Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

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Commodities

<ul><li>Spare base oils supply is thin across major regions, leaving little room to absorb disruption from storms, outages or maintenance</li></ul><ul><li>Asia cleared a swathe of supply in the third quarter, leaving it balanced to tight with less room to cover other markets.</li><li>Singapore’s exports fell for a second week, a slowdown that would further limit Asia’s spare supply if it continues as seasonal demand firms.</li></ul>

Spare base oils supply is thin across major regions, leaving little room to absorb disruption from storms, outages or maintenanceAsia cleared a swathe of supply in the third quarter, leaving it balanced to tight with less room to cover other markets.Singapore’s exports fell for a second week, a slowdown that would further limit Asia’s spare supply if it continues as seasonal demand firms.

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 9 Oct '26

<ul><li>Base oils shipments from Taiwan extended their slowdown into a second week, coinciding with planned plant maintenance starting in October.</li><li>A cargo with a combination of Group II light and heavy grades loaded from Taiwan in early September for Europe passed through the Red Sea and Suez Canal in recent days.</li><li>A cargo loaded from South Korea in recent days headed to Northwest Europe, with arrival due in second-half November.</li></ul>

Base oils shipments from Taiwan extended their slowdown into a second week, coinciding with planned plant maintenance starting in October.A cargo with a combination of Group II light and heavy grades loaded from Taiwan in early September for Europe passed through the Red Sea and Suez Canal in recent days.A cargo loaded from South Korea in recent days headed to Northwest Europe, with arrival due in second-half November.

Global Base Oils Cargo Flows: Week To 9 October

<ul><li>Base oils supply is tighter than usual for the time of year, as Asian barrels filling overseas gaps face a competing call from recovering demand in their regional markets</li></ul><ul><li>Singapore's export recovery shows how additional barrels are becoming available as earlier disruptions ease.</li><li>That extra Asian supply is now facing a competing call from within the region as demand recovers, while maintenance in Taiwan and Saudi Arabia will remove more production.</li></ul>

Base oils supply is tighter than usual for the time of year, as Asian barrels filling overseas gaps face a competing call from recovering demand in their regional marketsSingapore's export recovery shows how additional barrels are becoming available as earlier disruptions ease.That extra Asian supply is now facing a competing call from within the region as demand recovers, while maintenance in Taiwan and Saudi Arabia will remove more production.

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 2 Oct '26

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>8 days ago I wrote Murakami-san upped his stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/exedy-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6516:1" rel="noopener">Exedy Corp (7278 JP)</a> to 23.5%, could buy more into earnings, and earnings could deliver a buyback. That was ¥3495/3600.</li>
<li>He bought more, reported 24.72% as of 22-Oct). I bet he reports more in a week. Also, Exedy today reported a small yoy gain in H1 revenue. OP+76%yoy. NP+17%yoy.</li>
<li>The company also reported a BIG div hike to ¥200/yr and a giant ¥30bn buyback. Activists and Murakami hangers-on have won. So watch out! The playbook is different than expected.</li>
</ul>


8 days ago I wrote Murakami-san upped his stake in Exedy Corp (7278 JP) to 23.5%, could buy more into earnings, and earnings could deliver a buyback. That was ¥3495/3600.
He bought more, reported 24.72% as of 22-Oct). I bet he reports more in a week. Also, Exedy today reported a small yoy gain in H1 revenue. OP+76%yoy. NP+17%yoy.
The company also reported a BIG div hike to ¥200/yr and a giant ¥30bn buyback. Activists and Murakami hangers-on have won. So watch out! The playbook is different than expected.


[JAPAN ACTIVISM] Exedy (7278) - You Won, BIG Capital Payout, Murakami Up. Now Watch Out!

<ul><li>Asia's spare capacity is filling gaps left by tighter US, European and Middle East supply, but recovering demand and fourth-quarter maintenance will test its limits.</li></ul><ul><li>Traditional suppliers are losing export availability, giving Asian producers more room to meet requirements in the US, Europe and other overseas markets.</li><li>The response spans the region, with South Korea, Taiwan, India, Singapore and China all sending cargoes beyond Asia.</li></ul>

Asia's spare capacity is filling gaps left by tighter US, European and Middle East supply, but recovering demand and fourth-quarter maintenance will test its limits.Traditional suppliers are losing export availability, giving Asian producers more room to meet requirements in the US, Europe and other overseas markets.The response spans the region, with South Korea, Taiwan, India, Singapore and China all sending cargoes beyond Asia.

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 25 Sep '26

Japan

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. operates as a holding company.  The Company, through its subsidiaries, imports, refines, and sells crude oil as well engages in the independent development of oil resources.

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Cosmo Energy Holdings (5021 JP)

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 9 Oct '26

Spare base oils supply is thin across major regions, leaving little room to absorb disruption from storms, outages or maintenance Asia...

Base Oil News

Global Base Oils Cargo Flows: Week To 9 October

Base oils shipments from Taiwan extended their slowdown into a second week, coinciding with planned plant maintenance starting in October. A cargo...

Base Oil News

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 2 Oct '26

Base oils supply is tighter than usual for the time of year, as Asian barrels filling overseas gaps face a competing call from recovering demand...

Base Oil News

[JAPAN ACTIVISM] Exedy (7278) - You Won, BIG Capital Payout, Murakami Up. Now Watch Out!

Exedy (7278) Earnings were OK/decent. Murakami-san has gone to 24.7%. We have a sharply higher dividend payout and policy, and a HUGE buyback....

Travis Lundy

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 25 Sep '26

Asia's spare capacity is filling gaps left by tighter US, European and Middle East supply, but recovering demand and fourth-quarter maintenance...

Base Oil News

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