes for June 2025 but we estimate there to be capping flows of US$396mn one-way.


Quiddity Leaderboard HSCEI Jun25: US$396mn One-Way; Announcement Tomorrow

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>The review period for the June rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI</a> ended on 31 March, the results will be announced on 16 May and will be implemented on 6 June.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pop-mart-international-group-l" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29016:1" rel="noopener">Pop Mart International Group L (9992 HK)</a> could be added to the index while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunny-optical-technology-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13363:1" rel="noopener">Sunny Optical Technology Group (2382 HK)</a> could be deleted from the index.</li>
<li>There are other stocks with big flows due to a change in the FreeFloat-Adjusted Factor (FAF) methodology for Secondary Listings that will be implemented from the rebalance in June.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the June rebalance of the HSCEI ended on 31 March, the results will be announced on 16 May and will be implemented on 6 June.

Pop Mart International Group L (9992 HK) could be added to the index while Sunny Optical Technology Group (2382 HK) could be deleted from the index.
There are other stocks with big flows due to a change in the FreeFloat-Adjusted Factor (FAF) methodology for Secondary Listings that will be implemented from the rebalance in June.


HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Pop Mart (9992 HK) Could Replace Sunny Optical (2382 HK)

Hong Kong

China Resources Power Holdings Company Limited is a power generation company. The Company invests, develops, owns, and operates coal-fired power plants in China.

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China Resources Power (836 HK)

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Market Update (November 5)

Hong Kong has entered a consolidation stage of its long-term Secular Bull Market. Southbound buying declined in October from an all time high in...

David Mudd

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Sep 19th): Alibaba, Beigene, China Pacific Insurance

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, Beigene, China Pacific Insurance, Duality...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Strategy: Time to Revisit the Yield Story

High-yield stocks like CNOOC, Hang Lung Prop and Henderson can protect income stream despite lower interest rates favouring the tech sector. ICBC...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard HSCEI Jun25: US$396mn One-Way; Announcement Tomorrow

NetEase (9999 HK), Baidu (9888 HK), and Trip.com Group (9961 HK) are likely to see their free float-adjusted factors get revised upwards and...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Pop Mart (9992 HK) Could Replace Sunny Optical (2382 HK)

Pop Mart could replace Sunny Optical in the index. There will be inflows for NetEase, Trip.com and Baidu due to a FAF methodology change. Pop Mart...

Brian Freitas

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BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Market Update (November 5)

Hong Kong has entered a consolidation stage of its long-term Secular Bull Market. Southbound buying declined in October from an all time high in...

David Mudd

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Sep 19th): Alibaba, Beigene, China Pacific Insurance

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, Beigene, China Pacific Insurance, Duality...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Strategy: Time to Revisit the Yield Story

​High-yield stocks like CNOOC, Hang Lung Prop and Henderson can protect income stream despite lower interest rates favouring the tech sector. ICBC...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard HSCEI Jun25: US$396mn One-Way; Announcement Tomorrow

NetEase (9999 HK), Baidu (9888 HK), and Trip.com Group (9961 HK) are likely to see their free float-adjusted factors get revised upwards and...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Pop Mart (9992 HK) Could Replace Sunny Optical (2382 HK)

Pop Mart could replace Sunny Optical in the index. There will be inflows for NetEase, Trip.com and Baidu due to a FAF methodology change. Pop Mart...

Brian Freitas

High-yield stocks like CNOOC, Hang Lung Prop and Henderson can protect income stream despite lower interest rates favouring the tech sector. ICBC...