IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In response to a <a href="https://asia.nikkei.com/business/business-deals/japan-electronics-sellers-yamada-edion-plan-merger-to-create-industry-giant" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Nikkei article</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/edion-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14358:1" rel="noopener">Edion Corp (2730 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yamada-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:641:1" rel="noopener">Yamada Holdings (9831 JP)</a> confirmed that they are considering a merger, presumably through a share exchange. </li>
<li>The deal is strategically sensible as it would establish Japan’s largest electronics retailer. However, a divestment of stores may be required for antitrust approval.</li>
<li>The plan is long-dated. The lack of controlling shareholders necessitates a “fair” exchange ratio. My estimated Edion/Yamada exchange ratio ranges from 3.87x to 4.35x.</li>
</ul>


In response to a Nikkei article, Edion Corp (2730 JP) and Yamada Holdings (9831 JP) confirmed that they are considering a merger, presumably through a share exchange. 
The deal is strategically sensible as it would establish Japan’s largest electronics retailer. However, a divestment of stores may be required for antitrust approval.
The plan is long-dated. The lack of controlling shareholders necessitates a “fair” exchange ratio. My estimated Edion/Yamada exchange ratio ranges from 3.87x to 4.35x.


Edion (2370 JP)/Yamada (9831 JP) Potential Merger to Establish Japan’s Largest Electronics Retailer

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Japanese still love shops partly because they are so easy to access thanks to station shopping hubs and fast transport links. </li>
<li>But new data shows e-commerce not only remains one of the fastest-growing retail channels but is poised to become the country’s largest by 2027. </li>
<li>While economic pressures and consumer interest in physical shopping have slowed year-on-year growth, the broader trends favour online shopping’s expansion – driven by food, fashion and omnichannel innovation.</li>
</ul>


Japanese still love shops partly because they are so easy to access thanks to station shopping hubs and fast transport links. 
But new data shows e-commerce not only remains one of the fastest-growing retail channels but is poised to become the country’s largest by 2027. 
While economic pressures and consumer interest in physical shopping have slowed year-on-year growth, the broader trends favour online shopping’s expansion – driven by food, fashion and omnichannel innovation.


E-Commerce in Japan: Faster Growing but Slowing

<ul>
<li>Consumer electronics retailers and producers benefited a lot from the pandemic, supplying customers stuck at home with kit for work and play. </li>
<li>The Olympics also encouraged people to update their TVs and entertainment systems.</li>
<li>Now, sales are falling to pre-2020 levels due to saturation. Inflationary pressures also mean more people are turning to second-hand options or simply not replacing old appliances at all.</li>
</ul>


Consumer electronics retailers and producers benefited a lot from the pandemic, supplying customers stuck at home with kit for work and play. 
The Olympics also encouraged people to update their TVs and entertainment systems.
Now, sales are falling to pre-2020 levels due to saturation. Inflationary pressures also mean more people are turning to second-hand options or simply not replacing old appliances at all.


Japan's Consumer Electronics Retailers Face Tough Outlook

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Bain+LY have come over the top of EQT+DG for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakaku-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7408:1" rel="noopener">Kakaku.com (2371 JP)</a>. We may get another 5% out of this, but we're closer to the end than the beginning.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/commonwealth-bank-of-australia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14:1" rel="noopener">Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA AU)</a> has knock <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rio-tinto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13:1" rel="noopener">Rio Tinto Ltd (RIO AU)</a> off its perch as the most shorted Aussie stock by $ value.</li>
<li>Murakami Group has, indeed, increased its stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yamada-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:641:1" rel="noopener">Yamada Holdings (9831 JP)</a>. They are now at 6.26%. They are not in it because Yamada is fairly-priced vs <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/edion-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14358:1" rel="noopener">Edion (2730 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Bain+LY have come over the top of EQT+DG for Kakaku.com (2371 JP). We may get another 5% out of this, but we're closer to the end than the beginning.

Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA AU) has knock Rio Tinto Ltd (RIO AU) off its perch as the most shorted Aussie stock by $ value.
Murakami Group has, indeed, increased its stake in Yamada Holdings (9831 JP). They are now at 6.26%. They are not in it because Yamada is fairly-priced vs Edion (2730 JP).


Last Week In Event SPACE: Kakaku.com, Aussie Banks, Yamada, Muyuan Foods, IAG/Suncorp

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>In early June, a Nikkei article suggested that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yamada-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:641:1" rel="noopener">Yamada Holdings (9831 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/edion-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14358:1" rel="noopener">Edion Corp (2730 JP)</a> would enter talks to merge. The knee-jerk reaction? Send smaller EDION higher. </li>
<li>That was the wrong trade. Yamada was cheaper on earnings/PSR/PBR with plans to sell assets/restructure. The Yamada/EDION ratio bounced, but is flat over the past month.</li>
<li>Now we have a new fly in the ointment, and that should be good for Yamada shareholders. It's a Potentially Big Twist</li>
</ul>


In early June, a Nikkei article suggested that Yamada Holdings (9831 JP) and Edion Corp (2730 JP) would enter talks to merge. The knee-jerk reaction? Send smaller EDION higher. 
That was the wrong trade. Yamada was cheaper on earnings/PSR/PBR with plans to sell assets/restructure. The Yamada/EDION ratio bounced, but is flat over the past month.
Now we have a new fly in the ointment, and that should be good for Yamada shareholders. It's a Potentially Big Twist


[Japan M&A] Yamada HD (9831) And EDION (2730) Merger Talks See A Potentially Big Twist

Japan

EDION Corporation owns and manages its subsidiaries, DEODEO Corp and EIDEN Co, Ltd.  The Company's subsidiaries operate electronics retail stores.

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Edion Corp (2730 JP)

Edion (2370 JP)/Yamada (9831 JP) Potential Merger to Establish Japan’s Largest Electronics Retailer

The rumoured deal is sensible. The lack of controlling shareholders necessitates a “fair” exchange ratio. My estimated Edion/Yamada exchange ratio...

Arun George

E-Commerce in Japan: Faster Growing but Slowing

The following is a complete review of the Japanese e-commerce sector, highlighting key players and forecasts through the next five years.

Michael Causton

Japan's Consumer Electronics Retailers Face Tough Outlook

Don't expect much growth from Japan's consumer electronics retailers. With market saturation and waning demand, there is trouble ahead and possibly...

Michael Causton

Last Week In Event SPACE: Kakaku.com, Aussie Banks, Yamada, Muyuan Foods, IAG/Suncorp

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

[Japan M&A] Yamada HD (9831) And EDION (2730) Merger Talks See A Potentially Big Twist

Yamada HD outperformed EDION after an initial kneejerk reaction the other way post announcement of negotiations, but it has been flat recently....

Travis Lundy

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