Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of January 2nd.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for China Mobile, CMB, Tencent, ABC, HKEx, SMIC, Innovent Biologics, Ck Infrastructure.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of January 2nd.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for China Mobile, CMB, Tencent, ABC, HKEx, SMIC, Innovent Biologics, Ck Infrastructure.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Jan 2nd): China Mobile, CMB, Tencent, ABC, HKEx, SMIC, Innovent Biologics

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Trading in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sony-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:563:1" rel="noopener">Sony Corp (6758 JP)</a> with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sony-financial-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:564:1" rel="noopener">Sony Financial Group (8729 JP)</a> spin-off rights has passed. SFGI starts trading separately on 29 Sep. ¥150/share is good. ¥130-140/share is even better.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naspers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21085:1" rel="noopener">Naspers (NPN SJ)</a>'s NAV is edging towards the low-end on a 12-month basis, However, the implied stub is out of whack as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus NV (PRX NA)</a> outperforms.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-hi-speed-holdings-gro" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10356:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Hi-Speed Holdings (412 HK)</a> bubble has finally popped. Now what?</li>
</ul>


Trading in Sony Corp (6758 JP) with Sony Financial Group (8729 JP) spin-off rights has passed. SFGI starts trading separately on 29 Sep. ¥150/share is good. ¥130-140/share is even better.

Naspers (NPN SJ)'s NAV is edging towards the low-end on a 12-month basis, However, the implied stub is out of whack as Prosus NV (PRX NA) outperforms.
The Shandong Hi-Speed Holdings (412 HK) bubble has finally popped. Now what?


Last Week In Event SPACE: Sony Corp/Sony Financial, Naspers/Prosus, Shandong Hi-Speed, Shift Inc

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HSI in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Jd, CCB, Meituan, BOC, ICBC, Xinyi Solar, Bidu.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HSI in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Jd, CCB, Meituan, BOC, ICBC, Xinyi Solar, Bidu.


HSI Index Earning Revision (Jul): Jd, CCB, Meituan, BOC, ICBC, Xinyi Solar, Bidu

<ul>
<li>Inviting a PRC investor to join the bidding consortium as a significant member, as opposed to a majority player, appears the panacea to get this port deal over the line. </li>
<li>Although <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ck-hutchison-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:132:1" rel="noopener">CK Hutchison Holdings (1 HK)</a> stopped short of naming the investor, China’s state-owned shipping conglomerate Cosco is widely expected/rumoured to join BlackRock and Swiss-Italian shipping company MSC.</li>
<li>
Participation through effective intervention? Cosco's involvement should all-but seal Chinese regulatory approvals. The green light from the US administration, the EU, and other jurisdictions, will pivot off how much involvement. </li>
</ul>


Inviting a PRC investor to join the bidding consortium as a significant member, as opposed to a majority player, appears the panacea to get this port deal over the line. 
Although CK Hutchison Holdings (1 HK) stopped short of naming the investor, China’s state-owned shipping conglomerate Cosco is widely expected/rumoured to join BlackRock and Swiss-Italian shipping company MSC.

Participation through effective intervention? Cosco's involvement should all-but seal Chinese regulatory approvals. The green light from the US administration, the EU, and other jurisdictions, will pivot off how much involvement. 


CKH (1 HK): Intervention Seeds Participation

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ck-hutchison-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:132:1" rel="noopener">CK Hutchison Holdings (1 HK)</a>'s delicate dance continues as it juggles U.S and Beijing politics; and its fiduciary duty to shareholders, as the Blackrock exclusivity long stop date looms.</li>
<li>In a double dose of StubWorld this week, preceding my comments on CKH - and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ck-infrastructure-holdings-l" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:163:1" rel="noopener">CK Infrastructure Holdings (1038 HK)</a> - are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>



CK Hutchison Holdings (1 HK)'s delicate dance continues as it juggles U.S and Beijing politics; and its fiduciary duty to shareholders, as the Blackrock exclusivity long stop date looms.
In a double dose of StubWorld this week, preceding my comments on CKH - and CK Infrastructure Holdings (1038 HK) - are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld: CKH (1 HK) - Expect Near-Term Weakness If Exclusivity Ends Without Resolution

Hong Kong

CK Infrastructure is a global infrastructure company with diversified investments in energy, transportation, water, and waste management sectors. It also produces construction materials like cement and asphalt. The company was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong.

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CK Infrastructure (1038 HK)

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Jan 2nd): China Mobile, CMB, Tencent, ABC, HKEx, SMIC, Innovent Biologics

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for China Mobile, CMB, Tencent, ABC, HKEx, SMIC, Innovent...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Last Week In Event SPACE: Sony Corp/Sony Financial, Naspers/Prosus, Shandong Hi-Speed, Shift Inc

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

HSI Index Earning Revision (Jul): Jd, CCB, Meituan, BOC, ICBC, Xinyi Solar, Bidu

We analyzed HSI's consensus for Jul 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Jd, CCB, Meituan, BOC, ICBC, Xinyi Solar, Bidu.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CKH (1 HK): Intervention Seeds Participation

CKH is cheap at 0.38x P/B. CKH is a long-term outright buy. CKI's market cap is up (only) US$7bn since the port deal was announced, just 37% of the...

David Blennerhassett

StubWorld: CKH (1 HK) - Expect Near-Term Weakness If Exclusivity Ends Without Resolution

The exclusivity ha expired, however CKH "remains in discussions with... the consortium with a view to inviting major strategic investor from the...

David Blennerhassett

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