Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Darktrace shares rallied ~64% in 2024 after the company raised FY24 revenue, adj. EBITDA guidance and Thoma Bravo offered 620 pence/share in cash to take Darktrace private.</li>
<li>The acquisition is expected to complete during 3Q or 4Q of 2024. The cybersecurity unicorn has delivered revenue growth at scale coupled with solid profitability and cash flow generation.</li>
<li>I maintained a bullish view on the undervalued stock and initiated coverage of Darktrace on January 11, 2023, with a 497p price target as steep discount was unjustified.</li>
</ul>


Darktrace shares rallied ~64% in 2024 after the company raised FY24 revenue, adj. EBITDA guidance and Thoma Bravo offered 620 pence/share in cash to take Darktrace private.
The acquisition is expected to complete during 3Q or 4Q of 2024. The cybersecurity unicorn has delivered revenue growth at scale coupled with solid profitability and cash flow generation.
I maintained a bullish view on the undervalued stock and initiated coverage of Darktrace on January 11, 2023, with a 497p price target as steep discount was unjustified.


Bright Day For Darktrace: Thoma Bravo Adds Cybersecurity Unicorn To Its Portfolio

European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Thoma Bravo offers to acquire <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/darktrace-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34466:1" rel="noopener">Darktrace (DARK LN)</a> for $7.75/share in cash, 19.6% premium, 44.3% premium to 3-month VWAP, 148% to IPO price, 6.2x EV/Fwd NTM Revenue, 26.8x EV/Fwd NTM EBITDA.</li>
<li>Irrevocable undertakings total 14.4%. Darktrace's innovative technology aligns well with existing offerings in the cybersecurity ecosystem, making it a potential target for acquisition by a larger, established vendor.</li>
<li>I think the proposed price is fair and see the take-out as a strong result for Darktrace shareholders. I believe the deal will close. Gross spread is 2.3%. Long.
</li>
</ul>


Thoma Bravo offers to acquire Darktrace (DARK LN) for $7.75/share in cash, 19.6% premium, 44.3% premium to 3-month VWAP, 148% to IPO price, 6.2x EV/Fwd NTM Revenue, 26.8x EV/Fwd NTM EBITDA.
Irrevocable undertakings total 14.4%. Darktrace's innovative technology aligns well with existing offerings in the cybersecurity ecosystem, making it a potential target for acquisition by a larger, established vendor.
I think the proposed price is fair and see the take-out as a strong result for Darktrace shareholders. I believe the deal will close. Gross spread is 2.3%. Long.



Thoma Bravo Agrees to Acquire Cybersecurity Player Darktrace

Equity Analyst, Event-driven, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Equity Analyst, Event-driven

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>The SE600 index is one of the most widely followed benchmark indices in Europe. This index is rebalanced on a quarterly basis.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes that could take place between now and the end of the June 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>Currently, I see 7 ADDs and 7 DELs for the SE600 index. There are more names just outside the border requiring small price changes to get involved in index changes. </li>
</ul>


The SE600 index is one of the most widely followed benchmark indices in Europe. This index is rebalanced on a quarterly basis.
In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes that could take place between now and the end of the June 2024 index rebal event.
Currently, I see 7 ADDs and 7 DELs for the SE600 index. There are more names just outside the border requiring small price changes to get involved in index changes. 


Quiddity Leaderboard SE600 Mar 24: 7 Changes Likely; Expected ADDs Could Outperform Expected DELs

The European Benchmark Indices (BMI) of the STOXX Index family are reviewed on a quarterly basis in March, June, September and December. In this insight, we take a look at the potential adds and deletes for the next review which will take place in December 2021 for the STOXX Europe 600 Index and the EURO STOXX Index. The STOXX Europe 600 Index is a benchmark index with a fixed number of 600 components representing large, mid and small capitalization companies across 17 countries of the European region. The EURO STOXX Index is a subset of the STOXX Europe 600 Index and is also the parent index for one of the most widely tracked blue-chip indices in the Eurozone ("EURO STOXX 50"), which is rebalanced once a year in September. <div>More below the fold.</div>

The European Benchmark Indices (BMI) of the STOXX Index family are reviewed on a quarterly basis in March, June, September and December. In this insight, we take a look at the potential adds and deletes for the next review which will take place in December 2021 for the STOXX Europe 600 Index and the EURO STOXX Index. The STOXX Europe 600 Index is a benchmark index with a fixed number of 600 components representing large, mid and small capitalization companies across 17 countries of the European region. The EURO STOXX Index is a subset of the STOXX Europe 600 Index and is also the parent index for one of the most widely tracked blue-chip indices in the Eurozone ("EURO STOXX 50"), which is rebalanced once a year in September. More below the fold.

STOXX Europe Indices: Quiddity Leaderboard for December 2021 Rebalance

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

<ul>
<li>
Tax-Loss Selling's a subject of interest in Australia. Retail investors will take gains on stocks which run up in price, or get taken over, then look for losses to offset.</li>
<li>Investors are caught out as the Aussie government "approves" <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanwha-ocean-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12531:1" rel="noopener">Hanwha Ocean (042660 KS)</a> buyng <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/austal-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14420:1" rel="noopener">Austal Ltd (ASB AU)</a>. There is evidently a lot more going on in the background. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/west-japan-railway-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12077:1" rel="noopener">West Japan Railway Co (9021 JP)</a> announces a biggish buyback. One could buy dips, but one should probably not chase. For that, suggest this acts as a range trade.</li>
</ul>



Tax-Loss Selling's a subject of interest in Australia. Retail investors will take gains on stocks which run up in price, or get taken over, then look for losses to offset.
Investors are caught out as the Aussie government "approves" Hanwha Ocean (042660 KS) buyng Austal Ltd (ASB AU). There is evidently a lot more going on in the background. 

West Japan Railway Co (9021 JP) announces a biggish buyback. One could buy dips, but one should probably not chase. For that, suggest this acts as a range trade.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Aussie Tax-Loss Selling, Austal, West Japan Railway, PICC/PICC P&C

United Kingdom

Darktrace PLC operates as an AI company. The Company develops immune system platform which leverages unsupervised machine learning to detect cyber-threats. Darktrace serves customers worldwide.

Darktrace (DARK LN)

Bright Day For Darktrace: Thoma Bravo Adds Cybersecurity Unicorn To Its Portfolio

British cybersecurity unicorn Darktrace agreed sale to PE firm Thoma Bravo for ~£4.3B or 620p/share. In my insight I discuss valuation analysis of...

Andrei Zakharov

Thoma Bravo Agrees to Acquire Cybersecurity Player Darktrace

PE firm Thoma Bravo offers to acquire Darktrace for $7.75/share, 19.6% premium. Irrevocable undertakings total 14.4%. Darktrace's innovative...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Quiddity Leaderboard SE600 Mar 24: 7 Changes Likely; Expected ADDs Could Outperform Expected DELs

My latest estimate for one-way flow is US$95mn. The expected ADDs have strong positive momentum while the expected DELs have strong negative momentum.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

STOXX Europe Indices: Quiddity Leaderboard for December 2021 Rebalance

A look at the potential adds and deletes for the December 2021 index review for the STOXX Europe 600 Index and the EURO STOXX Index.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Last Week in Event SPACE: Aussie Tax-Loss Selling, Austal, West Japan Railway, PICC/PICC P&C

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett