Crypto Investing and Decentralized Finance, Coinstack

Coinstack

Crypto Investing and Decentralized Finance

Coinstack is published weekly by Ryan Allis. He was previously CEO and Co-founder of iContact and led the company from 300 employees, 70,000 customers, and $50M in annual sales and an exit for $169M. Ryan was an angel investor in SpaceX, LendingClub, Change.org, Kuli Kuli, and Catalant. Today, Ryan advises companies and governments on blockchain-related projects and is the Chairman of Hive.org, a global community of 3,500 purpose-driven leaders from 130 countries making a positive impact in the world. Ryan holds an MBA from Harvard Business School where he was Co-President of the Harvard Social Enterprise Club and a fellow of the Harvard Graduate School Leadership Institute.

Crypto

<ul><li>Bitcoin closed July with a 7.5% monthly gain, its first since April, before slipping near $63.4K (close) on Sunday.</li><li>The FOMC held rates at 3.50%-3.75% on July 29, with Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan dissenting for a 25-bps hike.</li><li>Spot Bitcoin ETFs bled $265.37M on July 31, ending three weeks of positive prints.</li></ul>

Bitcoin closed July with a 7.5% monthly gain, its first since April, before slipping near $63.4K (close) on Sunday.The FOMC held rates at 3.50%-3.75% on July 29, with Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan dissenting for a 25-bps hike.Spot Bitcoin ETFs bled $265.37M on July 31, ending three weeks of positive prints.

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The weight of the evidence suggests that the lows for this bear market have likely already been established, but that does not mean it will be smooth sailing from here.</li>
<li>The SPX and NDX are both testing important resistance levels (4165-4180 and the YTD downtrend, respectively), making this a logical spot for the indexes to stall and potentially pull back.</li>
<li>Ultimately, we would expect to see support near their 50-day MAs as the market goes through a bottoming process. We remain neutral overall.</li>
</ul>


The weight of the evidence suggests that the lows for this bear market have likely already been established, but that does not mean it will be smooth sailing from here.
The SPX and NDX are both testing important resistance levels (4165-4180 and the YTD downtrend, respectively), making this a logical spot for the indexes to stall and potentially pull back.
Ultimately, we would expect to see support near their 50-day MAs as the market goes through a bottoming process. We remain neutral overall.


S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 Testing Key Resistance Levels; Pause Likely; Buying Biotech

House of Market Insights, Market Radar

Market Radar

House of Market Insights

Quick market updates and lot of ideas for your investments from a multi-asset portfolio manager working for a family office.

Quick Market Updates

<ul>
<li>Above you can see the chart of the S&amp;P 500, and the Fibonacci Retracement of the index. There is a big support at 3,800, where the index already bounced in mid-May.</li>
<li>Apple reacted quite good to January market sell-off, but then the stock surrendered to the bears. From a 180$ high, the share lost almost 25%, and now it is close to a critical support at 135$.</li>
<li>The sentiment look very bad right now, and it is very likely to see a bearish breakout.</li>
</ul>


Above you can see the chart of the S&amp;P 500, and the Fibonacci Retracement of the index. There is a big support at 3,800, where the index already bounced in mid-May.
Apple reacted quite good to January market sell-off, but then the stock surrendered to the bears. From a 180$ high, the share lost almost 25%, and now it is close to a critical support at 135$.
The sentiment look very bad right now, and it is very likely to see a bearish breakout.


iShares Russell 2000 ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We continue to see the current environment as a bear market rally with the potential for it turn into something more following bullish breadth thrust signals.</li>
<li>The SPX and NDX have been treading water for a week (bull flags?), but the Russell 2000, DAX, Hang Seng, MSCI China (MCHI), and KWEB have continued to move higher.</li>
<li>We are also seeing major bullish reversals on Europe's STOXX 50 and Japan's Nikkei 225, topside 6- and 9-month downtrends, respectively. These are far from bearish signs.</li>
</ul>


We continue to see the current environment as a bear market rally with the potential for it turn into something more following bullish breadth thrust signals.
The SPX and NDX have been treading water for a week (bull flags?), but the Russell 2000, DAX, Hang Seng, MSCI China (MCHI), and KWEB have continued to move higher.
We are also seeing major bullish reversals on Europe's STOXX 50 and Japan's Nikkei 225, topside 6- and 9-month downtrends, respectively. These are far from bearish signs.


Small-Caps Starting to Lead; Short-Term Flag Patterns on Major Indexes; Ideas in Energy & Materials

SPAC Deep Dive, subSPAC

subSPAC

SPAC Deep Dive

Each week we’ll identify and break down for you SPACs that are capturing market share and making an impact.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>With cryptocurrency prices skyrocketing over 10x since 2020, a host of mining companies, including PrimeBlock, Core Scientific, BitFuFu, Bitdeer, Griid, and Cipher Mining, have either announced or made their public market debuts through SPAC mergers.</li><li>Surging crypto prices, combined with a shortage of ASIC miners (cryptocurrency mining equipment), meant that investors chose to pursue publicly traded mining stocks as an alternative to pursuing the profitable opportunity.</li><li>However, several factors could dampen the interest in crypto mining companies going forward, including fears of extended crypto winter, heightened regulatory scrutiny regarding mining practices, and deteriorating sales &amp; margins.</li></ul>

With cryptocurrency prices skyrocketing over 10x since 2020, a host of mining companies, including PrimeBlock, Core Scientific, BitFuFu, Bitdeer, Griid, and Cipher Mining, have either announced or made their public market debuts through SPAC mergers.Surging crypto prices, combined with a shortage of ASIC miners (cryptocurrency mining equipment), meant that investors chose to pursue publicly traded mining stocks as an alternative to pursuing the profitable opportunity.However, several factors could dampen the interest in crypto mining companies going forward, including fears of extended crypto winter, heightened regulatory scrutiny regarding mining practices, and deteriorating sales &amp; margins.

United States

Ethereum is an open-source, public, blockchain-based distributed computing platform featuring smart contract (scripting) functionality. It provides a decentralized Turing-complete virtual machine, the Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM), which can execute scripts using an international network of public nodes. Ethereum also provides a cryptocurrency token called "ether", which can be transferred between accounts and used to compensate participant nodes for computations performed. "Gas", an internal transaction pricing mechanism, is used to mitigate spam and allocate resources on the network.

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Coldcard's $114M Crisis

The FOMC held rates at 3.50%-3.75% on July 29, with Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan dissenting for a 25-bps hike.Spot Bitcoin ETFs bled $265.37M on...

Coinstack

S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 Testing Key Resistance Levels; Pause Likely; Buying Biotech

$SPX is testing important resistance in the 4165-4180 area, the same resistance level we were monitoring in early June before the market tumbled 13...

Vermilion Research

Charts to watch #5

Above you can see the chart of the S&P 500, and the Fibonacci Retracement of the index. There is a big support at 3,800, where the index already...

Market Radar

Small-Caps Starting to Lead; Short-Term Flag Patterns on Major Indexes; Ideas in Energy & Materials

We still see this as a bear market rally with the potential for it turn into something more following bullish breadth thrust signals in recent...

Vermilion Research

Digital Gold Rush

The current environment parallels that of the bear market seen in digital assets in 2018. The Global Cryptocurrency Market Cap has fallen from...

subSPAC

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