Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

IShares Bitcoin Trust ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).</li>
<li>Short-Term support on the SPX is at 6100-6150, 6028-6059, and the 20-day MA, with additional supports at 5804-5854 and 5700-5785.</li>
<li>We view any pullbacks to the these supports as buying opportunities, though we do not expect there to be another test of 5700-5785 any time soon.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).
Short-Term support on the SPX is at 6100-6150, 6028-6059, and the 20-day MA, with additional supports at 5804-5854 and 5700-5785.
We view any pullbacks to the these supports as buying opportunities, though we do not expect there to be another test of 5700-5785 any time soon.


Bitcoin Breaking Out; Bullish Outlook Intact; Many Areas Breaking Out or Bottoming: XLY, XME, KRE ++

Technology augmented investing

Lazarus Goh

Augmenting fundamental investing with technology

Open Diligence

We aim to a) increase the efficacy of investment processes with technology and b) utilize alternative data to gain an additional perspective on equity names

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>We scanned through all company filings in the US to find companies that have exposure to the electric vehicles (EV) value chain, be it electric car and equipment makers, EV charging grid builders, EV charging equipment makers, thermal insulator producers (to keep batteries cool), and IoT players with an electrical vehicle angle, among others.</p>

We scanned through all company filings in the US to find companies that have exposure to the electric vehicles (EV) value chain, be it electric car and equipment makers, EV charging grid builders, EV charging equipment makers, thermal insulator producers (to keep batteries cool), and IoT players with an electrical vehicle angle, among others.

Autos - "Electric Vehicles" Thematic Exposure and Where to Find Them

<p>Despite the bulls still being in control, we have several ongoing concerns and we cannot rule out the potential for a pullback. Below we highlight developments that are inconsistent with a major bottom in equities that suggests the broad equity market is not yet out of the woods.  In fact, during today's action, the 2760 support level on the S&amp;P 500 briefly held but ultimately gave way. With the SPX holding below 2760 today, we are looking for downside targets of 2650 first, and then potentially 2470 if that fails to hold.</p>

Despite the bulls still being in control, we have several ongoing concerns and we cannot rule out the potential for a pullback. Below we highlight developments that are inconsistent with a major bottom in equities that suggests the broad equity market is not yet out of the woods.  In fact, during today's action, the 2760 support level on the S&amp;P 500 briefly held but ultimately gave way. With the SPX holding below 2760 today, we are looking for downside targets of 2650 first, and then potentially 2470 if that fails to hold.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Several Indicators Suggest a Pullback Likely

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Nicholas Tan

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-leong-asia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6087:1" rel="noopener">Hong Leong Asia (HLA SP)</a> is looking to raise up to US$114m in a primary offering. </li>
<li>This is a large deal to digest, representing 28.8 days of ADV and 6.3% of shares outstanding.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Hong Leong Asia (HLA SP) is looking to raise up to US$114m in a primary offering. 
This is a large deal to digest, representing 28.8 days of ADV and 6.3% of shares outstanding.
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Aequitas: Hong Leong Asia Placement - Large Deal to Digest but Continues to Ride Tailwinds

Guangxi Yuchai Marine and Genset Power Co Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

Guangxi Yuchai Marine and Genset Power Co Ltd (GYMGP HK)

Guangxi Yuchai Marine and Genset Power Co Ltd

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guangxi-yuchai-marine-and-genset-power-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46371:1" rel="noopener">Guangxi Yuchai Marine and Genset Power Co Ltd (GYMGP HK)</a> is a power generation and marine engine company looking to raise at least ~US$100m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>It designs, develops, manufactures and sells power generator engines, marine engines, power generator sets and engine components.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the firm's past performance.</li>
</ul>



Guangxi Yuchai Marine and Genset Power Co Ltd (GYMGP HK) is a power generation and marine engine company looking to raise at least ~US$100m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
It designs, develops, manufactures and sells power generator engines, marine engines, power generator sets and engine components.
In this note, we look at the firm's past performance.


Aequitas: Guangxi Yuchai Marine and Genset Power Pre-IPO - Largest Power Engine Provider in China

Singapore

China Yuchai International Limited is a Bermuda investment holding company that, through its subsidiary, Guangxi Yuchai Machinery Company Limited, manufactures and sells a wide range of light-, medium-, and heavy-duty engines for various vehicles, industrial, marine, and power generation applications. It also develops electrical and hybrid powertrain solutions. The company was established in 1993 and is headquartered in Singapore.

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China Yuchai International (CYD US)

Bitcoin Breaking Out; Bullish Outlook Intact; Many Areas Breaking Out or Bottoming: XLY, XME, KRE ++

Bitcoin Breaking Out; Bullish Outlook Intact on $SPX $QQQ $IWM; Many Areas Breaking Out or Bottoming $XLY $XME $KRE $KBE $JETS $ITB $XBI $TAN...

Vermilion Research

Autos - "Electric Vehicles" Thematic Exposure and Where to Find Them

Which companies have exposure to the electric vehicle value chain? We programmatically scanned through all US annual reports to determine...

Lazarus Goh

U.S. Equity Strategy: Several Indicators Suggest a Pullback Likely

Despite the bulls still being in control, we have several ongoing concerns and we cannot rule out the potential for a pullback. Below we highlight...

Vermilion Research

Aequitas: Hong Leong Asia Placement - Large Deal to Digest but Continues to Ride Tailwinds

Hong Leong Asia (HLA) is looking to raise up to US$114m in a primary offering. In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal...

Nicholas Tan

Aequitas: Guangxi Yuchai Marine and Genset Power Pre-IPO - Largest Power Engine Provider in China

Guangxi Yuchai is a power generation and marine engine company looking to raise at least ~US$100m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we...

Nicholas Tan

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