HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Capital Markets

Luxshare Precision Industry / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>We consider <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/luxshare-precision-industry-co-ltd-3f59eaa1-da7f-4d9b-add0-c8efccfee0d5" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:50296:1" rel="noopener">Luxshare Precision Industry (2475 HK)</a>'s H-share IPO not expensive, especially given its gigantic market capitalisation which will attract interests. </li>
<li>Its 3-year EPS CAGR is forecast at 19.2%, and its position as a local and global leader in precision intelligent manufacturing solutions justify a premium to peers. </li>
<li>The IPO price is set at 17.6% discount to the A-share. It can at least trade on 10% discount, translating into a price of HK$69.12, or 9.2% upside.</li>
</ul>


We consider Luxshare Precision Industry (2475 HK)'s H-share IPO not expensive, especially given its gigantic market capitalisation which will attract interests. 
Its 3-year EPS CAGR is forecast at 19.2%, and its position as a local and global leader in precision intelligent manufacturing solutions justify a premium to peers. 
The IPO price is set at 17.6% discount to the A-share. It can at least trade on 10% discount, translating into a price of HK$69.12, or 9.2% upside.


Luxshare Precision (2475 HK) IPO: We See Some Potential Upside

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Technology Select Sector SPDR / Technical Analysis

The S&amp;P 500 remains just short of formidable resistance at its 200-day MA. Yet, there are signs of continued breadth improvement.  Technology in particular continues to top our Sector RSR rankings, fueled by strengthening price and RS action for semiconductors, semi-suppliers, and numerous Software groups. Last week we upgraded our weighting for Technology and its strength continues to broaden out. In this week's report we highlight a number of actionable Technology stocks across our various Groups.

The S&amp;P 500 remains just short of formidable resistance at its 200-day MA. Yet, there are signs of continued breadth improvement.  Technology in particular continues to top our Sector RSR rankings, fueled by strengthening price and RS action for semiconductors, semi-suppliers, and numerous Software groups. Last week we upgraded our weighting for Technology and its strength continues to broaden out. In this week's report we highlight a number of actionable Technology stocks across our various Groups.

U.S. Tech Stocks Are Leading Market Higher.

The S&amp;P 500 has paused just below logical resistance at the downtrend, and we believe the equity market is in wait-and-see mode for incremental information on a variety of issues including trade talks, Fed action and earnings.  Meanwhile, We are upgrading equal-weighted Technology to overweight. Our equal-weighted Tech Sector has surged to the top of our RSR ranks due to broad-based strength in semiconductors last week. Solar stocks are another Group that is emerging as leadership. In today’s report we highlight attractive small-cap Technology stocks, as well as selection of key stocks (MSFT, AMZN, GOOGL, V, NFLX, and ADBE) and subsectors (semis, biotech, and homebuilders) which are all up against logical price resistance.

The S&amp;P 500 has paused just below logical resistance at the downtrend, and we believe the equity market is in wait-and-see mode for incremental information on a variety of issues including trade talks, Fed action and earnings.  Meanwhile, We are upgrading equal-weighted Technology to overweight. Our equal-weighted Tech Sector has surged to the top of our RSR ranks due to broad-based strength in semiconductors last week. Solar stocks are another Group that is emerging as leadership. In today’s report we highlight attractive small-cap Technology stocks, as well as selection of key stocks (MSFT, AMZN, GOOGL, V, NFLX, and ADBE) and subsectors (semis, biotech, and homebuilders) which are all up against logical price resistance.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Market in Wait-And-See Mode; Upgrading Tech

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Dimitris Ioannidis

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Forecasted inclusions include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coreweave-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44471:1" rel="noopener">CRWV</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/figma-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45422:1" rel="noopener">FIG</a> due to increased public voting rights, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bitfarms-ltd-of-canada" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35932:1" rel="noopener">KEEL</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ashtead-group-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21806:1" rel="noopener">SUNB</a> due to newly eligible US index nationality, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/opendoor-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32216:1" rel="noopener">OPEN</a> &amp; BMNR due to a price surge.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ashtead-group-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21806:1" rel="noopener"></a>Projected deletions include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beyond-meat-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28065:1" rel="noopener">Beyond Meat (BYND US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/getty-images-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:37015:1" rel="noopener">Getty Images (GETY US)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alight-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27940:1" rel="noopener">Alight (ALIT US)</a> because of prices below $1 despite market caps of ~$400m.</li>
<li>Anticipated migrations from R2000 to R1000 include<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bloom-energy-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34062:1" rel="noopener"> Bloom Energy (BE US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nextracker-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36731:1" rel="noopener">Nextpower (NXT US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fabrinet" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8813:1" rel="noopener">Fabrinet (FN US)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/credo-technology-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35436:1" rel="noopener">Credo Technology (CRDO US)</a>, resulting in passive fund supply.</li>
</ul>


Forecasted inclusions include CRWV &amp; FIG due to increased public voting rights, KEEL &amp; SUNB due to newly eligible US index nationality, and OPEN &amp; BMNR due to a price surge.

Projected deletions include Beyond Meat (BYND US), Getty Images (GETY US), and Alight (ALIT US) because of prices below $1 despite market caps of ~$400m.
Anticipated migrations from R2000 to R1000 include Bloom Energy (BE US), Nextpower (NXT US), Fabrinet (FN US), and Credo Technology (CRDO US), resulting in passive fund supply.


US R3000 Annual Forecasts - Jun26: Additions, Deletions & Migrations

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Suzhou Tfc Optical Communi-A / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suzhou-tfc-optical-communi-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25044:1" rel="noopener">Suzhou Tfc Optical Communi-A (300394 CH)</a> (STFC), an optical interconnect solutions provider, aims to raise around US$2bn in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>SFTC offers one-stop optical interconnect solutions spanning passive optical components, active optical components and integration services.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.</li>
</ul>



Suzhou Tfc Optical Communi-A (300394 CH) (STFC), an optical interconnect solutions provider, aims to raise around US$2bn in its H-share listing.
SFTC offers one-stop optical interconnect solutions spanning passive optical components, active optical components and integration services.
In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.


Aequitas: Suzhou TFC Optical Communication A/H Listing - Rising Sales, Steady Margins

Cayman Islands

Fabrinet is a specialized Electronics Manufacturing Services (EMS) company that provides advanced optical packaging and precision optical, electro-mechanical, and electronic manufacturing services to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs). The company focuses on complex, quality-critical production, including optical communication components, industrial lasers, automotive components, medical devices, and sensors. Fabrinet was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Pathumthani, Thailand.

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Fabrinet (FN US)

Luxshare Precision (2475 HK) IPO: We See Some Potential Upside

Luxshare Precision Industry's H-share IPO is attractively priced with strong growth potential and a discount to A-share, offering upside potential.

Osbert Tang, CFA

U.S. Tech Stocks Are Leading Market Higher.

The S&P 500 remains just short of formidable resistance at its 200-day MA. Yet, there are signs of continued breadth improvement. Technology...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy: Market in Wait-And-See Mode; Upgrading Tech

The S&P 500 has paused just below logical resistance at the downtrend, and we believe the equity market is in wait-and-see mode for incremental...

Vermilion Research

US R3000 Annual Forecasts - Jun26: Additions, Deletions & Migrations

The last annual reconstitution for index US‑R3000 is approaching, with additions and deletions driven by public voting rights, extreme price...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Aequitas: Suzhou TFC Optical Communication A/H Listing - Rising Sales, Steady Margins

Suzhou Tfc Optical (300394 CH) (STFC), an optical interconnect solutions provider, aims to raise around US$2bn in its H-share listing. In this...

Sumeet Singh

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Luxshare Precision (2475 HK) IPO: We See Some Potential Upside

​Luxshare Precision Industry's H-share IPO is attractively priced with strong growth potential and a discount to A-share, offering upside potential.

Osbert Tang, CFA

U.S. Tech Stocks Are Leading Market Higher.

The S&P 500 remains just short of formidable resistance at its 200-day MA. Yet, there are signs of continued breadth improvement. Technology...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy: Market in Wait-And-See Mode; Upgrading Tech

The S&P 500 has paused just below logical resistance at the downtrend, and we believe the equity market is in wait-and-see mode for incremental...

Vermilion Research

US R3000 Annual Forecasts - Jun26: Additions, Deletions & Migrations

The last annual reconstitution for index US‑R3000 is approaching, with additions and deletions driven by public voting rights, extreme price...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Aequitas: Suzhou TFC Optical Communication A/H Listing - Rising Sales, Steady Margins

Suzhou Tfc Optical (300394 CH) (STFC), an optical interconnect solutions provider, aims to raise around US$2bn in its H-share listing. In this...

Sumeet Singh

Luxshare Precision Industry's H-share IPO is attractively priced with strong growth potential and a discount to A-share, offering upside potential.