SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Last week, the trio of DBS, UOB and OCBC averaged 3.4% gains, bringing their average 3Q23-to-date total return to 8.7%.</li><li>The 3Q23-to-date has seen the trio of DBS, UOB & OCBC report combined 2Q23 Net Interest Income (NII) of S$8.26 billion, marking the third-consecutive quarter that combined quarterly NII has been above the S$8.0 billion mark.</li><li>DBS Group Holdings (DBS), United Overseas Bank (UOB) and Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation (OCBC) also moved in tandem averaging a 4% gain on the week.</li></ul>

Last week, the trio of DBS, UOB and OCBC averaged 3.4% gains, bringing their average 3Q23-to-date total return to 8.7%.The 3Q23-to-date has seen the trio of DBS, UOB & OCBC report combined 2Q23 Net Interest Income (NII) of S$8.26 billion, marking the third-consecutive quarter that combined quarterly NII has been above the S$8.0 billion mark.DBS Group Holdings (DBS), United Overseas Bank (UOB) and Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation (OCBC) also moved in tandem averaging a 4% gain on the week.

Global Banks Led Stocks on the Week with Arm IPO & Growth Outlook

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), RHB Invest

RHB Invest

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

RHB Investment Bank is one of the leading capital market players in Malaysia. Supported by an award-winning research team of experienced product specialists, RHB Group Investment Banking offers a full range of investment banking products and services covering primary markets, such as advisory (corporate & debt restructuring, mergers and acquisitions, takeovers), fundraising via both equity and debt instruments, and secondary markets including securities trading for both institutional and retail clients. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Against the backdrop of a weak domestic economy and an uncertain global economic outlook, and an above-mean valuation of 1.4x P/BV, DBS's share price will likely be range-bound in the near term.</li><li>Although the latest S$2.3m penalty imposed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) will have an immaterial impact on earnings, this once again highlights DBS’ operational shortcomings.</li><li>Singapore’s non-oil domestic exports (NODX) fell by a sharper-than-expected 14.7% y-o-y in May, resulting in a NODX contraction of 14.6% for Jan-May 2023. y 3% y-o-y in FY24F, before rising 4% y-o-y in FY25F.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Against the backdrop of a weak domestic economy and an uncertain global economic outlook, and an above-mean valuation of 1.4x P/BV, DBS's share price will likely be range-bound in the near term.Although the latest S$2.3m penalty imposed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) will have an immaterial impact on earnings, this once again highlights DBS’ operational shortcomings.Singapore’s non-oil domestic exports (NODX) fell by a sharper-than-expected 14.7% y-o-y in May, resulting in a NODX contraction of 14.6% for Jan-May 2023. y 3% y-o-y in FY24F, before rising 4% y-o-y in FY25F.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

DBS Group - Economic Headwinds, Above Mean Valuation

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>J&amp;T Global Express, a global logistics provider, raised about US$500m in its Hong Kong IPO in Oct 2023. Its pre-IPO investors will be released from its IPO linked lockup soon.</li>
<li>As per Frost &amp; Sullivan (F&amp;S), the firm is the leading express delivery business in Southeast Asia, with a 25.4% market share as per 2023 parcel volume.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry and possible deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>


J&amp;T Global Express, a global logistics provider, raised about US$500m in its Hong Kong IPO in Oct 2023. Its pre-IPO investors will be released from its IPO linked lockup soon.
As per Frost &amp; Sullivan (F&amp;S), the firm is the leading express delivery business in Southeast Asia, with a 25.4% market share as per 2023 parcel volume.
In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry and possible deal dynamics.


J&T Global Express IPO Lock-Up Expiry - Tiny Float with 87%+ Stake Lockup Release Worth >US$8.8bn

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

<ul>
<li>Oil is down dramatically from USD83.26 in April this year to USD67.37 now</li>
<li>DBS saw a surge in NPLs in FY16 from the oil price decline in that time</li>
<li>There appears to be some correlation between DBS and oil prices</li>
</ul>


Oil is down dramatically from USD83.26 in April this year to USD67.37 now
DBS saw a surge in NPLs in FY16 from the oil price decline in that time
There appears to be some correlation between DBS and oil prices


DBS - Beware of Oil Exposures like Last Time Oil Prices Declined

<ul><li>We attended DBS’ Investor Day on 22 May 2023 where management shared their digital-led strategy in growth markets, how new businesses with potential have evolved from the previous Investor Day in 2017 and addressed some of the questions from investors and analysts.</li><li>Technology has transformed the way they manage with the use of a hybrid multi-cloud strategy with in-house infrastructure as a service.</li><li>Other business segments such as Consumer and SME, Private banking, Global transaction services, and Treasury markets have also benefited from the digital transformation.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We attended DBS’ Investor Day on 22 May 2023 where management shared their digital-led strategy in growth markets, how new businesses with potential have evolved from the previous Investor Day in 2017 and addressed some of the questions from investors and analysts.Technology has transformed the way they manage with the use of a hybrid multi-cloud strategy with in-house infrastructure as a service.Other business segments such as Consumer and SME, Private banking, Global transaction services, and Treasury markets have also benefited from the digital transformation.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

DBS Group - Dividends To Increase By S$0.24 Per Year

Singapore

DBS Group Holdings Limited and its subsidiaries provide a variety of financial services.  The Company offers services including mortgage financing, lease and hire purchase financing, nominee and trustee, funds management, corporate advisory and brokerage .  DBS Group also acts as the primary dealer in Singapore government securities.

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DBS (DBS SP)

Global Banks Led Stocks on the Week with Arm IPO & Growth Outlook

Last week, the trio of DBS, UOB and OCBC averaged 3.4% gains, bringing their average 3Q23-to-date total return to 8.7%. The 3Q23-to-date has seen...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

DBS Group - Economic Headwinds, Above Mean Valuation

Against the backdrop of a weak domestic economy and an uncertain global economic outlook, and an above-mean valuation of 1.4x P/BV, DBS's share...

RHB Invest

J&T Global Express IPO Lock-Up Expiry - Tiny Float with 87%+ Stake Lockup Release Worth >US$8.8bn

J&T Global Express' IPO linked lockup expired over the weeked. The stock has been correcting over the past few weeks, especially with the CCASS...

Sumeet Singh

DBS - Beware of Oil Exposures like Last Time Oil Prices Declined

Oil prices are down dramatically, where DBS is exposed. This may explain what appears to be a good correlation, oil and DBS. Credit costs can rise...

Daniel Tabbush

DBS Group - Dividends To Increase By S$0.24 Per Year

Technology has transformed the way they manage with the use of a hybrid multi-cloud strategy with in-house infrastructure as a service.

RHB Invest

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