Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Hang Seng announced the results of the March rebalance post market close Friday. Two adds for the HSI, one set of changes for HSCEI, three sets for HSTECH.</li>
<li>An ad hoc rebalance was announced for the KOSDAQ150 following Osstem being designated an 'Administrative Issue'. In IPO world, we have LIC in India and SBI Sumishin NetBank coming up.</li>
<li>Friday was the review cutoff date for the March rebalance of the ASX200 Index. The ATO has provided Aventus with the tax ruling and that creates a timing issue.</li>
</ul>


Hang Seng announced the results of the March rebalance post market close Friday. Two adds for the HSI, one set of changes for HSCEI, three sets for HSTECH.
An ad hoc rebalance was announced for the KOSDAQ150 following Osstem being designated an 'Administrative Issue'. In IPO world, we have LIC in India and SBI Sumishin NetBank coming up.
Friday was the review cutoff date for the March rebalance of the ASX200 Index. The ATO has provided Aventus with the tax ruling and that creates a timing issue.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSCI, S&P/ASX, SET50, LIC, SBI Sumishin, Crown

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The pre-conditional Scheme from its founders and CVC for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/razer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24380:1" rel="noopener"><strong>Razer (1337 HK)</strong></a> at $2.82/share, is a 55.8% premium to the undisturbed price, but below the 2017 IPO price of $3.88.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ck-hutchison-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:132:1" rel="noopener"><strong>CK Hutchison Holdings (1 HK)</strong></a>'s implied stub and the simple ratio (CKH/ <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ck-infrastructure-holdings-l" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:163:1" rel="noopener">CK Infrastructure Holdings (1038 HK)</a></strong>) are currently at an all-time low.</li>
<li>The local government is now getting practically involved in the resolution of the financial problems of <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-evergrande-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:479:1" rel="noopener">Evergrande (3333 HK)</a></strong>and <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-evergrande-new-energy-vehicle-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:713:1" rel="noopener">Evergrande Auto (708 HK)</a></strong>. </li>
</ul>


The pre-conditional Scheme from its founders and CVC for Razer (1337 HK) at $2.82/share, is a 55.8% premium to the undisturbed price, but below the 2017 IPO price of $3.88.

CK Hutchison Holdings (1 HK)'s implied stub and the simple ratio (CKH/ CK Infrastructure Holdings (1038 HK)) are currently at an all-time low.
The local government is now getting practically involved in the resolution of the financial problems of Evergrande (3333 HK)and Evergrande Auto (708 HK). 


Last Week in Event SPACE: Razer Inc, Evergrande Land/Auto, CK Hutchison, Grab SPAC

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ck-hutchison-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:132:1" rel="noopener">CK Hutchison Holdings (1 HK)</a>'s implied stub and the simple ratio (CKH/ <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ck-infrastructure-holdings-l" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:163:1" rel="noopener">CK Infrastructure Holdings (1038 HK)</a>) are currently at an all-time low.</li>
<li>The market is assigning US$1.2bn <em>less</em> for the stub ops subsequent to the announcement and completion of tower sales in Austria, Denmark, Ireland, Sweden, and Italy.</li>
<li>CKH's business diversification, both by geography and segment, continues to provide a strong and stable cashflow.</li>
</ul>



CK Hutchison Holdings (1 HK)'s implied stub and the simple ratio (CKH/ CK Infrastructure Holdings (1038 HK)) are currently at an all-time low.
The market is assigning US$1.2bn less for the stub ops subsequent to the announcement and completion of tower sales in Austria, Denmark, Ireland, Sweden, and Italy.
CKH's business diversification, both by geography and segment, continues to provide a strong and stable cashflow.


2022 High Conviction: CK Hutchison (1 HK) Trading At Its Widest Ever Level

<div>
<p>After rejecting two earlier proposals, Aussie poles and wires company <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/spark-infrastructure-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:595:1" rel="noopener">Spark Infrastructure (SKI AU)</a> entered into a Scheme Implementation Agreement on the <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02409984-2A1317108?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">23 August</a> with KKR, Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan Board, and Public Sector Pension Investment Board.</p>
</div>
<div>
<p>The Offer Price of $2.95 cash per stapled security comprised cash of $2.7675, plus Spark's 1H21 interim distribution of 6.25¢, plus a franked special distribution expected of ~12¢. The interim dividend was announced on the <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02390377-2A1306991?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">1 July</a> and went ex on the <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02390377-2A1306991?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">7 July</a>, with a record date of the 8 July, therefore the implied Scheme Consideration is A$2.8875/share.</p>
<p>The Scheme Booklet has now been <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02438132-2A1332160?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">dispatched</a>. The Scheme Meeting will be held on the 22 November, with an expected implementation date on the 22 December. The Independent Expert has concluded that "<em>the Schemes are fair and reasonable and in the best interests of Scheme Securityholders, in the absence of a superior proposal</em>".</p>
<p>This looks done and has not once closed through terms. The Offer remains subject to FIRB approval.</p>
</div>


After rejecting two earlier proposals, Aussie poles and wires company Spark Infrastructure (SKI AU) entered into a Scheme Implementation Agreement on the 23 August with KKR, Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan Board, and Public Sector Pension Investment Board.


The Offer Price of $2.95 cash per stapled security comprised cash of $2.7675, plus Spark's 1H21 interim distribution of 6.25¢, plus a franked special distribution expected of ~12¢. The interim dividend was announced on the 1 July and went ex on the 7 July, with a record date of the 8 July, therefore the implied Scheme Consideration is A$2.8875/share.
The Scheme Booklet has now been dispatched. The Scheme Meeting will be held on the 22 November, with an expected implementation date on the 22 December. The Independent Expert has concluded that "the Schemes are fair and reasonable and in the best interests of Scheme Securityholders, in the absence of a superior proposal".
This looks done and has not once closed through terms. The Offer remains subject to FIRB approval.


Spark (SKI AU): Scheme Booklet Out. Meeting On The 22 November

<div>
<p>Yesterday Victorian electricity operator <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ausnet-services" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10293:1" rel="noopener">AusNet Services (AST AU)</a>  <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02423286-3A576179?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> it would open its books to Brookfield after receiving a revised non-binding Offer of A$2.50/share. It is understood Brookfield made a A$2.35/share Offer on the 30 August, followed by $2.45/share, before all parties settled on $2.50/share.</p>
<p>As it turns out, according to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apa-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18658:1" rel="noopener">APA Group (APA AU)</a>, APA had approached AusNet with a non-binding proposal of A$2.32 on the 1 September, and that APA had made AusNet aware last Thursday (16 September) it intended to make a revised proposal.</p>
<p>APA sounded out AusNet’s major shareholders prior to its initial approach, and that APA understood Singapore Power was supportive of APA and AusNet engaging in discussions. APA had also discussed the initial proposal directly with State Grid. </p>
<p>Seems someone didn't get the memo.</p>
<blockquote>
<p>APA is disappointed that AusNet has purported to enter into a period of exclusivity with Brookfield for effectively eight weeks, notwithstanding AusNet’s knowledge of the pending revised, and potentially superior proposal, from APA.</p>
</blockquote>
</div>
<div>
<p>The "superior proposal", <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02423895-2A1324638?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> this morning, is a non-binding indicative Offer by way of a Scheme for A$2.60/share in cash and scrip.</p>
<p>Apart from the higher price, APA's Offer enables AusNet shareholders to participate in the back-end via APA scrip, plus there is no FIRB conditionality.</p>
<p>In addition, APA would only require 4 weeks of due diligence, compared to seven to eight weeks for Brookfield.</p>
<p>For now, APA will have to sit tight until the completion of Brookfield's exclusive due diligence. APA's proposal is conditional on AusNet granting due diligence access by the 28 September. </p>
</div>
<div>
<p>More below the fold.</p>
</div>


Yesterday Victorian electricity operator AusNet Services (AST AU)  announced it would open its books to Brookfield after receiving a revised non-binding Offer of A$2.50/share. It is understood Brookfield made a A$2.35/share Offer on the 30 August, followed by $2.45/share, before all parties settled on $2.50/share.
As it turns out, according to APA Group (APA AU), APA had approached AusNet with a non-binding proposal of A$2.32 on the 1 September, and that APA had made AusNet aware last Thursday (16 September) it intended to make a revised proposal.
APA sounded out AusNet’s major shareholders prior to its initial approach, and that APA understood Singapore Power was supportive of APA and AusNet engaging in discussions. APA had also discussed the initial proposal directly with State Grid. 
Seems someone didn't get the memo.

APA is disappointed that AusNet has purported to enter into a period of exclusivity with Brookfield for effectively eight weeks, notwithstanding AusNet’s knowledge of the pending revised, and potentially superior proposal, from APA.



The "superior proposal", announced this morning, is a non-binding indicative Offer by way of a Scheme for A$2.60/share in cash and scrip.
Apart from the higher price, APA's Offer enables AusNet shareholders to participate in the back-end via APA scrip, plus there is no FIRB conditionality.
In addition, APA would only require 4 weeks of due diligence, compared to seven to eight weeks for Brookfield.
For now, APA will have to sit tight until the completion of Brookfield's exclusive due diligence. APA's proposal is conditional on AusNet granting due diligence access by the 28 September. 


More below the fold.


AusNet Services (AST AU): Spurned APA Trumps Brookfield's Proposal

Hong Kong

CK Infrastructure is a global infrastructure company with diversified investments in energy, transportation, water, and waste management sectors. It also produces construction materials like cement and asphalt. The company was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong.

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CK Infrastructure (1038 HK)

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Brian Freitas

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The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

2022 High Conviction: CK Hutchison (1 HK) Trading At Its Widest Ever Level

C KH is inexpensive, versus historical levels, and when compared to peers. Net of CKI, the marker is assigning HK$9bn less for the stubs ops after...

David Blennerhassett

Spark (SKI AU): Scheme Booklet Out. Meeting On The 22 November

Trading tight at a 1.5%/9.1% gross/annualised spread. Looks reasonable. If you are a zero-rate taxpayer, or a low-rate payer, who can reclaim the...

David Blennerhassett

AusNet Services (AST AU): Spurned APA Trumps Brookfield's Proposal

Assuming APA is granted DD - after the completion of Brookfield's - this transaction may drag into 2Q22. You have two large players in the mix. I...

David Blennerhassett

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