Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (TSM US)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>
 Memory's price surge stalled month-over-month. The median memory name's sequential revenue growth fell from +32% in April to +4% in May, back at its no-cycle baseline.</li>
<li>
 The PC pull-forward could be unwinding a quarter early. Acer's and ASUS's revenue both fell roughly 16% month-over-month, against positive seasonality, with neither company commenting.</li>
<li>
 AI server demand is so far untouched, and it is not lifting everything. A fifth straight month of ramp, Hon Hai re-accelerating, a record TSMC month.</li>
</ul>



 Memory's price surge stalled month-over-month. The median memory name's sequential revenue growth fell from +32% in April to +4% in May, back at its no-cycle baseline.

 The PC pull-forward could be unwinding a quarter early. Acer's and ASUS's revenue both fell roughly 16% month-over-month, against positive seasonality, with neither company commenting.

 AI server demand is so far untouched, and it is not lifting everything. A fifth straight month of ramp, Hon Hai re-accelerating, a record TSMC month.


Taiwan Revenue Signals -- Memory Growth Stalls While AI Servers Remain Robust

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 5th. The aggregated holding was USD2,282.9bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD3,589mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, UMC, Quanta Computer, MediaTek, Winbond Electronics.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 5th. The aggregated holding was USD2,282.9bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD3,589mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, UMC, Quanta Computer, MediaTek, Winbond Electronics.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 5th): TSMC, UMC, Quanta Computer, MediaTek, Winbond Electronics

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 5th. The aggregated short interest was USD49.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, TSMC, Compal Electronics, Catcher Technology, Fubon Financial.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 5th. The aggregated short interest was USD49.0bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, TSMC, Compal Electronics, Catcher Technology, Fubon Financial.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jun 5th): Shin Kong Financial, TSMC, Compal Electronics, Fubon Financial

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of May 29th. The aggregated short interest was USD49.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, Quanta Computer, Innolux, Delta Electronics, ASE Industrial.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of May 29th. The aggregated short interest was USD49.0bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, Quanta Computer, Innolux, Delta Electronics, ASE Industrial.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (May 29th): Shin Kong Financial, Quanta Computer, Innolux, ASE Industrial

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

We view weakness in global equity markets over the past week as correcting a significant amount of the excess optimism. We recommend taking advantage of the pullback by adding exposure to our favorite areas - namely Technology. Our overall outlook on global equities (both the MSCI ACWI and ACWI ex-US) remains positive and we continue to expect higher equity prices going forward.  In today’s report we provide a technical appraisal of all major markets and highlight actionable stocks throughout the int’l Technology and Communications sectors.

We view weakness in global equity markets over the past week as correcting a significant amount of the excess optimism. We recommend taking advantage of the pullback by adding exposure to our favorite areas - namely Technology. Our overall outlook on global equities (both the MSCI ACWI and ACWI ex-US) remains positive and we continue to expect higher equity prices going forward.  In today’s report we provide a technical appraisal of all major markets and highlight actionable stocks throughout the int’l Technology and Communications sectors.

Global-Ex-U.S. Equity Strategy: Add Exposure To Technology, Communications

Taiwan

Compal Electronics Inc. manufactures and markets notebook computers and color monitors.  The Company also produces liquid crystal displays and other computer related products.  Compal Electronics exports its products to the United States, Europe, and Asia.

Price Gauge
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Compal Electronics (2324 TT)

Taiwan Revenue Signals -- Memory Growth Stalls While AI Servers Remain Robust

Memory prices stalled, PC pull-forward unwinding early, AI server demand remains strong but not boosting all sectors. We analyze the Taiwan AI...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 5th): TSMC, UMC, Quanta Computer, MediaTek, Winbond Electronics

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, UMC, Quanta Computer, MediaTek, Winbond...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jun 5th): Shin Kong Financial, TSMC, Compal Electronics, Fubon Financial

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, TSMC, Compal Electronics,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (May 29th): Shin Kong Financial, Quanta Computer, Innolux, ASE Industrial

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, Quanta Computer, Innolux,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Global-Ex-U.S. Equity Strategy: Add Exposure To Technology, Communications

We view weakness in global equity markets over the past week as correcting a significant amount of the excess optimism. We recommend taking...

Vermilion Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Taiwan Revenue Signals -- Memory Growth Stalls While AI Servers Remain Robust

​Memory prices stalled, PC pull-forward unwinding early, AI server demand remains strong but not boosting all sectors. We analyze the Taiwan AI...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 5th): TSMC, UMC, Quanta Computer, MediaTek, Winbond Electronics

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, UMC, Quanta Computer, MediaTek, Winbond...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jun 5th): Shin Kong Financial, TSMC, Compal Electronics, Fubon Financial

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, TSMC, Compal Electronics,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (May 29th): Shin Kong Financial, Quanta Computer, Innolux, ASE Industrial

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, Quanta Computer, Innolux,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Global-Ex-U.S. Equity Strategy: Add Exposure To Technology, Communications

We view weakness in global equity markets over the past week as correcting a significant amount of the excess optimism. We recommend taking...

Vermilion Research

Memory prices stalled, PC pull-forward unwinding early, AI server demand remains strong but not boosting all sectors. We analyze the Taiwan AI...