European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>KKR offers €17.50/share for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/encavis-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21595:1" rel="noopener">Encavis AG (ECV GR)</a>, 53% premium, implied equity value of €2,818 million. This shows interest in renewables after the falls on the stock market in 2023-24.</li>
<li>The offer represents 12.7x EV/Fwd NTM EBITDA and 32.4x Fwd P/E. On  a P/E basis, the offer seems fair vs. (depressed) comparables.</li>
<li>Given the current negative perception surrounding renewable energy companies, I think the shareholders are likely to tender at an attractive price. Spread is 3.77%/5.24% (gross/anualised, assuming closing by mid-December).</li>
</ul>


KKR offers €17.50/share for Encavis AG (ECV GR), 53% premium, implied equity value of €2,818 million. This shows interest in renewables after the falls on the stock market in 2023-24.
The offer represents 12.7x EV/Fwd NTM EBITDA and 32.4x Fwd P/E. On  a P/E basis, the offer seems fair vs. (depressed) comparables.
Given the current negative perception surrounding renewable energy companies, I think the shareholders are likely to tender at an attractive price. Spread is 3.77%/5.24% (gross/anualised, assuming closing by mid-December).


Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Even if you were an activist, or a trader with an activism tilt, be long <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keisei-electric-railway-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10876:1" rel="noopener">Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP)</a> vs. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oriental-land-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13517:1" rel="noopener">Oriental Land (4661 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>Reportedly, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-telecommunications" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20:1" rel="noopener">Singtel (ST SP)</a> is negotiating a sale of Optus. Both Singtel and Optus scotch those rumours. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alumina-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:939:1" rel="noopener">Alumina Ltd (AWC AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alcoa-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6510:1" rel="noopener">Alcoa (AA US)</a> enter into a Scheme. As expected. The key question: is CITIC, with 18.9% of shares out, supportive?</li>
</ul>


Even if you were an activist, or a trader with an activism tilt, be long Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP) vs. Oriental Land (4661 JP).
Reportedly, Singtel (ST SP) is negotiating a sale of Optus. Both Singtel and Optus scotch those rumours. 

Alumina Ltd (AWC AU) and Alcoa (AA US) enter into a Scheme. As expected. The key question: is CITIC, with 18.9% of shares out, supportive?


Last Week in Event SPACE: Keisei Electric /Oriental Land, SingTel, Alumina/Alcoa, Li Ning

Equity Analyst, Event-driven, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Equity Analyst, Event-driven

Banca Popolare Di Sondrio Scar / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The SE600 index is one of the most widely followed benchmark indices in Europe. This index is rebalanced on a quarterly basis.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes that could take place between now and the end of the March 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>Based on the latest available data, I expect up to 12 index changes over the next few days including an intra-review change!
</li>
</ul>


The SE600 index is one of the most widely followed benchmark indices in Europe. This index is rebalanced on a quarterly basis.
In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes that could take place between now and the end of the March 2024 index rebal event.
Based on the latest available data, I expect up to 12 index changes over the next few days including an intra-review change!



Quiddity Leaderboard SE600 Mar 24: 12 Changes Possible in the Next Few Days

<ul>
<li>The SE600 index is one of the most widely followed benchmark indices in Europe. This index is rebalanced on a quarterly basis.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes that could take place between now and the end of the March 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>Based on the latest available data, I expect there to be up to seven index changes in the first quarter of 2024.</li>
</ul>


The SE600 index is one of the most widely followed benchmark indices in Europe. This index is rebalanced on a quarterly basis.
In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes that could take place between now and the end of the March 2024 index rebal event.
Based on the latest available data, I expect there to be up to seven index changes in the first quarter of 2024.


Quiddity Leaderboard SE600 Mar 24: Two Intra-Review and 5 Regular Changes Likely

<ul>
<li>The SE600 index is one of the most widely followed benchmark indices in Europe. This index is rebalanced on a quarterly basis.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes that could take place between now and the end of the December 2023 rebalance.</li>
<li>This includes a couple of intra-review index changes that could be triggered by the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dechra-pharmaceuticals-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21908:1" rel="noopener">Dechra Pharmaceuticals (DPH LN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chr-hansen-holding-a-s" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22322:1" rel="noopener">Chr Hansen Holding A/S (CHR DC)</a> takeover situations.</li>
</ul>


The SE600 index is one of the most widely followed benchmark indices in Europe. This index is rebalanced on a quarterly basis.
In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes that could take place between now and the end of the December 2023 rebalance.
This includes a couple of intra-review index changes that could be triggered by the Dechra Pharmaceuticals (DPH LN) and Chr Hansen Holding A/S (CHR DC) takeover situations.


Quiddity Leaderboard SE600 Dec 23: Novartis-Sandoz, Dechra, CHR, and Others

Germany

Encavis AG provides electricity generation from power plants. The Company produces power from renewable energy sources which includes solar energy plants and wind farms, as well as specializes in the technical operation of solar parks, routine maintenance, monitoring, incident management, and performance analysis. Encavis serves renewable energy sector in Europe.

Encavis AG (ECV GR)

KKR/Encavis AG: Voluntary Offer

KKR offers €17.50/share for Encavis AG, showing interest in renewables post-stock market falls. Offer seems fair vs. comparables. Shareholders...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Last Week in Event SPACE: Keisei Electric /Oriental Land, SingTel, Alumina/Alcoa, Li Ning

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Quiddity Leaderboard SE600 Mar 24: 12 Changes Possible in the Next Few Days

LXI REIT's intra-review deletion and the replacement name could be confirmed over the next few days. Separately, I see 11 ADDs/DELs during the...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard SE600 Mar 24: Two Intra-Review and 5 Regular Changes Likely

SE600 members CHR Hansen and LXI REIT could get deleted in the first quarter of 2024. Apart from that, I see five more possible index changes...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard SE600 Dec 23: Novartis-Sandoz, Dechra, CHR, and Others

I currently see six regular ADDs/DELs for the SE600 index in December 2023. Apart from that the Dechra and CHR deals could trigger two more intra...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

KKR/Encavis AG: Voluntary Offer

​KKR offers €17.50/share for Encavis AG, showing interest in renewables post-stock market falls. Offer seems fair vs. comparables. Shareholders...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Last Week in Event SPACE: Keisei Electric /Oriental Land, SingTel, Alumina/Alcoa, Li Ning

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Quiddity Leaderboard SE600 Mar 24: 12 Changes Possible in the Next Few Days

LXI REIT's intra-review deletion and the replacement name could be confirmed over the next few days. Separately, I see 11 ADDs/DELs during the...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard SE600 Mar 24: Two Intra-Review and 5 Regular Changes Likely

SE600 members CHR Hansen and LXI REIT could get deleted in the first quarter of 2024. Apart from that, I see five more possible index changes...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard SE600 Dec 23: Novartis-Sandoz, Dechra, CHR, and Others

I currently see six regular ADDs/DELs for the SE600 index in December 2023. Apart from that the Dechra and CHR deals could trigger two more intra...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

KKR offers €17.50/share for Encavis AG, showing interest in renewables post-stock market falls. Offer seems fair vs. comparables. Shareholders...