Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Quiddity's "Who is Ready" series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.</li>
<li>Our long-term pre-event candidate <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celsys-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20774:1" rel="noopener">CELSYS (3663 JP)</a> has moved to TSE Prime. There will be a TOPIX Inclusion event on 30-Oct-24. The stock has outperformed TOPIX by 43% since <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/topix-inclusions-who-is-ready-july-2024" target="_blank" rel="noopener">July</a>.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pksha-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26181:1" rel="noopener">PKSHA Technology (3993 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genova-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43939:1" rel="noopener">GENOVA (9341 JP)</a> also moved to the TSE Prime market in September and will be having TOPIX Inclusion events at the end of October 2024.</li>
</ul>


Quiddity's "Who is Ready" series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.
Our long-term pre-event candidate CELSYS (3663 JP) has moved to TSE Prime. There will be a TOPIX Inclusion event on 30-Oct-24. The stock has outperformed TOPIX by 43% since July.

PKSHA Technology (3993 JP) and GENOVA (9341 JP) also moved to the TSE Prime market in September and will be having TOPIX Inclusion events at the end of October 2024.


TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Oct 2024)

<ul>
<li>Quiddity's "Who is Ready" series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunwels-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43702:1" rel="noopener">SUNWELS Co (9229 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/macbee-planet-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39863:1" rel="noopener">Macbee Planet (7095 JP)</a> moved to the Prime market in July 2024 and their TOPIX Inclusion events took place at the end of August 2024.</li>
<li>We currently have <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celsys-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20774:1" rel="noopener">CELSYS (3663 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-eyewear-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40217:1" rel="noopener">Japan Eyewear Holdings (5889 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/core-concept-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34323:1" rel="noopener">Core Concept Technologies Inc (4371 JP)</a> in our TOPIX Inclusions pre-event watchlist.</li>
</ul>


Quiddity's "Who is Ready" series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.

SUNWELS Co (9229 JP) and Macbee Planet (7095 JP) moved to the Prime market in July 2024 and their TOPIX Inclusion events took place at the end of August 2024.
We currently have CELSYS (3663 JP), Japan Eyewear Holdings (5889 JP), and Core Concept Technologies Inc (4371 JP) in our TOPIX Inclusions pre-event watchlist.


TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (September 2024)

<ul>
<li>Quiddity's "Who is Ready" series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunwels-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43702:1" rel="noopener">SUNWELS Co (9229 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/macbee-planet-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39863:1" rel="noopener">Macbee Planet (7095 JP)</a> moved to the Prime market in July 2024 which means there will TOPIX Inclusions at the end of August 2024.</li>
<li>Our pre-event pick <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celsys-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20774:1" rel="noopener">CELSYS (3663 JP)</a> has seen its price fall by more than 20% during the recent market sell-off and it is close to a key share price threshold.  </li>
</ul>


Quiddity's "Who is Ready" series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.

SUNWELS Co (9229 JP) and Macbee Planet (7095 JP) moved to the Prime market in July 2024 which means there will TOPIX Inclusions at the end of August 2024.
Our pre-event pick CELSYS (3663 JP) has seen its price fall by more than 20% during the recent market sell-off and it is close to a key share price threshold.  


TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (August 2024)

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>JPX has commenced a market consultation on changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-stock-exchange-tokyo-price-index-topix" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22910:1" rel="noopener">TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX (TPX INDEX)</a> including expansion of the universe and periodic stock selection.</li>
<li>Based on current market cap/ liquidity, there could be 38 adds and 447 deletions for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-stock-exchange-tokyo-price-index-topix" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22910:1" rel="noopener">TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX</a>, though the changes only start in October 2026. </li>
<li>The deletions will be phased out of the index in 8 steps that will end in July 2028 and most of the stocks will move to the TOPIX Next-tier. </li>
</ul>


JPX has commenced a market consultation on changes to the TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX (TPX INDEX) including expansion of the universe and periodic stock selection.
Based on current market cap/ liquidity, there could be 38 adds and 447 deletions for the TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, though the changes only start in October 2026. 
The deletions will be phased out of the index in 8 steps that will end in July 2028 and most of the stocks will move to the TOPIX Next-tier. 


TOPIX Market Consultation: Wider Next-Gen Universe in a Couple of Years; But Stocks Moving Already

<ul>
<li>Quiddity's "<strong>Who is Ready</strong>" series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.</li>
<li>There have been no TOPIX Inclusions in 2024 so far although dozens of companies have been able to meet the key Section Transfer requirements on paper for several months.</li>
<li>However, there are some pre-event candidates we believe are worth monitoring as they have previously confirmed their desire to move to the Prime Market.</li>
</ul>


Quiddity's "Who is Ready" series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.
There have been no TOPIX Inclusions in 2024 so far although dozens of companies have been able to meet the key Section Transfer requirements on paper for several months.
However, there are some pre-event candidates we believe are worth monitoring as they have previously confirmed their desire to move to the Prime Market.


TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (June 2024)

Japan

Ferrotec Corporation develops, manufactures, and sells equipment that incorporates magnetic fluid (ferrofluid) technology. The Company manufactures and processes electronics components, manufactures machine tools, and cleans parts used in semiconductor manufacturing equipment as CMS (contract manufacturing service) business in China.

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Ferrotec Corp (6890 JP)

TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Oct 2024)

The LONGs (Basket A) have outperformed the SHORTs (Basket B) modestly by 0.62% from 7th October to 30th October. On average, the LONGs are down...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (September 2024)

Our long-term pre-event candidate Celsys (3663 JP) has outperformed TOPIX by +21.3% in the last month. The stock has decent earnings momentum and...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (August 2024)

As far as the share price of CELSYS stays above JPY689, CELSYS would be able to satisfy the key Section Transfer requirements.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

TOPIX Market Consultation: Wider Next-Gen Universe in a Couple of Years; But Stocks Moving Already

JPX has commenced a market consultation that could result in 38 adds and 447 deletions for the index in Oct 2026. There are a lot of high impact...

Brian Freitas

TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (June 2024)

The Long Basket A - SHORT Basket B trade is yet to deliver strong positive results but the trend is intact and Basket A could outperform Basket B...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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52-week Range

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