Equity Analyst, Event-driven, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Equity Analyst, Event-driven

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the June 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>I currently see 5 ADDs and 5 DELs but there are several names close to the border and expectations could change before the base date as prices move around.</li>
<li>The estimate for one-way flow in June 2024 is US$1.22bn.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the June 2024 index rebal event.
I currently see 5 ADDs and 5 DELs but there are several names close to the border and expectations could change before the base date as prices move around.
The estimate for one-way flow in June 2024 is US$1.22bn.


Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Jun 24: 5 Changes; US$1.2bn One-Way

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The effects of SHEIN's and Temu's growth on US retail are already well known</li>
<li>But recent data points show the companies impacting other industries, too</li>
<li>Through their dramatic growth the two companies are gaining influence in US </li>
</ul>


The effects of SHEIN's and Temu's growth on US retail are already well known
But recent data points show the companies impacting other industries, too
Through their dramatic growth the two companies are gaining influence in US 


Dramatic Growth of SHEIN & Temu Having Noticeable Impact On Segments Outside Of US Retail

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jan 5th which has an aggregated holding worth USD700.2bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD504mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign instutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in Faraday Tech, Asustek Computer, Mediatek, Wistron, TSMC.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jan 5th which has an aggregated holding worth USD700.2bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD504mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign instutions.
We highlight foreign changes in Faraday Tech, Asustek Computer, Mediatek, Wistron, TSMC.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jan 5th): Faraday Tech, Asustek Computer, Mediatek, Wistron, TSMC

Global Mobility/Transport, Equity Long-Short

Mohshin Aziz

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>FT article uncovers other contributors to surging air freight rates—Chinese online brands Temu and Shein are flooding Western nations with fast fashion and inexpensive e-commerce goods  </li>
<li>The biggest beneficiaries are Chinese carriers with significant air cargo exposure, and Cathay Pacific. This presents a potential catalyst for an earnings beat and a boost to the share price.</li>
<li>Carriers from Taiwan and South Korea will benefit from supply tightness to the U.S.. Logistics providers are unlikely to benefit much due to tight margins and volatile high freight rates </li>
</ul>


FT article uncovers other contributors to surging air freight rates—Chinese online brands Temu and Shein are flooding Western nations with fast fashion and inexpensive e-commerce goods  
The biggest beneficiaries are Chinese carriers with significant air cargo exposure, and Cathay Pacific. This presents a potential catalyst for an earnings beat and a boost to the share price.
Carriers from Taiwan and South Korea will benefit from supply tightness to the U.S.. Logistics providers are unlikely to benefit much due to tight margins and volatile high freight rates 


Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fedex-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14577:1" rel="noopener">FedEx Corp (FDX US)</a> (FedEx) will release its 2QFY24 results on 19 Dec after market close. Closely watched as it is the bellwether for global trade and commerce  </li>
<li>Cost reduction initiatives has delivered, and resurgence in e-commerce activities across Asia Pacific could potentially provide positive earnings surprise    </li>
<li>Target price US$299 (7% UPSIDE) based on 15x CY2024 PE (FedEx's historical mean). Our recommendation is to give FedEx a miss, too little upside for the risk </li>
</ul>



FedEx Corp (FDX US) (FedEx) will release its 2QFY24 results on 19 Dec after market close. Closely watched as it is the bellwether for global trade and commerce  
Cost reduction initiatives has delivered, and resurgence in e-commerce activities across Asia Pacific could potentially provide positive earnings surprise    
Target price US$299 (7% UPSIDE) based on 15x CY2024 PE (FedEx's historical mean). Our recommendation is to give FedEx a miss, too little upside for the risk 


FedEx (FDX US, BUY, TP:$299): 2QFY24 Will Shed Light on E-Commerce Resurgence

Taiwan

EVA Airways Corp. is an air carrier that transports passengers and cargos. The Company operates primarily in Taiwan and serves international route networks in North America, Asia, Europe, and Australasia.

Price Gauge
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Eva Airways (2618 TT)

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Jun 24: 5 Changes; US$1.2bn One-Way

The Top 5 Expected Inflow names could outperform the Top 5 Expected outflow names over the next few weeks. The final index changes will be based on...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Dramatic Growth of SHEIN & Temu Having Noticeable Impact On Segments Outside Of US Retail

Recent data points show SHEIN and Temu are beginning to have noticeable impacts on US industries other than retail, including domestic express...

Tracking Traffic

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jan 5th): Faraday Tech, Asustek Computer, Mediatek, Wistron, TSMC

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Faraday Tech, Asustek Computer, Mediatek,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

There's Something About Air Cargo

Chinese e-commerce platforms are driving up air freight rates, benefiting Chinese carriers and other North Asian carriers. This can be a catalyst...

Mohshin Aziz

FedEx (FDX US, BUY, TP:$299): 2QFY24 Will Shed Light on E-Commerce Resurgence

FedEx's 2QFY24 results will be released on Dec 19. The company's cost reduction efforts have been successful, and a boost in e-commerce in Asia...

Mohshin Aziz

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Jun 24: 5 Changes; US$1.2bn One-Way

The Top 5 Expected Inflow names could outperform the Top 5 Expected outflow names over the next few weeks. The final index changes will be based on...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Dramatic Growth of SHEIN & Temu Having Noticeable Impact On Segments Outside Of US Retail

Recent data points show SHEIN and Temu are beginning to have noticeable impacts on US industries other than retail, including domestic express...

Tracking Traffic

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jan 5th): Faraday Tech, Asustek Computer, Mediatek, Wistron, TSMC

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Faraday Tech, Asustek Computer, Mediatek,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

There's Something About Air Cargo

​Chinese e-commerce platforms are driving up air freight rates, benefiting Chinese carriers and other North Asian carriers. This can be a catalyst...

Mohshin Aziz

FedEx (FDX US, BUY, TP:$299): 2QFY24 Will Shed Light on E-Commerce Resurgence

​FedEx's 2QFY24 results will be released on Dec 19. The company's cost reduction efforts have been successful, and a boost in e-commerce in Asia...

Mohshin Aziz

Chinese e-commerce platforms are driving up air freight rates, benefiting Chinese carriers and other North Asian carriers. This can be a catalyst...

FedEx's 2QFY24 results will be released on Dec 19. The company's cost reduction efforts have been successful, and a boost in e-commerce in Asia...