Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares Russell 2000 ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our 2023 outlook remains unchanged; we see the market indexes consolidating within broad horizontal ranges, and we expect the top-end of the range to be 4165-4200 on the S&amp;P 500.</li>
<li>The bottom-end of the range is at the 2022 lows (3490). Another possible support level we are monitoring is at the December 2022 lows (3765).</li>
<li>The Russell 2000 (IWM) is testing important support at $170 (the Dec. 2022 lows and the prior downtrend from 2022), suggesting this is a logical time for an oversold bounce.</li>
</ul>


Our 2023 outlook remains unchanged; we see the market indexes consolidating within broad horizontal ranges, and we expect the top-end of the range to be 4165-4200 on the S&amp;P 500.
The bottom-end of the range is at the 2022 lows (3490). Another possible support level we are monitoring is at the December 2022 lows (3765).
The Russell 2000 (IWM) is testing important support at $170 (the Dec. 2022 lows and the prior downtrend from 2022), suggesting this is a logical time for an oversold bounce.


Russell 2000 (IWM) Testing $170; Downgrading Energy; 10-Yr Treasury Yield Testing 3.4% Support

US Tech Company Research, MT Capital

MT Capital

US Tech Company Research

I demystify the world's most interesting tech companies, providing in-depth, no-nonsense, un-biased analysis on the most interesting Tech Companies available for investment today. I am a Mechanical Engineer by education, Software Engineer by trade and a self-trained Financial Analyst.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>In theory, the fundamental building blocks of the universe, matter and anti-matter, should exist at a 1:1 ratio, a positron for every electron, a yin to each yang.</li><li>However, owed to some miraculous flaw in the simulation’s code, a perturbation in the motion of the universe’s marionette, this is not the case.</li><li>Rather than the big-bang resulting in the almost immediate annihilation of matter and anti-matter into photons, matter prevailed, surviving in excess to its counterpart.</li></ul>

In theory, the fundamental building blocks of the universe, matter and anti-matter, should exist at a 1:1 ratio, a positron for every electron, a yin to each yang.However, owed to some miraculous flaw in the simulation’s code, a perturbation in the motion of the universe’s marionette, this is not the case.Rather than the big-bang resulting in the almost immediate annihilation of matter and anti-matter into photons, matter prevailed, surviving in excess to its counterpart.

Research from Atrium Research, Atrium Research Corporation

Atrium Research

Research from Atrium Research

Atrium Research Corporation

Atrium Research provides institutional quality issuer paid research on public equities in North America. Our investment philosophy takes a 3-5 year view on equities currently being overlooked by the market. Our research process emphasizes understanding the key performance metrics for each specific company, trustworthy management teams, unit economics, and an in-depth valuation analysis. 

Our research product includes in-depth initiation reports, research notes, thematic research pieces, and company fact sheets.

<ul><li>Mining royalties and streams are low-risk alternatives to investing directly in mining companies and commodities</li><li>Royalties and streams have vastly outperformed gold miners over the last 20 years since they are not exposed to exploration risk, capex inflation, or dilution risk while boasting high EBITDA margins and ROIC</li><li>Recent trends include a focus on battery metals, large-scale M&amp;A, and increasing popularity due to poor equity prices among miners Royalties are typically structured as a percentage of the total production or total sales (commodity agnostic).</li></ul>

Mining royalties and streams are low-risk alternatives to investing directly in mining companies and commoditiesRoyalties and streams have vastly outperformed gold miners over the last 20 years since they are not exposed to exploration risk, capex inflation, or dilution risk while boasting high EBITDA margins and ROICRecent trends include a focus on battery metals, large-scale M&amp;A, and increasing popularity due to poor equity prices among miners Royalties are typically structured as a percentage of the total production or total sales (commodity agnostic).

Mining Royalties & Streams: A Quick Primer

<ul>
<li>We currently see the market indexes as consolidating within broad horizontal trading ranges, and we expect these ranges to continue for months, and quite possibly for the entirety of 2023.</li>
<li>We see the top-end of the range at 4100-4165 on the S&amp;P 500, while the bottom-end is at the 2022 lows (3490).</li>
<li>With yesterday's break above 3910 it tells us a tradable rally has begun, with 4100-4165 our target</li>
</ul>


We currently see the market indexes as consolidating within broad horizontal trading ranges, and we expect these ranges to continue for months, and quite possibly for the entirety of 2023.
We see the top-end of the range at 4100-4165 on the S&amp;P 500, while the bottom-end is at the 2022 lows (3490).
With yesterday's break above 3910 it tells us a tradable rally has begun, with 4100-4165 our target


Awaiting CPI Thursday; Expect 4100-4165 SPX to Cap Upside; Buy Ideas Within Gold Miners, Insurance

Research on International Stock Ideas, Value Punks

Value Punks

Research on International Stock Ideas

Value Punks’ mission is to deliver institutional-grade research on international stock ideas in a digestible, reader-friendly format.

At Value Punks, we blend our background in traditional value-investing with an openness to embrace a constantly and rapidly evolving investment and business landscape.

Institutional-Grade Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>If you dig deeper, Buffett is really saying that you can exchange your dollars for gold or you can exchange your dollars for a productive asset such as farmland or an operating business.</li><li>With the latter, you get some yield from the investment with which you can then buy more farmland or operating businesses and thus compound your capital. Snowball.</li><li>If you buy gold, it provides no income and instead you have to pay someone to store it for you so it, in essence, has a negative yield. Made perfect sense!</li></ul>

If you dig deeper, Buffett is really saying that you can exchange your dollars for gold or you can exchange your dollars for a productive asset such as farmland or an operating business.With the latter, you get some yield from the investment with which you can then buy more farmland or operating businesses and thus compound your capital. Snowball.If you buy gold, it provides no income and instead you have to pay someone to store it for you so it, in essence, has a negative yield. Made perfect sense!

Canada

Franco-Nevada Corporation is a resource royalty and investment company. The Company owns a diversified portfolio of precious and base metal royalties, oil and natural gas royalties and other interests, including assets in production, under development or in the exploration phase mostly located in geopolitically secure countries.

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Franco-Nevada (FNV CN)

Russell 2000 (IWM) Testing $170; Downgrading Energy; 10-Yr Treasury Yield Testing 3.4% Support

Our 2023 $SPX outlook remains unchanged: rangebound trade between 4165-4200 and 3490, with Dec. 2022 lows (3765) also possible support. Bears in...

Vermilion Research

The Importance of Asymmetry

In theory, the fundamental building blocks of the universe, matter and anti-matter, should exist at a 1:1 ratio, a positron for every electron, a...

MT Capital

Mining Royalties & Streams: A Quick Primer

Royalties and streams have vastly outperformed gold miners over the last 20 years since they are not exposed to exploration risk, capex inflation,...

Atrium Research

Awaiting CPI Thursday; Expect 4100-4165 SPX to Cap Upside; Buy Ideas Within Gold Miners, Insurance

With yesterday's break above 3910 in $SPX we see a tradable rally, but 4100-4165 is likely to cap upside; reduce risk into that area. Buy ideas...

Vermilion Research

Thematic: Hedging with Gold

As investors, we constantly evolve. When I started my investing journey, I devoured everything written by Buffett and Munger.

Value Punks

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