Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/national-stock-exchange" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23751:1" rel="noopener">National Stock Exchange (NSEIN IN)</a> has announced a list of 45 stocks that will be added to the Futures &amp; Options (F&amp;O) segment of the market from 29 November.</li>
<li>There will be changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50 Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index</a> and the CNXIT Index over the next couple of rebalances.</li>
<li>There are some interesting situations out there, including a change to the universe for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX)</a> that could lead to more changes. </li>
</ul>


The National Stock Exchange (NSEIN IN) has announced a list of 45 stocks that will be added to the Futures &amp; Options (F&amp;O) segment of the market from 29 November.
There will be changes to the NIFTY Index, NSE Nifty Next 50 Index, S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index and the CNXIT Index over the next couple of rebalances.
There are some interesting situations out there, including a change to the universe for the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX) that could lead to more changes. 


INDIA: Index Changes Due to the 45 New Additions to the F&O Segment

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOMATO IN)</a> 's proposed USD 1 billion fundraise highlights several potential risks for Quick Commerce players, including <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bundl-technologies-private-limited-swiggy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35630:1" rel="noopener">Swiggy (1255298D IN)</a> .</li>
<li>Beyond heightened competition, majority foreign-owned Quick Commerce businesses including Swiggy could face regulatory hurdles if classified as multi-brand retail, limiting their foreign ownership.</li>
<li>Investors may fear about Swiggy’s regulatory risks and profitability struggles in this competitive landscape, which could dampen investor enthusiasm and IPO valuation.</li>
</ul>



Zomato (ZOMATO IN) 's proposed USD 1 billion fundraise highlights several potential risks for Quick Commerce players, including Swiggy (1255298D IN) .
Beyond heightened competition, majority foreign-owned Quick Commerce businesses including Swiggy could face regulatory hurdles if classified as multi-brand retail, limiting their foreign ownership.
Investors may fear about Swiggy’s regulatory risks and profitability struggles in this competitive landscape, which could dampen investor enthusiasm and IPO valuation.


Swiggy IPO: Zomato's USD 1bn Fundraise Signals Looming Quick Commerce Challenges

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Prabhudas Lilladhar

Prabhudas Lilladhar

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Prabhudas Lilladher is one of India's leading research based financial services organisation.

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We cut our FY25/26/27 EPS by 5.0%/5.5%/4.9% and rating from Accumulate to Hold with target price of Rs4748 (Rs5168 earlier).</li><li>Q2FY25 revenue/PAT were miss on our estimate by 3.4%/12.5%.</li><li>This follows disappointing retail metrics as 1) Quick commerce and other online grocery platform players impacted sales in metro cities 2) lower SSG of 5.5% in 2Q vs 9.5% SSG in 1Q 3) tepid growth parameters with growth of 1.2% YoY in Sales/store, 1.6% YoY in bills/store/day and just 0.5% increase in sales/sq ft.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We cut our FY25/26/27 EPS by 5.0%/5.5%/4.9% and rating from Accumulate to Hold with target price of Rs4748 (Rs5168 earlier).Q2FY25 revenue/PAT were miss on our estimate by 3.4%/12.5%.This follows disappointing retail metrics as 1) Quick commerce and other online grocery platform players impacted sales in metro cities 2) lower SSG of 5.5% in 2Q vs 9.5% SSG in 1Q 3) tepid growth parameters with growth of 1.2% YoY in Sales/store, 1.6% YoY in bills/store/day and just 0.5% increase in sales/sq ft.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Avenue Supermarts - Online Retail Hurts 2Q Parameters

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), ICICI Securities Ltd

ICICI Securities Limited

ICICI Securities Ltd

ICICI Securities Limited provides investment services. The Company provides corporate and investment banking, securities, wealth management, retail brokerage, initial public offerings, and advisory services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Accelerated ramp-up of online grocery formats (quick commerce) in large metro cities led to deceleration of key growth metrics for DMART: 1) lowest revenue growth (+14% YoY) in a quarter ever, 2) LFL growth at 5.5% vs high-single digits earlier, 3) Footfalls (bill cuts) declined 1% QoQ vs +4% QoQ in base quarter, 4) Revenue throughput per store was flat YoY.</li><li>Retail expansion rate (14% YoY) was stable.</li><li>EBITDA margin was lower by ~30bps due to operating deleverage despite better gross margin (mix-led).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Accelerated ramp-up of online grocery formats (quick commerce) in large metro cities led to deceleration of key growth metrics for DMART: 1) lowest revenue growth (+14% YoY) in a quarter ever, 2) LFL growth at 5.5% vs high-single digits earlier, 3) Footfalls (bill cuts) declined 1% QoQ vs +4% QoQ in base quarter, 4) Revenue throughput per store was flat YoY.Retail expansion rate (14% YoY) was stable.EBITDA margin was lower by ~30bps due to operating deleverage despite better gross margin (mix-led).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Avenue Supermarts - Medium-Term Revenue Growth Rates [likely] Getting Reset Lower

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bundl-technologies-private-limited-swiggy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35630:1" rel="noopener">Swiggy</a> is planning to raise around US$1.25bn through its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>Swiggy Limited (Swiggy) is a business to commerce (B2C) marketplace company offering users a platform for ordering grocery and household items (Instamart) and food delivery, through its on-demand delivery network.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Swiggy is planning to raise around US$1.25bn through its upcoming India IPO.
Swiggy Limited (Swiggy) is a business to commerce (B2C) marketplace company offering users a platform for ordering grocery and household items (Instamart) and food delivery, through its on-demand delivery network.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Swiggy Pre-IPO - The Negtives - Neither Food nor Quick Commerce Was the Largest Revenue Driver

India

Avenue Supermarts Limited, operating as D-Mart, is an Indian retail corporation that runs a chain of hypermarkets and supermarkets. The company offers a wide range of basic home and personal products, including food, groceries, toiletries, beauty products, garments, kitchenware, and home appliances. Avenue Supermarts was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Mumbai, Maharashtra, India.

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Avenue Supermarts (DMART IN)

INDIA: Index Changes Due to the 45 New Additions to the F&O Segment

Futures & Options start trading on 45 new stocks in India today. Things could get interesting in the 3 Adani names where the stock prices have been...

Brian Freitas

Swiggy IPO: Zomato's USD 1bn Fundraise Signals Looming Quick Commerce Challenges

Swiggy may face potential regulatory challenges in Quick commerce apart from a prolonged intense competition with well funded players. This could...

Devi Subhakesan

Avenue Supermarts - Online Retail Hurts 2Q Parameters

We cut our FY25/26/27 EPS by 5.0%/5.5%/4.9% and rating from Accumulate to Hold with target price of Rs4748 (Rs5168 earlier). Q2FY25 revenue/PAT...

Prabhudas Lilladhar

Avenue Supermarts - Medium-Term Revenue Growth Rates [likely] Getting Reset Lower

Retail expansion rate (14% YoY) was stable. EBITDA margin was lower by ~30bps due to operating deleverage despite better gross margin (mix-led).

ICICI Securities Limited

Swiggy Pre-IPO - The Negtives - Neither Food nor Quick Commerce Was the Largest Revenue Driver

Swiggy is planning to raise around US$1.25bn through its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

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