Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The T50 index represents the top 50 largest stocks by market capitalization in the Taiwan Stock Exchange (TWSE). The T100 index represents the next 100 largest names (51-150 ranks).</li>
<li>Today is the base date for the June 2025 index rebal event and the expected ADDs/DELs discussed in this insight are our final index change expectations.</li>
<li>We expect one change for T50 and two changes for T100 index for the June 2025 rebalance.</li>
</ul>


The T50 index represents the top 50 largest stocks by market capitalization in the Taiwan Stock Exchange (TWSE). The T100 index represents the next 100 largest names (51-150 ranks).
Today is the base date for the June 2025 index rebal event and the expected ADDs/DELs discussed in this insight are our final index change expectations.
We expect one change for T50 and two changes for T100 index for the June 2025 rebalance.


Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Jun25: Base Date Ranks; Final Expectations

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/elite-material-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10247:1" rel="noopener">Elite Material (2383 TT)</a>'s stock price has soared recently and is forecast to be added to the Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF in June, replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/unimicron-technology-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18778:1" rel="noopener">Unimicron Technology (3037 TT)</a>. </li>
<li>Passive trackers will have 1 day of ADV to buy in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/elite-material-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10247:1" rel="noopener">Elite Material (2383 TT)</a> and over 1 day of ADV to sell in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/unimicron-technology-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18778:1" rel="noopener">Unimicron Technology (3037 TT)</a>. </li>
<li>However, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/elite-material-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10247:1" rel="noopener">Elite Material</a> is at risk of deletion from another ETF where the impact of passive selling is a lot bigger. Tricky interplay between the two ETFs.</li>
</ul>



Elite Material (2383 TT)'s stock price has soared recently and is forecast to be added to the Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF in June, replacing Unimicron Technology (3037 TT). 
Passive trackers will have 1 day of ADV to buy in Elite Material (2383 TT) and over 1 day of ADV to sell in Unimicron Technology (3037 TT). 
However, Elite Material is at risk of deletion from another ETF where the impact of passive selling is a lot bigger. Tricky interplay between the two ETFs.


Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance Preview: Elite Material (2383 TT) Walking a Fine Line

Asia and Global Semiconductor and Tech Research

Andrew Lu

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC's manufacturing value only accounts for 1/4 of H100 HGX bill of materials but HBM3 accounts for more than half;</li>
<li>ABF substrate, SXM5 module, UBB and CCL vendors should be benefited, especially for Ibiden Co Ltd (4062 JP) on ABF substrate/OAM and Elite Material (2383 TT) on OAM/UBB CCL;</li>
<li>Nvidia AI GPU likely doubling each year in next two years; Our estimates on Nvidia 2025 AI GPU EPS contribution are exceeding Bloomberg consensus earnings estimates, suggesting room to raise.</li>
</ul>


TSMC's manufacturing value only accounts for 1/4 of H100 HGX bill of materials but HBM3 accounts for more than half;
ABF substrate, SXM5 module, UBB and CCL vendors should be benefited, especially for Ibiden Co Ltd (4062 JP) on ABF substrate/OAM and Elite Material (2383 TT) on OAM/UBB CCL;
Nvidia AI GPU likely doubling each year in next two years; Our estimates on Nvidia 2025 AI GPU EPS contribution are exceeding Bloomberg consensus earnings estimates, suggesting room to raise.


BOM Cost and CoWoS Demand Analysis on Nvidia AI GPU HGX for 2023-2025, Room to Raise Estimates

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 28th. The aggregated holding was USD1,346.9bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,288mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, WT Microelectronics, Hon Hai Precision, Fubon Financial, MediaTek, Wt Microelectronics, Mediatek, TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Fubon Financial.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 28th. The aggregated holding was USD1,346.9bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,288mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, WT Microelectronics, Hon Hai Precision, Fubon Financial, MediaTek, Wt Microelectronics, Mediatek, TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Fubon Financial.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 28th): TSMC, WT Microelectronics, Hon Hai Precision

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 21st. The aggregated holding was USD1,288.6bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD4,241mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Fubon Financial, ASE Industrial, Alchip Technologies, Ase Industrial, TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Fubon Financial, Alchip Technologies.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 21st. The aggregated holding was USD1,288.6bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD4,241mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Fubon Financial, ASE Industrial, Alchip Technologies, Ase Industrial, TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Fubon Financial, Alchip Technologies.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 21st): TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Fubon Financial, ASE Industrial

Taiwan

Elite Material Co., Ltd manufactures and markets prepared laminated cover claddings for double-sided and multi-layer printed circuit boards.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Elite Material (2383 TT)

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/100 Jun25: Base Date Ranks; Final Expectations

All expected ADDs have strongly outperformed all expected DELs in the last 1-month period. However, the expected index flow impacts for most of...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance Preview: Elite Material (2383 TT) Walking a Fine Line

We currently forecast 1 change for the ETF in June. The normalisation of short selling today makes things interesting, as does the possibility of...

Brian Freitas

BOM Cost and CoWoS Demand Analysis on Nvidia AI GPU HGX for 2023-2025, Room to Raise Estimates

After conducting our in depth bill of materials and CoWoS demand analysis on Nvidia H100 AI GPU HGX for 2023-2025, we conclude Bloomberg estimates...

Andrew Lu

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 28th): TSMC, WT Microelectronics, Hon Hai Precision

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC (2330 TT), WT Microelectronics (3036 TT),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 21st): TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Fubon Financial, ASE Industrial

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC (2330 TT), Hon Hai Precision (2317 TT),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Jun25: Base Date Ranks; Final Expectations

All expected ADDs have strongly outperformed all expected DELs in the last 1-month period. However, the expected index flow impacts for most of...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance Preview: Elite Material (2383 TT) Walking a Fine Line

We currently forecast 1 change for the ETF in June. The normalisation of short selling today makes things interesting, as does the possibility of...

Brian Freitas

BOM Cost and CoWoS Demand Analysis on Nvidia AI GPU HGX for 2023-2025, Room to Raise Estimates

After conducting our in depth bill of materials and CoWoS demand analysis on Nvidia H100 AI GPU HGX for 2023-2025, we conclude Bloomberg estimates...

Andrew Lu

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 28th): TSMC, WT Microelectronics, Hon Hai Precision

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC (2330 TT), WT Microelectronics (3036 TT),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 21st): TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Fubon Financial, ASE Industrial

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC (2330 TT), Hon Hai Precision (2317 TT),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/100 Jun25: Base Date Ranks; Final Expectations