Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).</li>
<li>We will maintain our bullish view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 5700-5785 and $119-$121.</li>
<li>$123-$123.50 remains short-term support to watch on ACWI-US (6.5-month base); we would expect support here on a pullback, but a break below it would likely mean a test of $119-$121</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).
We will maintain our bullish view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 5700-5785 and $119-$121.
$123-$123.50 remains short-term support to watch on ACWI-US (6.5-month base); we would expect support here on a pullback, but a break below it would likely mean a test of $119-$121


Israel TA-125 Remains Bullish; Buys in Norway; All MSCI Global Indexes Above Base Supports

Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>From 15th may to 17th June our Asia-ex-Japan Model Portfolio returned 3.37% vs MSCI Asia-ex-Japan's 2.62%. Overweight on Korea and stock selection in HK/China, Taiwan and Philippines helped.</li>
<li>Top 5 performers were Digiplus (+31.9%), SK Hynix (+27.1%), Hana Financials (+23.8%), Netease (+21%), CCB (+9.8%). The worst 5: Alibaba (-11.4%), BYD (-8.5%), Trip.Com (-7.4%), Titan (-7.2%), M&amp;M (-5.1%).</li>
<li>Our themes - tech investment momentum, Chinese consumption revival, cyclical recovery in India and dividend yield across the region - are working fine. We make no changes to our portfolio.</li>
</ul>


From 15th may to 17th June our Asia-ex-Japan Model Portfolio returned 3.37% vs MSCI Asia-ex-Japan's 2.62%. Overweight on Korea and stock selection in HK/China, Taiwan and Philippines helped.
Top 5 performers were Digiplus (+31.9%), SK Hynix (+27.1%), Hana Financials (+23.8%), Netease (+21%), CCB (+9.8%). The worst 5: Alibaba (-11.4%), BYD (-8.5%), Trip.Com (-7.4%), Titan (-7.2%), M&amp;M (-5.1%).
Our themes - tech investment momentum, Chinese consumption revival, cyclical recovery in India and dividend yield across the region - are working fine. We make no changes to our portfolio.


Asia Strategy: Our Model Portfolio Outperformed. Focus Themes Intact; No Changes for Now

CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: All fourteen stocks have changed in the portfolio</li>
<li>Since its inception, it has generated a before-fee total return of 262% versus the MSCI Asia ex Japan of 110%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology
Portfolio changes: All fourteen stocks have changed in the portfolio
Since its inception, it has generated a before-fee total return of 262% versus the MSCI Asia ex Japan of 110%


<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass when we discussed SPX 5110-5120 as a bounce spot and a level to trade [long] against.</li>
<li>Possible that major lows are in at 4800-4820 SPX and $402-$412 on the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), as discussed in 4/10/25 Int'l Compass. For now we want to remain near-term bullish</li>
<li>200-Day MAs on ACWI-US and SPX are spots where they <em>could</em> roll over. This is just a lean; if we see no reason to sell at those levels, we won't.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass when we discussed SPX 5110-5120 as a bounce spot and a level to trade [long] against.
Possible that major lows are in at 4800-4820 SPX and $402-$412 on the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), as discussed in 4/10/25 Int'l Compass. For now we want to remain near-term bullish
200-Day MAs on ACWI-US and SPX are spots where they could roll over. This is just a lean; if we see no reason to sell at those levels, we won't.


Invest As If the Lows Are In; EURO STOXX 50 and TOPIX Reclaim Key Levels

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Philippine Stock Exchange / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We are gradually building a high-conviction coverage of ideas for mid and small-cap companies in the Philippines.</li>
<li>We established metrics focusing on high ROCE, sustainable growth of 10-15% year-over-year, robust balance sheets, and prudent capital allocation, essential elements for identifying potential multi-bagger opportunities.</li>
<li>We add <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intl-container-term-svcs-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20001:1" rel="noopener">ICTSI (ICT PM)</a>  and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asian-terminals-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22959:1" rel="noopener">Asian Terminals (ATI PM)</a> to our Philippines high-conviction list, which we will be initiating coverage on shortly. </li>
</ul>


We are gradually building a high-conviction coverage of ideas for mid and small-cap companies in the Philippines.
We established metrics focusing on high ROCE, sustainable growth of 10-15% year-over-year, robust balance sheets, and prudent capital allocation, essential elements for identifying potential multi-bagger opportunities.
We add ICTSI (ICT PM)  and Asian Terminals (ATI PM) to our Philippines high-conviction list, which we will be initiating coverage on shortly. 


Shortlist of High Conviction Philippines Equity Ideas - April 2025

Philippines

DigiPlus Interactive Corp. provides gaming and leisure facilities. The Company offers multi-gaming platforms, numerous products, and games with a strong distribution network of entertainment facilities in neighborhood sites. DigiPlus Interactive serves customers in the Philippines.

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DigiPlus Interactive (PLUS PM)

Israel TA-125 Remains Bullish; Buys in Norway; All MSCI Global Indexes Above Base Supports

Israel TA-125 Remains Bullish; Buys in Norway; All MSCI Global Indexes Above Base Supports $ACWI, $ACWX, ACWI ex-US Small-Caps, $EEM, and $EFA....

Vermilion Research

Asia Strategy: Our Model Portfolio Outperformed. Focus Themes Intact; No Changes for Now

Our AxJ Model Portfolio outperformed MSCI AxJ. Overwt Korea & stock choice in HK/CN, TW, & Phils helped. Themes - tech investment momentum, CN...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

The Stocks to Own in Asia – Vol. 49

We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology. Portfolio changes: All 14 stocks have changed.

A. Stotz Investment Research

Invest As If the Lows Are In; EURO STOXX 50 and TOPIX Reclaim Key Levels

Invest As If the Lows Are In; EURO $STOXX 50 and $TOPIX Reclaim Key Levels; Still near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass report. Possible...

Vermilion Research

Shortlist of High Conviction Philippines Equity Ideas - April 2025

We compile our selection of small and mid-cap names for the Philippines with our desired characteristics of high dividend yields, value, and margin...

Sameer Taneja

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Israel TA-125 Remains Bullish; Buys in Norway; All MSCI Global Indexes Above Base Supports

Israel TA-125 Remains Bullish; Buys in Norway; All MSCI Global Indexes Above Base Supports $ACWI, $ACWX, ACWI ex-US Small-Caps, $EEM, and $EFA....

Vermilion Research

Asia Strategy: Our Model Portfolio Outperformed. Focus Themes Intact; No Changes for Now

​Our AxJ Model Portfolio outperformed MSCI AxJ. Overwt Korea & stock choice in HK/CN, TW, & Phils helped. Themes - tech investment momentum, CN...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

The Stocks to Own in Asia – Vol. 49

We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology. Portfolio changes: All 14 stocks have changed.

A. Stotz Investment Research

Invest As If the Lows Are In; EURO STOXX 50 and TOPIX Reclaim Key Levels

Invest As If the Lows Are In; EURO $STOXX 50 and $TOPIX Reclaim Key Levels; Still near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass report. Possible...

Vermilion Research

Shortlist of High Conviction Philippines Equity Ideas - April 2025

We compile our selection of small and mid-cap names for the Philippines with our desired characteristics of high dividend yields, value, and margin...

Sameer Taneja

Our AxJ Model Portfolio outperformed MSCI AxJ. Overwt Korea & stock choice in HK/CN, TW, & Phils helped. Themes - tech investment momentum, CN...