Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>Lots of Jobs eliminated by Large Tech firms. Stable Mediatek-Qualcomm market share in Mobile. Foundry Top-10: 5-4-3nm still booming, Mature nodes still lagging.</li>
<li>Samsung multiple troubles. HBM3e still not qualified, losing iPhone OLED share, US CHIPS Act subsidies gone, Exynos 2500 delayed, Smartphone forecasts lower  </li>
<li>Intel new CEOs admit they don’t have an AI roadmap – Gaudi 3 failed, next-gen Falcon Shores is a learning opportunity… but 18A process on track (for 2027?).</li>
</ul>


Lots of Jobs eliminated by Large Tech firms. Stable Mediatek-Qualcomm market share in Mobile. Foundry Top-10: 5-4-3nm still booming, Mature nodes still lagging.
Samsung multiple troubles. HBM3e still not qualified, losing iPhone OLED share, US CHIPS Act subsidies gone, Exynos 2500 delayed, Smartphone forecasts lower  
Intel new CEOs admit they don’t have an AI roadmap – Gaudi 3 failed, next-gen Falcon Shores is a learning opportunity… but 18A process on track (for 2027?).


Tech News This Week: Samsung Multiple Negatives. Intel Facing Reality. TSMC, Mediatek.

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

<ul>
<li>Rubrik, cybersecurity company and leader in the segment of enterprise backup and recovery software solutions, delivered a high quality beat and raise in 3QFY25.</li>
<li>Stock indicated up 20%+ during regular trading session on heavy volume. Rubrik raised guidance for FY25 total revenue to $861M at the midpoint, implying ~37% growth.</li>
<li>Moreover, the company generated positive FCF, achieved strong growth at scale and surpassed $1B+ in subscription ARR, a big milestone.</li>
</ul>


Rubrik, cybersecurity company and leader in the segment of enterprise backup and recovery software solutions, delivered a high quality beat and raise in 3QFY25.
Stock indicated up 20%+ during regular trading session on heavy volume. Rubrik raised guidance for FY25 total revenue to $861M at the midpoint, implying ~37% growth.
Moreover, the company generated positive FCF, achieved strong growth at scale and surpassed $1B+ in subscription ARR, a big milestone.


Rubrik 3QFY25 Wrap: Solid Outlook, Improving FCF and $1B+ In Subscription ARR

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

<ul><li>Cisco Systems, Inc. recently reported its first quarter results for fiscal year 2025, showcasing numerous strengths as well as areas to watch closely.</li><li>The company's revenue for the quarter reached $13.8 billion, sitting at the high end of their guidance range, though it marked a 6% decline year-over-year due to the previous year’s elevated backlog shipments.</li><li>The strength across Cisco's lines of business was evident in their recurring revenue streams, which now account for 57% of total revenue.</li></ul>

Cisco Systems, Inc. recently reported its first quarter results for fiscal year 2025, showcasing numerous strengths as well as areas to watch closely.The company's revenue for the quarter reached $13.8 billion, sitting at the high end of their guidance range, though it marked a 6% decline year-over-year due to the previous year’s elevated backlog shipments.The strength across Cisco's lines of business was evident in their recurring revenue streams, which now account for 57% of total revenue.

Cisco’s Game-Changing  NVIDIA Partnership & AI Solutions Are A Potential Masterstroke? - Major Drivers

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Indosat Ooredoo Hutchison / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indosat-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5737:1" rel="noopener">Indosat (ISAT IJ)</a> remains optimistic about the outlook for its core mobile business as it expands into rural areas and simultaneously increases ARPUs, with the growing use of AI tools. </li>
<li>The company also seeks to become an AI Native Telco whilst also pursuing a separate AI business through its tie-up with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA</a>, and building a data centre edge through BDx.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indosat-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5737:1" rel="noopener">Indosat Tbk PT (ISAT IJ)</a> is also optimistic about its home broadband business projecting 2m subscribers by 2028. Valuations remain attractive relative to peers, especially given ISAT's growth outlook. </li>
</ul>



Indosat (ISAT IJ) remains optimistic about the outlook for its core mobile business as it expands into rural areas and simultaneously increases ARPUs, with the growing use of AI tools. 
The company also seeks to become an AI Native Telco whilst also pursuing a separate AI business through its tie-up with NVIDIA, and building a data centre edge through BDx.

Indosat Tbk PT (ISAT IJ) is also optimistic about its home broadband business projecting 2m subscribers by 2028. Valuations remain attractive relative to peers, especially given ISAT's growth outlook. 


Indosat (ISAT IJ) - Streaming Ahead with AI

<ul>
<li>Beijing-Based 4Paradigm shares have underperformed the Hang Seng Index (+4.3%) in 2024 with shares down ~20% year-to-date. IPO investors are down ~28%.</li>
<li>I expect near-term selling pressure on the stock as IPO lockup ends in September and at least 265M shares will be available for sale by the end of next month.</li>
<li>4Paradigm has made considerable progress and with a clear profitability trajectory, the stock looks undervalued relative to peers in Mainland China and worldwide.</li>
</ul>


Beijing-Based 4Paradigm shares have underperformed the Hang Seng Index (+4.3%) in 2024 with shares down ~20% year-to-date. IPO investors are down ~28%.
I expect near-term selling pressure on the stock as IPO lockup ends in September and at least 265M shares will be available for sale by the end of next month.
4Paradigm has made considerable progress and with a clear profitability trajectory, the stock looks undervalued relative to peers in Mainland China and worldwide.


4Paradigm: Near-Term Selling Pressure May Persist As IPO Lockup Ends Next Month

United States

Cisco Systems, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells Internet Protocol (IP)-based networking and other products related to the communications and information technology (IT) industry and provide services associated with these products and their use. The Company provides products for transporting data, voice, and video within buildings, across campuses, and globally.

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Cisco Systems (CSCO US)

Tech News This Week: Samsung Multiple Negatives. Intel Facing Reality. TSMC, Mediatek.

Tech industry facing job cuts. stable market share for Mediatek-Qualcomm in mobile, foundry top-10 sees growth in 5-4-3nm but struggles with...

Nicolas Baratte

Rubrik 3QFY25 Wrap: Solid Outlook, Improving FCF and $1B+ In Subscription ARR

Rubrik shares outperformed in 2024 with shares up ~102% vs. IPO offer price of $32/share. In my insight, I set a new PT for Rubrik and discuss...

Andrei Zakharov

Cisco’s Game-Changing NVIDIA Partnership & AI Solutions Are A Potential Masterstroke? - Major Drivers

Cisco Systems, Inc. recently reported its first quarter results for fiscal year 2025, showcasing numerous strengths as well as areas to watch...

Baptista Research

Indosat (ISAT IJ) - Streaming Ahead with AI

Indosat remains optimistic about the outlook for its core mobile business as it expands into rural areas and simultaneously increases ARPUs, with...

Angus Mackintosh

4Paradigm: Near-Term Selling Pressure May Persist As IPO Lockup Ends Next Month

4Paradigm, a Beijing-based enterprise AI company, completed its initial public offering in 2023. Pre-IPO investors and shareholders may sell the...

Andrei Zakharov

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Tech News This Week: Samsung Multiple Negatives. Intel Facing Reality. TSMC, Mediatek.

​Tech industry facing job cuts. stable market share for Mediatek-Qualcomm in mobile, foundry top-10 sees growth in 5-4-3nm but struggles with...

Nicolas Baratte

Rubrik 3QFY25 Wrap: Solid Outlook, Improving FCF and $1B+ In Subscription ARR

Rubrik shares outperformed in 2024 with shares up ~102% vs. IPO offer price of $32/share. In my insight, I set a new PT for Rubrik and discuss...

Andrei Zakharov

Cisco’s Game-Changing NVIDIA Partnership & AI Solutions Are A Potential Masterstroke? - Major Drivers

Cisco Systems, Inc. recently reported its first quarter results for fiscal year 2025, showcasing numerous strengths as well as areas to watch...

Baptista Research

Indosat (ISAT IJ) - Streaming Ahead with AI

Indosat remains optimistic about the outlook for its core mobile business as it expands into rural areas and simultaneously increases ARPUs, with...

Angus Mackintosh

4Paradigm: Near-Term Selling Pressure May Persist As IPO Lockup Ends Next Month

4Paradigm, a Beijing-based enterprise AI company, completed its initial public offering in 2023. Pre-IPO investors and shareholders may sell the...

Andrei Zakharov

Tech industry facing job cuts. stable market share for Mediatek-Qualcomm in mobile, foundry top-10 sees growth in 5-4-3nm but struggles with...