HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>China may bring ahead quota for special purpose bond issuance in 2023 to 2H22. This may potentially at Rmb1.5trn (US$220bn), which will provide big boost to the economy.</li>
<li>For 5M22, the three most important areas of spending of local government bond proceeds are urban construction and industrial park, social services and transport infrastructure.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-state-construction-int-l-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10038:1" rel="noopener">China State Construction Int'l (3311 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anhui-conch-cement-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:159:1" rel="noopener">Anhui Conch Cement (914 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-railway-group-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:264:1" rel="noopener">China Railway Group (390 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-conch-venture-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19943:1" rel="noopener">China Conch Venture (586 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anta-sports-products-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10261:1" rel="noopener">Anta Sports (2020 HK)</a> are the top picks.</li>
</ul>


China may bring ahead quota for special purpose bond issuance in 2023 to 2H22. This may potentially at Rmb1.5trn (US$220bn), which will provide big boost to the economy.
For 5M22, the three most important areas of spending of local government bond proceeds are urban construction and industrial park, social services and transport infrastructure.

China State Construction Int'l (3311 HK), Anhui Conch Cement (914 HK), China Railway Group (390 HK), China Conch Venture (586 HK) and Anta Sports (2020 HK) are the top picks.


China Stimulus: These Are the Key Beneficiaries

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

In 1998, before the US and China entered into Permanent Normal Trade Relations with China in 2000, the US Congress enacted a law requiring the Clinton Administration to publish a list of Chinese companies in the US which did business with the People's Liberation Army (Public Law 105-261, Section 1237), and a "Communist Chinese military company" was defined in that law as any company named in to Defense Intelligence Agency documents from 1990 and 1995 and "any other entity owned or controlled by the PLA and engaged in providing commercial services, manufacturing, or exporting."That law basically lay dormant until last year when the Pentagon launched a review of such companies following the Trump White House's labelling of China (and Russia) a "revisionist" power in its first National Security Strategy <a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/NSS-Final-12-18-2017-0905-2.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">report</a> in 2017. The goal was to investigate and warn about supply-chain vulnerabilities. The Department of Defense published a list in June 2020 of 20 companies which were "Qualified Entities". It updated the list in late August 2020. The former Secretary of Defense was ousted several days ago and the new Secretary of Defense is now responsible for the list. There is, as of last night, an Executive Order by the White House blocking US 'persons' investment in any of the names mentioned - a list now 31 names long.More below on the impact.

In 1998, before the US and China entered into Permanent Normal Trade Relations with China in 2000, the US Congress enacted a law requiring the Clinton Administration to publish a list of Chinese companies in the US which did business with the People's Liberation Army (Public Law 105-261, Section 1237), and a "Communist Chinese military company" was defined in that law as any company named in to Defense Intelligence Agency documents from 1990 and 1995 and "any other entity owned or controlled by the PLA and engaged in providing commercial services, manufacturing, or exporting."That law basically lay dormant until last year when the Pentagon launched a review of such companies following the Trump White House's labelling of China (and Russia) a "revisionist" power in its first National Security Strategy report in 2017. The goal was to investigate and warn about supply-chain vulnerabilities. The Department of Defense published a list in June 2020 of 20 companies which were "Qualified Entities". It updated the list in late August 2020. The former Secretary of Defense was ousted several days ago and the new Secretary of Defense is now responsible for the list. There is, as of last night, an Executive Order by the White House blocking US 'persons' investment in any of the names mentioned - a list now 31 names long.More below on the impact.

Trump's Executive Order on Chinese Military Companies

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-China in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Xinjiang Daqo, TENCENT, MEITUAN, TONGWEI, XIAOMI, PDD, NTES.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-China in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Xinjiang Daqo, TENCENT, MEITUAN, TONGWEI, XIAOMI, PDD, NTES.


MS-China Index Earning Revision (May): Xinjiang Daqo, TENCENT, MEITUAN, TONGWEI, XIAOMI, PDD, NTES

ASEAN (Indo) & China-focused. Ex-Deputy HoR UBS.

Johannes Salim, CFA

<ul>
<li>Our Global Reflation Pulse Check indicates the global reflation theme remains intact.</li>
<li>Earnings and economic growth in the US and Europe have accelerated in particular.</li>
<li>China risk is manageable; in fact, we are supportive of recent Chinese government emphasis on reform over growth.</li>
<li>Indo has seen some political reform setbacks.</li>
<li>We continue to prefer ASEAN financials, China information technology, Sino-ASEAN consumer discretionary, and Sino-ASEAN infrastructure. </li>
</ul>In this note, we would like to do…


Our Global Reflation Pulse Check indicates the global reflation theme remains intact.
Earnings and economic growth in the US and Europe have accelerated in particular.
China risk is manageable; in fact, we are supportive of recent Chinese government emphasis on reform over growth.
Indo has seen some political reform setbacks.
We continue to prefer ASEAN financials, China information technology, Sino-ASEAN consumer discretionary, and Sino-ASEAN infrastructure. 
In this note, we would like to do…

Sino-ASEAN Strategy: Is There No Stopping This Bull Run? - Part II

<ul>
<li>A longer term implication of Trump-Xi meeting is that US-China trade relations could be (much) smoother than many have anticipated.</li>
<li>A Fuyao Glass case illustrates that a win-win solution for US-China trade relations is for real.</li>
<li>Global reflation trade is alive and well; for China market, we recommend technology, consumer discretionary, and infrastructure plays.</li>
</ul>With the first official 2-day meeting between the US President Donald Trump and China President Xi Jinping kicking off today, we would like…


A longer term implication of Trump-Xi meeting is that US-China trade relations could be (much) smoother than many have anticipated.
A Fuyao Glass case illustrates that a win-win solution for US-China trade relations is for real.
Global reflation trade is alive and well; for China market, we recommend technology, consumer discretionary, and infrastructure plays.
With the first official 2-day meeting between the US President Donald Trump and China President Xi Jinping kicking off today, we would like…

China Strategy: (Much) Smoother US-China Relations Ahead?

Hong Kong

China State Construction International is a comprehensive construction and infrastructure investment enterprise. It specializes in building construction, civil engineering, foundation and marine works, prefabricated construction, and curtain wall engineering across Hong Kong, Mainland China, Macau, and internationally. The company was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.

China State Construction International (3311 HK)

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China State Construction International (3311 HK)

China Stimulus: These Are the Key Beneficiaries

Potential massive special purpose bond issuance by local governments in 2H22 (brought forward from 2023) will provide a much-needed boost to the...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Trump's Executive Order on Chinese Military Companies

The White House announced an Executive Order prohibiting "US persons" from "providing capital" to a list of "China Military Cos" which has been...

Travis Lundy

MS-China Index Earning Revision (May): Xinjiang Daqo, TENCENT, MEITUAN, TONGWEI, XIAOMI, PDD, NTES

We analyzed MS-China's consensus for May 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in Xinjiang Daqo, TENCENT, MEITUAN, TONGWEI, XIAOMI, PDD, NTES.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Sino-ASEAN Strategy: Is There No Stopping This Bull Run? - Part II

Our Global Reflation Pulse Check indicates the global reflation theme remains intact. Earnings and economic growth in the US and Europe have...

Johannes Salim, CFA

China Strategy: (Much) Smoother US-China Relations Ahead?

A longer term implication of Trump-Xi meeting is that US-China trade relations could be (much) smoother than many have anticipated. A Fuyao Glass...

Johannes Salim, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)