Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Datang International Power Generation / Event-Driven

Datang International Power Generation (991 HK)

<ul>
<li>Huge volumes continue to be traded on the mainland share markets. SOUTHBOUND volumes are dropping fast (down 28%wow, down 60-65% vs peak a few weeks ago).</li>
<li>AH premia expanded on average. Liquid H/A pairs saw the H underperform the A in the pair by 1.52% last week. </li>
<li>Continuing differences in opinion between onshore and offshore opinion regarding the vibe of Chinese stimulus will continue to lead to interesting dispersion. Identify the trend and jump in.</li>
</ul>


Huge volumes continue to be traded on the mainland share markets. SOUTHBOUND volumes are dropping fast (down 28%wow, down 60-65% vs peak a few weeks ago).
AH premia expanded on average. Liquid H/A pairs saw the H underperform the A in the pair by 1.52% last week. 
Continuing differences in opinion between onshore and offshore opinion regarding the vibe of Chinese stimulus will continue to lead to interesting dispersion. Identify the trend and jump in.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 1 Nov 2024): AH Premia Higher as A-Share Tech Underperforms

<ul>
<li>Huge volumes traded on the mainland, Southbound volumes dropped, AH Premia contracted a little bit, but not much. Things are starting to stabilise.</li>
<li>Average AH pairwise volatility is super high. Intracorrelation of spreads quite low. Lots of room to market-make wide spreads/high premia. High premia may continue to contract on speculation.</li>
<li>Continuing different onshore and offshore opinion regarding the nature and vibe of Chinese stimulus will continue to lead to interesting dispersion. Identify the trend, then market make around it.</li>
</ul>


Huge volumes traded on the mainland, Southbound volumes dropped, AH Premia contracted a little bit, but not much. Things are starting to stabilise.
Average AH pairwise volatility is super high. Intracorrelation of spreads quite low. Lots of room to market-make wide spreads/high premia. High premia may continue to contract on speculation.
Continuing different onshore and offshore opinion regarding the nature and vibe of Chinese stimulus will continue to lead to interesting dispersion. Identify the trend, then market make around it.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 18 Oct 2024): AH Premia Drop Sharply; High Premia May Contract More

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

China Power International Development / Equity Bottom-Up

China Power International Development (2380 HK)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-power-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15548:1" rel="noopener">China Power International (2380 HK)</a> kicked off FY24 with an impressive 51.5% surge in 1H24 net profit. All business segments improved YoY, with hydropower being the best. </li>
<li>Both volume growth and cost reduction are the key drivers, supporting a 7.2pp gross margin expansion. The 5pp increase in the proportion of hydropower sold also lifted profitability.</li>
<li>CPI will grow its capacity to 52GW by end FY24, a 15.5% YoY and 7.8% HoH increase. Moreover, the upside will come from more asset injection from its parent.</li>
</ul>



China Power International (2380 HK) kicked off FY24 with an impressive 51.5% surge in 1H24 net profit. All business segments improved YoY, with hydropower being the best. 
Both volume growth and cost reduction are the key drivers, supporting a 7.2pp gross margin expansion. The 5pp increase in the proportion of hydropower sold also lifted profitability.
CPI will grow its capacity to 52GW by end FY24, a 15.5% YoY and 7.8% HoH increase. Moreover, the upside will come from more asset injection from its parent.


China Power International (2380 HK): Firing on All Cylinders

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 103.3% as of Jun 21st.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -1.5ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, communication services, consumer staples and offset by utilities, information technology.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Tourism, Shenhua, China Telecom, CNOOC, Hua Hong Semi, YOFC, Huadian.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 103.3% as of Jun 21st.
The average A-H premium changed by -1.5ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, communication services, consumer staples and offset by utilities, information technology.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Tourism, Shenhua, China Telecom, CNOOC, Hua Hong Semi, YOFC, Huadian.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 21st): China Tourism, Shenhua, China Telecom, CNOOC, Hua Hong Semi, YOFC

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 105.3% as of Jun 14th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 1.6ppt week-on-week, led by consumer discretionary, information technology, financials and offset by consumer staples, utilities, real estate.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for  China Tourism, CGN Power, Huadian Power, Hua Hong Semi, Huaneng Power.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 105.3% as of Jun 14th.
The average A-H premium changed by 1.6ppt week-on-week, led by consumer discretionary, information technology, financials and offset by consumer staples, utilities, real estate.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for  China Tourism, CGN Power, Huadian Power, Hua Hong Semi, Huaneng Power.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 14th): China Tourism, CGN Power, Huadian Power, Hua Hong Semi, Huaneng Power

China

Datang International Power Generation is a major state-owned power producer in China, primarily engaged in generating electricity from diverse sources including coal-fired, thermal, hydro, wind, nuclear, and solar, alongside supplying heat. The company also operates in coal trading, chemical products, transportation, and power-related technical services. It was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Beijing, People's Republic of China.

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Datang International Power Generation (991 HK)

A/H Premium Tracker (To 18 Oct 2024): AH Premia Drop Sharply; High Premia May Contract More

AH Pair Premia start to settle down as an average but there is a lot of dispersion still across names and sectors. It's a great time to have an...

Travis Lundy

China Power International (2380 HK): Firing on All Cylinders

CPI saw a 51.5% surge in 1H24 net profit, driven by growth in all business segments, particularly hydropower. Expansion in capacity and cost...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 21st): China Tourism, Shenhua, China Telecom, CNOOC, Hua Hong Semi, YOFC

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Tourism, Shenhua, China Telecom, CNOOC, Hua Hong Semi,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 14th): China Tourism, CGN Power, Huadian Power, Hua Hong Semi, Huaneng Power

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Tourism, CGN Power, Huadian Power, Hua Hong Semi,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

A/H Premium Tracker (To 1 Nov 2024): AH Premia Higher as A-Share Tech Underperforms

AH premia widened this week with liquid spreads widening more than average spreads. The premium curve was inconsistent. Opportunistic reversion...

Travis Lundy

A/H Premium Tracker (To 18 Oct 2024): AH Premia Drop Sharply; High Premia May Contract More

AH Pair Premia start to settle down as an average but there is a lot of dispersion still across names and sectors. It's a great time to have an...

Travis Lundy

China Power International (2380 HK): Firing on All Cylinders

​CPI saw a 51.5% surge in 1H24 net profit, driven by growth in all business segments, particularly hydropower. Expansion in capacity and cost...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 21st): China Tourism, Shenhua, China Telecom, CNOOC, Hua Hong Semi, YOFC

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Tourism, Shenhua, China Telecom, CNOOC, Hua Hong Semi,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 14th): China Tourism, CGN Power, Huadian Power, Hua Hong Semi, Huaneng Power

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Tourism, CGN Power, Huadian Power, Hua Hong Semi,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CPI saw a 51.5% surge in 1H24 net profit, driven by growth in all business segments, particularly hydropower. Expansion in capacity and cost...