Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In May 2022, Delhivery raised around US$680m in its India IPO, the company is backed by a host of financial investors, the largest being Softbank.</li>
<li>Delhivery is an online logistics service provider which covers express parcel delivery, heavy goods delivery, part truckload (PTL) freight, truckload (TL) freight, supply chain solutions, cross border solutions etc.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the upcoming lockup expiry.</li>
</ul>


In May 2022, Delhivery raised around US$680m in its India IPO, the company is backed by a host of financial investors, the largest being Softbank.
Delhivery is an online logistics service provider which covers express parcel delivery, heavy goods delivery, part truckload (PTL) freight, truckload (TL) freight, supply chain solutions, cross border solutions etc.
In this note, we will talk about the upcoming lockup expiry.


Delhivery IPO Lockup Expiry - US$2.8bn Lockup Release, with Softbank the Largest Holder

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Avenue Supermarts: Higher bill sizes + lower footfalls aid FMCG profitability/productivity but are a sign of more targeted shopping with little room for discovery-based purchases (courtesy inflationary pressures), which in turn make a dent on the more profitable GM &amp; apparel sales (constituted &lt;25% vs a typical run-rate of 28%).</li><li>L&amp;T Infotech: L&amp;T Infotech’s (LTI) revenue and margin came in line in Q2FY23.</li><li>ICICI Prudential Life: ICICI Prudential Life (IPRU) reported a weak APE growth (+1.7% 3-year CAGR, in line with estimates); however, VNB margins, at 31%, surprised (200bps ahead of estimates), translating into 21% YoY VNB growth.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Avenue Supermarts: Higher bill sizes + lower footfalls aid FMCG profitability/productivity but are a sign of more targeted shopping with little room for discovery-based purchases (courtesy inflationary pressures), which in turn make a dent on the more profitable GM &amp; apparel sales (constituted &lt;25% vs a typical run-rate of 28%).L&amp;T Infotech: L&amp;T Infotech’s (LTI) revenue and margin came in line in Q2FY23.ICICI Prudential Life: ICICI Prudential Life (IPRU) reported a weak APE growth (+1.7% 3-year CAGR, in line with estimates); however, VNB margins, at 31%, surprised (200bps ahead of estimates), translating into 21% YoY VNB growth.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Avenue Supermarts, L&T Infotech, ICICI Prudential Life, Angel One

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>DMART Q2FY23 reported consolidated revenue growth of ~37% YoY (21% on a 3-Year CAGR basis) to Rs 10,683 Cr, a trend which we continue to see for three quarters.</li><li>The growth was primarily led by FMCG and staples segment, while the general merchandise and apparel segment grew slower.</li><li>The management highlighted that the recovery in the discretionary items in the non- FMCG segment was still below pre-Covid levels as inflationary pressure is more acute at lower price points of the discretionary non-FMCG category. </li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

DMART Q2FY23 reported consolidated revenue growth of ~37% YoY (21% on a 3-Year CAGR basis) to Rs 10,683 Cr, a trend which we continue to see for three quarters.The growth was primarily led by FMCG and staples segment, while the general merchandise and apparel segment grew slower.The management highlighted that the recovery in the discretionary items in the non- FMCG segment was still below pre-Covid levels as inflationary pressure is more acute at lower price points of the discretionary non-FMCG category. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Avenue Supermarts (DMART) - Discretionary Yet To Recover Fully; Maintain HOLD

<ul><li>Discretionary categories to clock another healthy quarter: Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~29% YoY (revenue) in Q2FY23 (3-year revenue/EBITDA CAGRs of 19/17% resp)</li><li>Ticket sizes in retail remain elevated, courtesy higher ASP vis-à-vis pre-pandemic levels</li><li>Footfalls density is normalising too; esp in categories/companies with a higher urban presence</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Discretionary categories to clock another healthy quarter: Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~29% YoY (revenue) in Q2FY23 (3-year revenue/EBITDA CAGRs of 19/17% resp)Ticket sizes in retail remain elevated, courtesy higher ASP vis-à-vis pre-pandemic levelsFootfalls density is normalising too; esp in categories/companies with a higher urban presenceContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Discretionary (Q2FY23 Results Preview): Expect a buoyant quarter; alas! bargains absent

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

S&P BSE SENSEX Index / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We continue to see global equities as being in pullback mode, with the MSCI ACWI index (ACWI-US) already testing important support in the $86-87 range, highlighted last week.</li>
<li>A bounce here would be ideal for the bullish case, but we could easily see a test of the YTD lows near $81.50 if $86 fails to hold.</li>
<li>Japan's TOPIX/Nikkei225/TOPIX Small remain bullish, as does India's SENSEX -- add exposure. Seeing some failed breakouts in Europe, notably the EURO STOXX 50 and STOXX Europe 600; a concerning development.</li>
</ul>


We continue to see global equities as being in pullback mode, with the MSCI ACWI index (ACWI-US) already testing important support in the $86-87 range, highlighted last week.
A bounce here would be ideal for the bullish case, but we could easily see a test of the YTD lows near $81.50 if $86 fails to hold.
Japan's TOPIX/Nikkei225/TOPIX Small remain bullish, as does India's SENSEX -- add exposure. Seeing some failed breakouts in Europe, notably the EURO STOXX 50 and STOXX Europe 600; a concerning development.


Pullback Continues; Japan & India Remain Attractive

India

Avenue Supermarts Ltd. (ASL) owns and operates hypermarkets and supermarkets. The Company offers products such as garments, footwears, toys and games, bed and bath linen, stationery, grocery, household, and electronic products. ASL operates throughout India.

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Avenue Supermarts Ltd (DMART IN)

Delhivery IPO Lockup Expiry - US$2.8bn Lockup Release, with Softbank the Largest Holder

In May 2022, Delhivery raised around US$680m in its India IPO, the company is backed by a host of financial investors, the largest being Softbank....

Sumeet Singh

HSIE Results Daily: Avenue Supermarts, L&T Infotech, ICICI Prudential Life, Angel One

Higher bill sizes + lower footfalls aid FMCG profitability/productivity but are a sign of more targeted shopping with little room for discovery...

HDFC Securities

Avenue Supermarts (DMART) - Discretionary Yet To Recover Fully; Maintain HOLD

DMART Q2FY23 reported consolidated revenue growth of ~37% YoY (21% on a 3-Year CAGR basis) to Rs 10,683 Cr, a trend which we continue to see for...

Axis Direct

Consumer Discretionary (Q2FY23 Results Preview): Expect a buoyant quarter; alas! bargains absent

Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~29% YoY (revenue) in Q2FY23 (3-year revenue/EBITDA CAGRs of 19/17% resp)

HDFC Securities

Pullback Continues; Japan & India Remain Attractive

Stick with Japan & India. $ACWI bounce at $86 would be ideal for the bullish case (i.e., establishing a higher low), but we could easily see a test...

Vermilion Research

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