Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We continue believe that upside is limited with the S&amp;P 500 testing the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range (4165-4200).</li>
<li>Our gameplan remains unchanged; reduce risk near resistance (where we are now) and add risk near support (the December 2022 lows at 3765 and/or the 2022 lows at 3490).</li>
<li>A break above 4200 on the SPX would likely mean a test of 4300-4325, which we would view as a selling opportunity. A break below 4050 would kickstart a pullback.</li>
</ul>


We continue believe that upside is limited with the S&amp;P 500 testing the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range (4165-4200).
Our gameplan remains unchanged; reduce risk near resistance (where we are now) and add risk near support (the December 2022 lows at 3765 and/or the 2022 lows at 3490).
A break above 4200 on the SPX would likely mean a test of 4300-4325, which we would view as a selling opportunity. A break below 4050 would kickstart a pullback.


SPX Forming Coiled Spring Between 4200 and 4050; 10Y/2Y Treasury Spread Suggests Recession Close

High Quality Stock Setups, Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

High Quality Stock Setups

Finding high potential stock setups on quality companies

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Michael Kantro (@MichaelKantro), Chief Investment Strategist at Piper Sandler, put together the “HOPE” roadmap to illustrate the chronology of how and where the Federal Reserve’s interest rate hikes ripple through and impact the economy.</li><li>The order of the HOPE roadmap dictates that the housing market is the first to slow, followed by new orders, then S&amp;P 500 profits, and last is the employment market.</li><li>The Federal Reserve’s latest increase, the fourth consecutive increase of 75 points, brings the federal funds rate – which acts as a benchmark for everything including business loans, credit card and mortgage rates – to between 3.75% and 4%, the highest level since January 2008.</li></ul>

Michael Kantro (@MichaelKantro), Chief Investment Strategist at Piper Sandler, put together the “HOPE” roadmap to illustrate the chronology of how and where the Federal Reserve’s interest rate hikes ripple through and impact the economy.The order of the HOPE roadmap dictates that the housing market is the first to slow, followed by new orders, then S&amp;P 500 profits, and last is the employment market.The Federal Reserve’s latest increase, the fourth consecutive increase of 75 points, brings the federal funds rate – which acts as a benchmark for everything including business loans, credit card and mortgage rates – to between 3.75% and 4%, the highest level since January 2008.

Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Eaton captures AI-driven energy demand at the point of consumption, benefiting directly from rising data-centre power intensity, strong order momentum, and diversified electrification exposure.</li>
<li>Quanta Services monetises the grid expansion required to deliver AI-related power demand, with a record multi-year backlog, and predictable cash flows providing structural downside protection and earnings visibility.</li>
<li>Together, Eaton and Quanta cover the full AI-energy stack, from grid delivery to data-centre power use, combining upside exposure with resilience and reduced concentration risk in 2026.</li>
</ul>


Eaton captures AI-driven energy demand at the point of consumption, benefiting directly from rising data-centre power intensity, strong order momentum, and diversified electrification exposure.
Quanta Services monetises the grid expansion required to deliver AI-related power demand, with a record multi-year backlog, and predictable cash flows providing structural downside protection and earnings visibility.
Together, Eaton and Quanta cover the full AI-energy stack, from grid delivery to data-centre power use, combining upside exposure with resilience and reduced concentration risk in 2026.


2026 High Conviction Idea - Capturing AI’s Energy Backbone: Eaton for Upside, Quanta for Defence

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Dimitris Ioannidis

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/marvell-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15837:1" rel="noopener">Marvell Technology (MRVL US)</a> became eligible at the last minute for S&amp;P500 inclusion in the December 2025 review, following positive Q3 earnings.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/marvell-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15837:1" rel="noopener">Marvell Technology (MRVL US)</a> experienced a significant turnaround in profitability in the last year, but its latest earnings are driven by non-operational activity.</li>
<li>The company's market cap and other eligibility metrics are estimated to place it among the top addition candidates for S&amp;P500 with a higher chance of inclusion in 2026.</li>
</ul>



Marvell Technology (MRVL US) became eligible at the last minute for S&amp;P500 inclusion in the December 2025 review, following positive Q3 earnings.

Marvell Technology (MRVL US) experienced a significant turnaround in profitability in the last year, but its latest earnings are driven by non-operational activity.
The company's market cap and other eligibility metrics are estimated to place it among the top addition candidates for S&amp;P500 with a higher chance of inclusion in 2026.


Marvell Technology (MRVL US): Heroic Earnings Unlock S&P500 Eligibility

Index Rebalance and Special Situations Coverage, Quiddity Advisors

Anjana Amarasuriya

Index Rebalance and Special Situations Coverage

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul><li>The SP 500 index tracks the 500 largest names listed in the US and it is one of the most highly-tracked indices in the world.</li><li>In this insight, we take a look at the upcoming constituent changes in the run up to the December 2025 index rebal event.</li><li>The index changes for the December 2025 rebal will be based on the open of 3rd December 2025 and announced after the close of 5th December 2025.</li></ul>

The SP 500 index tracks the 500 largest names listed in the US and it is one of the most highly-tracked indices in the world.In this insight, we take a look at the upcoming constituent changes in the run up to the December 2025 index rebal event.The index changes for the December 2025 rebal will be based on the open of 3rd December 2025 and announced after the close of 5th December 2025.

Quiddity Leaderboard SP500/600 Dec25 Rebal: Last Minute Surprise in The Leading Names

United States

Comfort Systems USA, Inc. provides heating, ventilation, and air conditioning system installation, maintenance, repair, and replacement services. The Company's commercial and industrial markets include office buildings, retail centers, apartment complexes, hotels, manufacturing plants, and government facilities.

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Comfort Systems Usa (FIX US)

SPX Forming Coiled Spring Between 4200 and 4050; 10Y/2Y Treasury Spread Suggests Recession Close

We continue believe that upside is limited with the $SPX testing the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range (4165-4200). On the off chance...

Vermilion Research

Weekly Stock Bullfinder - Week of 11/7

The order of the HOPE roadmap dictates that the housing market is the first to slow, followed by new orders, then S&P 500 profits, and last is the...

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

2026 High Conviction Idea - Capturing AI’s Energy Backbone: Eaton for Upside, Quanta for Defence

Eaton and Quanta Services capitalize on AI-driven energy demand, covering grid expansion and data-center power use for diversified exposure and...

Mint Finance

Marvell Technology (MRVL US): Heroic Earnings Unlock S&P500 Eligibility

MRVL is labelled bullish for index rebalance but bearish in fundamentals following the fourth consecutive positive earnings and high price-to...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Quiddity Leaderboard SP500/600 Dec25 Rebal: Last Minute Surprise in The Leading Names

SP500 rankings will be decided at today's open and announced on 5 December after the close. We see $100bn to trade across the SP500 complex. Kalshi...

Anjana Amarasuriya

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

SPX Forming Coiled Spring Between 4200 and 4050; 10Y/2Y Treasury Spread Suggests Recession Close

We continue believe that upside is limited with the $SPX testing the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range (4165-4200). On the off chance...

Vermilion Research

Weekly Stock Bullfinder - Week of 11/7

The order of the HOPE roadmap dictates that the housing market is the first to slow, followed by new orders, then S&P 500 profits, and last is the...

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

2026 High Conviction Idea - Capturing AI’s Energy Backbone: Eaton for Upside, Quanta for Defence

​Eaton and Quanta Services capitalize on AI-driven energy demand, covering grid expansion and data-center power use for diversified exposure and...

Mint Finance

Marvell Technology (MRVL US): Heroic Earnings Unlock S&P500 Eligibility

MRVL is labelled bullish for index rebalance but bearish in fundamentals following the fourth consecutive positive earnings and high price-to...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Quiddity Leaderboard SP500/600 Dec25 Rebal: Last Minute Surprise in The Leading Names

SP500 rankings will be decided at today's open and announced on 5 December after the close. We see $100bn to trade across the SP500 complex. Kalshi...

Anjana Amarasuriya

Eaton and Quanta Services capitalize on AI-driven energy demand, covering grid expansion and data-center power use for diversified exposure and...