Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>5-Year Growth: EBITDA doubled to RMB 72.6 bn; production scaled across copper, gold, and lithium through global M&amp;A and low-cost execution.</li>
<li>Capex Plans: USD 10.4 bn over 5 years across copper, lithium, and gold; includes Zijin Gold International spin-off by late 2025.</li>
<li>Zijin is projected to deliver 19–27% CAGR in EBITDA and net profit through 2026, yet trades at just 6.3x 2025E EV/EBITDA — a notable discount to peers trading at 7–8x</li>
</ul>


5-Year Growth: EBITDA doubled to RMB 72.6 bn; production scaled across copper, gold, and lithium through global M&amp;A and low-cost execution.
Capex Plans: USD 10.4 bn over 5 years across copper, lithium, and gold; includes Zijin Gold International spin-off by late 2025.
Zijin is projected to deliver 19–27% CAGR in EBITDA and net profit through 2026, yet trades at just 6.3x 2025E EV/EBITDA — a notable discount to peers trading at 7–8x


Zijin Mining Group: Undervalued, Diversified, and Scaling Fast

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

<ul>
<li>Low-Cost producer of copper and zinc with two of the biggest  ten mines in the world.</li>
<li>Recent mine acquisition and increased production at existing mines will grow earnings.</li>
<li>The supply and demand imbalance in copper will lead to higher prices.</li>
</ul>


Low-Cost producer of copper and zinc with two of the biggest  ten mines in the world.
Recent mine acquisition and increased production at existing mines will grow earnings.
The supply and demand imbalance in copper will lead to higher prices.


Mmg Limited 1208.HK - It's Got It All - Copper, EV's, and AI!

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/akr-corporindo-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13338:1" rel="noopener">AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ)</a> hosted an analyst call to outline prospects for 2025, which revealed a more positive outlook for fuel distribution driven by growth in demand from mining. </li>
<li>The chemical distribution will also benefit from demand from new smelters as well as new chemicals, whilst land sales at JIIPE are set to increase significantly in 2025. </li>
<li>The retail gas station business is picking up momentum and should benefit from the government reducing fuel subsidies. Valuations are attractive with support from a 7% dividend yield.</li>
</ul>



AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ) hosted an analyst call to outline prospects for 2025, which revealed a more positive outlook for fuel distribution driven by growth in demand from mining. 
The chemical distribution will also benefit from demand from new smelters as well as new chemicals, whilst land sales at JIIPE are set to increase significantly in 2025. 
The retail gas station business is picking up momentum and should benefit from the government reducing fuel subsidies. Valuations are attractive with support from a 7% dividend yield.


AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ) - Smelters and Gas Stations Bring Opportunity

<ul>
<li>While there may be still be some overhang once the rights shares start trading, this is a good entry point</li>
<li>Applications for 6.4 Billion excess rights shares received from 11 applications</li>
<li>Rights shares will start trading on Tuesday 16th of July</li>
</ul>


While there may be still be some overhang once the rights shares start trading, this is a good entry point
Applications for 6.4 Billion excess rights shares received from 11 applications
Rights shares will start trading on Tuesday 16th of July


MMG Limited (1208.HK) Rights Issue - 98.18% Taken Up

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

<ul>
<li>Copper rebounded last week, rising 4% on the LME and 6% on the COMEX, led by improved sentiment but in line with most of its commodity complex peers.</li>
<li>Check out our initiation, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/copper-primer-what-we-like-about-copper-and-what-to-play" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:141017" rel="noopener">Copper Primer: What We Like About Copper and What to Play</a>, and our equity initiation, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/southern-copper-in-a-league-of-its-own" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:139839" rel="noopener">Southern Copper: In a League of Its Own</a>. </li>
<li>We provide updates on the long copper-short gold trade we explored last week and the iron condor in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/freeport-mcmoran-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12491:1" rel="noopener">Freeport Mcmoran (FCX US)</a> </li>
</ul>


Copper rebounded last week, rising 4% on the LME and 6% on the COMEX, led by improved sentiment but in line with most of its commodity complex peers.
Check out our initiation, Copper Primer: What We Like About Copper and What to Play, and our equity initiation, Southern Copper: In a League of Its Own. 
We provide updates on the long copper-short gold trade we explored last week and the iron condor in Freeport Mcmoran (FCX US) 


Copper Tracker July 2024: Physical/​Equity Screens And Trades

United States

Freeport-McMoRan Inc. is an international natural resources company. The Company operates large, long-lived, geographically diverse assets with significant reserves of copper, gold, molybdenum, cobalt, oil, and gas.

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Freeport Mcmoran (FCX US)

Zijin Mining Group: Undervalued, Diversified, and Scaling Fast

In May 2025, Zijin Mining considered halting operations at its Kyzyl-Tashtyg zinc-lead mine in Russia due to sanctions and banking restrictions,...

Rahul Jain

Mmg Limited 1208.HK - It's Got It All - Copper, EV's, and AI!

Copper at 5-yr highs. Drivers: a) Tariff fear (25% on aluminium/steel) causing copper to be diverted to the US b) The inventory of copper in China...

Rikki Malik

AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ) - Smelters and Gas Stations Bring Opportunity

AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ) hosted an analyst call to outline prospects for 2025, which revealed a more positive outlook for fuel distribution,...

Angus Mackintosh

MMG Limited (1208.HK) Rights Issue - 98.18% Taken Up

Good entry point for investors as excess rights shares receive strong demand, trading to begin on July 16th, and copper has had its correction

Rikki Malik

Copper Tracker July 2024: Physical/Equity Screens And Trades

This brief insight summarizes Copper's performance and equities on our screens. We highlight our research and trades to explore for July

Sameer Taneja

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Zijin Mining Group: Undervalued, Diversified, and Scaling Fast

In May 2025, Zijin Mining considered halting operations at its Kyzyl-Tashtyg zinc-lead mine in Russia due to sanctions and banking restrictions,...

Rahul Jain

Mmg Limited 1208.HK - It's Got It All - Copper, EV's, and AI!

Copper at 5-yr highs. Drivers: a) Tariff fear (25% on aluminium/steel) causing copper to be diverted to the US b) The inventory of copper in China...

Rikki Malik

AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ) - Smelters and Gas Stations Bring Opportunity

AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ) hosted an analyst call to outline prospects for 2025, which revealed a more positive outlook for fuel distribution,...

Angus Mackintosh

MMG Limited (1208.HK) Rights Issue - 98.18% Taken Up

​Good entry point for investors as excess rights shares receive strong demand, trading to begin on July 16th, and copper has had its correction

Rikki Malik

Copper Tracker July 2024: Physical/​Equity Screens And Trades

This brief insight summarizes Copper's performance and equities on our screens. We highlight our research and trades to explore for July

Sameer Taneja

Good entry point for investors as excess rights shares receive strong demand, trading to begin on July 16th, and copper has had its correction

Copper Tracker July 2024: Physical/Equity Screens And Trades