Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>This past week saw dramatic moves in Japanese stock markets. TOPIX +3.1% N225 +4.8% - up the 6th week in a row - closing at their highest in 33 years. </li>
<li>Flows were positive the week before, and I expect we'll see next week they were positive this past week. But most striking was the interplay between Nikkei 225 and TOPIX.</li>
<li>If foreign inflows increase, Nikkei is likely to outperform TOPIX both because of its existence and previous use, and its construction. And that means watching one's trades, shorts, and executions.</li>
</ul>


This past week saw dramatic moves in Japanese stock markets. TOPIX +3.1% N225 +4.8% - up the 6th week in a row - closing at their highest in 33 years. 
Flows were positive the week before, and I expect we'll see next week they were positive this past week. But most striking was the interplay between Nikkei 225 and TOPIX.
If foreign inflows increase, Nikkei is likely to outperform TOPIX both because of its existence and previous use, and its construction. And that means watching one's trades, shorts, and executions.


Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>MS downgrades PC makers on risk high memory prices eat into margins.</li>
<li>China angst against Takaichi TW comments will cause JP rails, hotels etc. to fall further.</li>
<li>Advantest CEO meeting yesterday unlikely enough to appease investor demands after huge run.</li>
</ul>


MS downgrades PC makers on risk high memory prices eat into margins.
China angst against Takaichi TW comments will cause JP rails, hotels etc. to fall further.
Advantest CEO meeting yesterday unlikely enough to appease investor demands after huge run.


Japan Morning Connection: Tech Skittish Ahead of NVDA but Memory Continues to Run

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Nov 7th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD20,487m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in SoftBank, Advantest, Fujikura, Sanrio, Socionext, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Nintendo, Recruit, IHI, Nippon Telegraph and Telephone, Softbank, Advantest, Fujikura, Sanrio, Socionext.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Nov 7th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD20,487m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in SoftBank, Advantest, Fujikura, Sanrio, Socionext, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Nintendo, Recruit, IHI, Nippon Telegraph and Telephone, Softbank, Advantest, Fujikura, Sanrio, Socionext.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Nov 7th): SoftBank, Advantest, Fujikura, Sanrio, Socionext

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of TOPIX CORE 30 in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Recruit, Hitachi, Sony Financial, Toyota Motor, SoftBank, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Toyota Motor, Mitsubishi Ufj Financial, Hitachi, Softbank, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial, Recruit.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of TOPIX CORE 30 in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Recruit, Hitachi, Sony Financial, Toyota Motor, SoftBank, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Toyota Motor, Mitsubishi Ufj Financial, Hitachi, Softbank, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial, Recruit.


TOPIX CORE 30 Index Earning Revision (Oct): Recruit, Hitachi, Sony Financial, Toyota Motor, SoftBank

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

<ul>
<li>
Context: The Bank of Japan (BoJ) will announce its monetary policy decision on Friday, 19 September 2025. Unlike most central banks, the BoJ announces its decisions flexibly, usually around noon.</li>
<li>
Highlight: Analysis of the past 13 meetings hints at patterns linking longer meetings and delayed announcements with policy changes, including a surprise hike in July 2024.</li>
<li>
Why it Matters: This analysis helps investors interpret timing signals ahead of the 19 September decision, assessing whether delay itself could hint at an outcome shift.</li>
</ul>



Context: The Bank of Japan (BoJ) will announce its monetary policy decision on Friday, 19 September 2025. Unlike most central banks, the BoJ announces its decisions flexibly, usually around noon.

Highlight: Analysis of the past 13 meetings hints at patterns linking longer meetings and delayed announcements with policy changes, including a surprise hike in July 2024.

Why it Matters: This analysis helps investors interpret timing signals ahead of the 19 September decision, assessing whether delay itself could hint at an outcome shift.


Bank of Japan’s Rate Decision on Sept 19: Does Timing Signal the Outcome?

Japan

DAIKIN INDUSTRIES, LTD. manufactures air conditioning equipment for household and commercial use.  The Company also produces fluorine chemical products such as fluorinated hydrocarbon gas and shells and warheads for defense industry.

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Daikin Industries (6367 JP)

Nikkei 225 Vs TOPIX Dynamics

Last week, Japan's indices hit new 33yr highs. "Japan is back" seems to be a new narrative, and that is creating new inflows. Some of that has...

Travis Lundy

Japan Morning Connection: Tech Skittish Ahead of NVDA but Memory Continues to Run

JP SPE rebound momentum likely to drop out following the shaky lead overnight. JR rails and hotel names may trade down following tensions with...

Andrew Jackson

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Nov 7th): SoftBank, Advantest, Fujikura, Sanrio, Socionext

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted SoftBank (9984 JP), Advantest (6857 JP), Fujikura (5803 JP),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TOPIX CORE 30 Index Earning Revision (Oct): Recruit, Hitachi, Sony Financial, Toyota Motor, SoftBank

We analyzed TOPIX CORE 30's consensus for Oct 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Recruit (6098 JP), Hitachi (6501 JP), Sony Financial (8729...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Bank of Japan’s Rate Decision on Sept 19: Does Timing Signal the Outcome?

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) will announce its monetary policy decision on Friday, 19 September 2025. The BoJ announces its decisions flexibly, usually...

Gaudenz Schneider

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