Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors, The Circuit

The Circuit

Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors

A Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors. With Jay Goldberg and Ben Bajarin

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Companies in the public cloud are refreshing their server infrastructure every four to five years, but may accelerate this cycle due to the performance benefits of new CPUs and GPUs.</li><li>Despite advances in technology, older GPUs are still being used and making money for data centers, leading to questions about the economic lifespan of GPU systems.</li><li>Hyperscalers have adjusted their accounting policies to depreciate server hardware over longer periods, potentially impacting depreciation expenses.</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Companies in the public cloud are refreshing their server infrastructure every four to five years, but may accelerate this cycle due to the performance benefits of new CPUs and GPUs.Despite advances in technology, older GPUs are still being used and making money for data centers, leading to questions about the economic lifespan of GPU systems.Hyperscalers have adjusted their accounting policies to depreciate server hardware over longer periods, potentially impacting depreciation expenses.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

EP 138: Talking GPU Depreciation, OCP Takeaways

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) / Equity Derivatives

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH)

<ul>
<li>WEEKLY tactical global macro recap/analysis for several markets and stocks we track, grouped by sector.</li>
<li>We apply our quantitative models to each instrument's trend, to determine which stocks/markets are just starting a trend, are in the middle of it, or are about to end it.</li>
<li>
Most overbought: KS200, META, Samsung Electronics, Tokyo Electron, SK Hynix, Komatsu, Nikkei 225, Hitachi Most oversold: Contemporary Amperex Technology, S&amp;P/ASX200, Bharti Airtel, ICICI Bank, Zijin Mining Group Company </li>
</ul>


WEEKLY tactical global macro recap/analysis for several markets and stocks we track, grouped by sector.
We apply our quantitative models to each instrument's trend, to determine which stocks/markets are just starting a trend, are in the middle of it, or are about to end it.

Most overbought: KS200, META, Samsung Electronics, Tokyo Electron, SK Hynix, Komatsu, Nikkei 225, Hitachi Most oversold: Contemporary Amperex Technology, S&amp;P/ASX200, Bharti Airtel, ICICI Bank, Zijin Mining Group Company 


WEEKLY Tactical Recap | Asymmetric Setup: KS200, CATL, Samsung Electronics, Tokyo Electron, SK Hynix

AI | Semiconductors | Commodities, Mint Finance

Raghav Vashisht

AI | Semiconductors | Commodities

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

<ul>
<li>Citi’s claim that AI has triggered the first true semiconductor upcycle in 25 years is partially convincing but also shows signs of overreach.</li>
<li>While ASPs have soared and logic chip margins are inflated, signs of margin compression, overordering, and inventory noise suggest the pricing boom may be peaking.</li>
<li>Investors may need to distinguish between capital-efficient AI bets and overleveraged plays, especially as credit markets begin to price in growing execution and demand risks.</li>
</ul>


Citi’s claim that AI has triggered the first true semiconductor upcycle in 25 years is partially convincing but also shows signs of overreach.
While ASPs have soared and logic chip margins are inflated, signs of margin compression, overordering, and inventory noise suggest the pricing boom may be peaking.
Investors may need to distinguish between capital-efficient AI bets and overleveraged plays, especially as credit markets begin to price in growing execution and demand risks.


Citi’s AI Supercycle Thesis Faces a Logic Check

Podcast on In-depth Business Talks, Speedwell Research

The Synopsis

Podcast on In-depth Business Talks

Speedwell Research

Speedwell Research spends hundreds of hours researching public businesses each month and in "The Synopsis" they share their key learnings. Most business podcasts are superficial and assume their listeners are unsophisticated. In contrast, The Synopsis trusts listeners are interested in learning about complex, industry-specific issues, so long as they are explained clearly. We cover businesses from inception to current day, coupling business analysis and an investors lens. Start listening today to become a better analyst and investor.

<ul><li>US Government shutdown delays September jobs report, impacting Fed policy decisions</li><li>Markets largely unfazed by shutdown, focusing on structural drivers such as interest rates and earnings forecast</li><li>OpenAI's ChatGPT integration with Shopify and Etsy may signal a shift in marketplace model, impacting revenue and customer touchpoints</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

US Government shutdown delays September jobs report, impacting Fed policy decisionsMarkets largely unfazed by shutdown, focusing on structural drivers such as interest rates and earnings forecastOpenAI's ChatGPT integration with Shopify and Etsy may signal a shift in marketplace model, impacting revenue and customer touchpointsThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Briefing. Why AI Could Mean the End of the Marketplace Model, Meta's Paranoid "Vibe", Coupang's D...

<ul><li>The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points to a range of 4 to 4.25%, citing a shift in risk and uncertainty in the economy.</li><li>Tensions within the Fed committee highlight divisions on future rate cuts, with projections ranging from 2.9% to 4.4% by year end.</li><li>Stagflation concerns have emerged as inflation rises, complicating the Fed's ability to support the job market with aggressive rate cuts.</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points to a range of 4 to 4.25%, citing a shift in risk and uncertainty in the economy.Tensions within the Fed committee highlight divisions on future rate cuts, with projections ranging from 2.9% to 4.4% by year end.Stagflation concerns have emerged as inflation rises, complicating the Fed's ability to support the job market with aggressive rate cuts.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Briefing. Nvidia Invests in Intel, Factset at 4 Year Lows, Fed Cuts Rates, Meta Neural Band

United States

Meta Platforms Inc. operates as a social technology company. The Company builds applications and technologies that help people connect, find communities, and grow businesses. meta Platform is also involved in advertisements, augmented and virtual reality.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Meta (META US)

EP 138: Talking GPU Depreciation, OCP Takeaways

Public cloud infrastructure refreshes involve periodically replacing servers with new CPUs, but the longer economic lifespan of older GPUs like...

The Circuit

WEEKLY Tactical Recap | Asymmetric Setup: KS200, CATL, Samsung Electronics, Tokyo Electron, SK Hynix

Weekly Macro Tactical Recap | Asymmetric Setups - Quantitative models tracking momentum extremes across Asian/Global equities and commodities to...

Nico Rosti

Citi’s AI Supercycle Thesis Faces a Logic Check

Citi believes AI has sparked a semiconductor upcycle, but warnings about potential overreach and pricing peaks still exist. Investors should be...

Mint Finance

Briefing. Why AI Could Mean the End of the Marketplace Model, Meta's Paranoid "Vibe", Coupang's D...

The US Government shutdown delays September jobs report, but markets climb with limited economic consequences, as investors focus on interest...

The Synopsis

Briefing. Nvidia Invests in Intel, Factset at 4 Year Lows, Fed Cuts Rates, Meta Neural Band

The Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, Powell emphasizes risk management, concerns of stagflation arise, Trump administration pushes for...

The Synopsis

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

EP 138: Talking GPU Depreciation, OCP Takeaways

Public cloud infrastructure refreshes involve periodically replacing servers with new CPUs, but the longer economic lifespan of older GPUs like...

The Circuit

WEEKLY Tactical Recap | Asymmetric Setup: KS200, CATL, Samsung Electronics, Tokyo Electron, SK Hynix

Weekly Macro Tactical Recap | Asymmetric Setups - Quantitative models tracking momentum extremes across Asian/Global equities and commodities to...

Nico Rosti

Citi’s AI Supercycle Thesis Faces a Logic Check

​Citi believes AI has sparked a semiconductor upcycle, but warnings about potential overreach and pricing peaks still exist. Investors should be...

Mint Finance

Briefing. Why AI Could Mean the End of the Marketplace Model, Meta's Paranoid "Vibe", Coupang's D...

The US Government shutdown delays September jobs report, but markets climb with limited economic consequences, as investors focus on interest...

The Synopsis

Briefing. Nvidia Invests in Intel, Factset at 4 Year Lows, Fed Cuts Rates, Meta Neural Band

The Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, Powell emphasizes risk management, concerns of stagflation arise, Trump administration pushes for...

The Synopsis

Citi believes AI has sparked a semiconductor upcycle, but warnings about potential overreach and pricing peaks still exist. Investors should be...