Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for the F100 and F250 indices in the run-up to the March 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We see up to four M&amp;A-related intra-review changes in the run up to the March 2025 review.</li>
<li>Our latest estimates suggest there could be one regular change for the F100 index and one change for the F250 index during the March 2025 rebalance. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for the F100 and F250 indices in the run-up to the March 2025 index rebal event.
We see up to four M&amp;A-related intra-review changes in the run up to the March 2025 review.
Our latest estimates suggest there could be one regular change for the F100 index and one change for the F250 index during the March 2025 rebalance. 


Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Mar 25: Mega Addition for Coke & Multiple Intra-Review Changes Likely

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Dimitris Ioannidis

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Event-Driven

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coca-cola-europacific-partners-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44040:1" rel="noopener">Coca-Cola Europacific Partners (CCEP LN)</a> was transferred on 15 November 2024, to the index's eligible FCA listing category under the new regime.</li>
<li>The security needs to pass the liquidity test in both January and February 2025 to be assigned a UK nationality and become eligible for the March 2025 review.</li>
<li>The security has already passed the liquidity threshold by ~20% in November and December thus it has a solid probability of being added to F100 at the March 2025 review.</li>
</ul>



Coca-Cola Europacific Partners (CCEP LN) was transferred on 15 November 2024, to the index's eligible FCA listing category under the new regime.
The security needs to pass the liquidity test in both January and February 2025 to be assigned a UK nationality and become eligible for the March 2025 review.
The security has already passed the liquidity threshold by ~20% in November and December thus it has a solid probability of being added to F100 at the March 2025 review.


Coca-Cola Europacific Partners (CCEP LN): Halfway In F100

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/janaghan-jeyakumar-cfa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:3173" rel="noopener">Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA</a> had predicted a series of changes in UK100 (a.k.a. F100) and UK250 (aka F250) and all predicted changes came to pass. F250 saw one extra change.</li>
<li>There will be one more ad hoc announcement today. We think the replacement for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tritax-eurobox-plc-3e9443bd-b52d-4565-9083-99325aa64446" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44137:1" rel="noopener">Tritax Eurobox (EBOX LN)</a> will be <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mobico-group-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22059:1" rel="noopener">Mobico Group (MCG LN)</a>. </li>
<li>There were two ADDs in F250 which are VERY much worth looking at. Janaghan had addressed these in prior weeks as well. Those two names really stand out.</li>
</ul>



Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA had predicted a series of changes in UK100 (a.k.a. F100) and UK250 (aka F250) and all predicted changes came to pass. F250 saw one extra change.
There will be one more ad hoc announcement today. We think the replacement for Tritax Eurobox (EBOX LN) will be Mobico Group (MCG LN). 
There were two ADDs in F250 which are VERY much worth looking at. Janaghan had addressed these in prior weeks as well. Those two names really stand out.


UK100 and UK250 Index Rebals: Some Interesting Trades

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run-up to the December 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>Currently, we see three F100 changes and four F250 changes. Some of these index change expectations are related to the changes made to the UK Listing Rules in June 2024.</li>
<li>The final changes will be decided based on 3rd December 2024 closing prices.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run-up to the December 2024 index rebal event.
Currently, we see three F100 changes and four F250 changes. Some of these index change expectations are related to the changes made to the UK Listing Rules in June 2024.
The final changes will be decided based on 3rd December 2024 closing prices.


Quiddity Leaderboard F100/250 Dec 24: LONGs Up 10% Vs Index in a Month; Time for New Trade

David Blennerhassett

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I (3382 JP)</a>'s roadmap is a solid response to where retailing is headed, both in Japan and elsewhere; while ACT's bid is just about carrying on as now.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/esr-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27983:1" rel="noopener">ESR (1821 HK)</a> is a non-binding proposal, no official terms, with a fragmented shareholder register. And this is before any opaque PRC regulatory conditions tacked on in a firm Offer.</li>
<li>Murakami-San is up to 23.5% of voting rights in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/exedy-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6516:1" rel="noopener">Exedy Corp (7278 JP)</a>. He would probably need 30% to be able to threaten a board spill.</li>
</ul>



Seven &amp; I (3382 JP)'s roadmap is a solid response to where retailing is headed, both in Japan and elsewhere; while ACT's bid is just about carrying on as now.

ESR (1821 HK) is a non-binding proposal, no official terms, with a fragmented shareholder register. And this is before any opaque PRC regulatory conditions tacked on in a firm Offer.
Murakami-San is up to 23.5% of voting rights in Exedy Corp (7278 JP). He would probably need 30% to be able to threaten a board spill.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Seven & I, ESR, Exedy, CMCDI, Shin Kong

United Kingdom

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners (CCEP) is a multinational bottling company that manufactures, distributes, and sells a wide range of non-alcoholic ready-to-drink beverages. It is the world's largest independent Coca-Cola bottler by net revenue, operating in 31 markets across Europe, Australia, New Zealand, and the Pacific region. The company's portfolio includes brands such as Coca-Cola, Fanta, Sprite, and Monster. CCEP is headquartered in Uxbridge, England, and was formed in 2016 from the merger of three major European bottlers, later expanding in 2021 with the acquisition of Coca-Cola Amatil.

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Coca-Cola Europacific Partners (CCEP LN)

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Mar 25: Mega Addition for Coke & Multiple Intra-Review Changes Likely

There are multiple possibilities of intra-review index changes for the F100/250 family in 1Q CY2025. It might be a good idea to revisit this insight.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA