HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>CSRC's Market Value Management Guidelines will indirectly benefit the H-share stocks with their A-share counterparts with a P/B of below 1x.  </li>
<li>Chinese banks dominated the list with below-book A-shares. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-everbright-bank-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16221:1" rel="noopener">China Everbright Bank (6818 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-citic-bank-corp-ltd-ea6c25fd-4b20-45cb-a4a6-df7a60136f03" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:653:1" rel="noopener">China Citic Bank H (998 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/industrial-and-commercial-bank-of-china-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1119:1" rel="noopener">ICBC (H) (1398 HK)</a> are the prime beneficiaries.</li>
<li>Infrastructure construction companies <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-railway-construction-corp-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:263:1" rel="noopener">China Railway Cons Corp (1186 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-railway-group-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:264:1" rel="noopener">China Railway Group H (390 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-communications-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:265:1" rel="noopener">China Comm Cons (1800 HK)</a> are also well-positioned to gain.</li>
</ul>


CSRC's Market Value Management Guidelines will indirectly benefit the H-share stocks with their A-share counterparts with a P/B of below 1x.  
Chinese banks dominated the list with below-book A-shares. China Everbright Bank (6818 HK), China Citic Bank H (998 HK), and ICBC (H) (1398 HK) are the prime beneficiaries.
Infrastructure construction companies China Railway Cons Corp (1186 HK), China Railway Group H (390 HK), and China Comm Cons (1800 HK) are also well-positioned to gain.


China & HK Strategy: Names to Watch for Market Value Management

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>A monthly review of how the markets and our themes are currently performing</li>
<li>Analysing what went wrong and what went right in stocks and sectors</li>
<li>Highlighting positions added or removed from the thematic investment portfolio</li>
</ul>


A monthly review of how the markets and our themes are currently performing
Analysing what went wrong and what went right in stocks and sectors
Highlighting positions added or removed from the thematic investment portfolio


June Themes and Thematic Portfolio Review

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Sinotruk Hong Kong / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>German truckmaker, MAN SE (via MAN Finance and Holding) is looking to sell a ~2% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sinotruk-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19764:1" rel="noopener">Sinotruk Hong Kong (3808 HK)</a> to raise upto US$261m via a secondary selldown.</li>
<li>Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Ltd is China’s leading heavy-duty truck manufacturer, focused on commercial vehicles with strong domestic market share, growing exports, and consistent cash generation.</li>
<li>In this note we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


German truckmaker, MAN SE (via MAN Finance and Holding) is looking to sell a ~2% stake in Sinotruk Hong Kong (3808 HK) to raise upto US$261m via a secondary selldown.
Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Ltd is China’s leading heavy-duty truck manufacturer, focused on commercial vehicles with strong domestic market share, growing exports, and consistent cash generation.
In this note we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Aequitas: Sinotruk Placement - Third Selldown in Seven Months After Strong Run-Up

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

In 1998, before the US and China entered into Permanent Normal Trade Relations with China in 2000, the US Congress enacted a law requiring the Clinton Administration to publish a list of Chinese companies in the US which did business with the People's Liberation Army (Public Law 105-261, Section 1237), and a "Communist Chinese military company" was defined in that law as any company named in to Defense Intelligence Agency documents from 1990 and 1995 and "any other entity owned or controlled by the PLA and engaged in providing commercial services, manufacturing, or exporting."That law basically lay dormant until last year when the Pentagon launched a review of such companies following the Trump White House's labelling of China (and Russia) a "revisionist" power in its first National Security Strategy <a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/NSS-Final-12-18-2017-0905-2.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">report</a> in 2017. The goal was to investigate and warn about supply-chain vulnerabilities. The Department of Defense published a list in June 2020 of 20 companies which were "Qualified Entities". It updated the list in late August 2020. The former Secretary of Defense was ousted several days ago and the new Secretary of Defense is now responsible for the list. There is, as of last night, an Executive Order by the White House blocking US 'persons' investment in any of the names mentioned - a list now 31 names long.More below on the impact.

In 1998, before the US and China entered into Permanent Normal Trade Relations with China in 2000, the US Congress enacted a law requiring the Clinton Administration to publish a list of Chinese companies in the US which did business with the People's Liberation Army (Public Law 105-261, Section 1237), and a "Communist Chinese military company" was defined in that law as any company named in to Defense Intelligence Agency documents from 1990 and 1995 and "any other entity owned or controlled by the PLA and engaged in providing commercial services, manufacturing, or exporting."That law basically lay dormant until last year when the Pentagon launched a review of such companies following the Trump White House's labelling of China (and Russia) a "revisionist" power in its first National Security Strategy report in 2017. The goal was to investigate and warn about supply-chain vulnerabilities. The Department of Defense published a list in June 2020 of 20 companies which were "Qualified Entities". It updated the list in late August 2020. The former Secretary of Defense was ousted several days ago and the new Secretary of Defense is now responsible for the list. There is, as of last night, an Executive Order by the White House blocking US 'persons' investment in any of the names mentioned - a list now 31 names long.More below on the impact.

Trump's Executive Order on Chinese Military Companies

China Specialist, Auto and Industrial Specialist

Victoria Li

At the end of May, interview in the local media with contact from China State Railway Group clarified that Rmb100bn increment (mentioned in GWR on 22nd May) on rail investment for 2020E would be used to cover the company's loss in 1Q2020, not to increase capex. This indicates the risk that  further increase on China's rail investment expected by the market might not happen due to CSRG's poor profit.As a result, we suggest to stay with companies which already have sufficient orders rather than reliant on new orders. As central government wants more infrastructure to boost economy post Covid-19 pandemic, construction work would mostly continue at a faster-than-normal speed, while spending on equipment might be squeezed temporarily. Also, we still expect more new rail projects would be started, as starting new projects wouldn't require much cash outflow increase from China State Railway Group, but could trigger demand on upstream sectors such as construction machinery and help on economic recovery.We prefer CRG (390.HK) and CRCC(1186.HK) over CRRC(1766.HK) in 2020E.

At the end of May, interview in the local media with contact from China State Railway Group clarified that Rmb100bn increment (mentioned in GWR on 22nd May) on rail investment for 2020E would be used to cover the company's loss in 1Q2020, not to increase capex. This indicates the risk that  further increase on China's rail investment expected by the market might not happen due to CSRG's poor profit.As a result, we suggest to stay with companies which already have sufficient orders rather than reliant on new orders. As central government wants more infrastructure to boost economy post Covid-19 pandemic, construction work would mostly continue at a faster-than-normal speed, while spending on equipment might be squeezed temporarily. Also, we still expect more new rail projects would be started, as starting new projects wouldn't require much cash outflow increase from China State Railway Group, but could trigger demand on upstream sectors such as construction machinery and help on economic recovery.We prefer CRG (390.HK) and CRCC(1186.HK) over CRRC(1766.HK) in 2020E.

China Rail: The Investment Train Will Miss This Station in 2020E

China

CRRC Corporation Limited manufactures rolling stock products. The Company produces locomotives, passenger carriages, freight wagons, vehicles key components, and other products. CRRC also provides vehicle repairing, investment management, and other services.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

CRRC Corp Ltd A (601766 CH)

China & HK Strategy: Names to Watch for Market Value Management

SASAC issued "Several opinions on improving and strengthening the market value management of listed companies controlled by central enterprises"...

Osbert Tang, CFA

June Themes and Thematic Portfolio Review

We review overall market performance, our investment themes, highlighting additions and substractions in the thematic portfolio.

Rikki Malik

Aequitas: Sinotruk Placement - Third Selldown in Seven Months After Strong Run-Up

German truckmaker, MAN SE (via MAN Finance and Holding) is looking to sell around a 2% stake in Sinotruk (3808.HK) to raise up to US$261m via a...

Akshat Shah

Trump's Executive Order on Chinese Military Companies

The White House announced an Executive Order prohibiting "US persons" from "providing capital" to a list of "China Military Cos" which has been...

Travis Lundy

China Rail: The Investment Train Will Miss This Station in 2020E

At the end of May, interview in the local media with contact from China State Railway Group clarified that Rmb100bn increment (mentioned in GWR on...

Victoria Li

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)