Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders  / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 20 changes a side for the Nifty200 Momentum30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June. We had correctly forecast 39 of the 40 changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 68.4% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 160bn (US$1.9bn). There are 22 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The Financials sector has 9 net inclusions to the index while the Information Technology and Consumer Discretionary sectors have 2 net deletions each.</li>
</ul>


There are 20 changes a side for the Nifty200 Momentum30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June. We had correctly forecast 39 of the 40 changes.
Estimated one-way turnover is 68.4% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 160bn (US$1.9bn). There are 22 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.
The Financials sector has 9 net inclusions to the index while the Information Technology and Consumer Discretionary sectors have 2 net deletions each.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: HUGE Turnover and Trade as Financials Shine

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Vishal Mega Mart / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vishal-mega-mart" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44041:1" rel="noopener">Vishal Mega Mart</a> raised around US$950m in its India IPO. Its IPO linked lockup will expire soon.</li>
<li>Vishal Mega Mart Limited (VMM), is a one-stop retail destination. As per the company it targets middle and lower-middle income consumers across India.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>



Vishal Mega Mart raised around US$950m in its India IPO. Its IPO linked lockup will expire soon.
Vishal Mega Mart Limited (VMM), is a one-stop retail destination. As per the company it targets middle and lower-middle income consumers across India.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


Vishal Mega Mart IPO Lockup Expiry - US$4bn Lockup Release with PE Sitting on 10x Gains

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oswal-pumps" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43952:1" rel="noopener">Oswal Pumps (1019841D IN)</a> is looking to raise about US$162m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal has been downsized from an earlier size of around US$250m.</li>
<li>Oswal Pumps Ltd (OPL) specializes in the manufacturing of solar-powered and conventional pumps, electric motors, and related components for agricultural, residential, and industrial applications.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the RHP updates and IPO valuations.</li>
</ul>



Oswal Pumps (1019841D IN) is looking to raise about US$162m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal has been downsized from an earlier size of around US$250m.
Oswal Pumps Ltd (OPL) specializes in the manufacturing of solar-powered and conventional pumps, electric motors, and related components for agricultural, residential, and industrial applications.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the RHP updates and IPO valuations.


Oswal Pumps IPO - RHP Updates & Thoughts on Peer Comp and Valuation

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Nykaa’s core BPC online AUTC/orders are likely to grow at 20/21% CAGR along with rising order frequency over FY25-27E vs a soft 17% in FY24 as focus has decisively shifted toward customer acquisition in core BPC</li><li>Teething issues in its new ad tech stack now seem to have settled</li><li>Ergo, ad/shipping income (non-linear) which bottomed out in FY24 is normalizing upwards (8.6% to 9.8% of NSV in 9MFY25)</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Nykaa’s core BPC online AUTC/orders are likely to grow at 20/21% CAGR along with rising order frequency over FY25-27E vs a soft 17% in FY24 as focus has decisively shifted toward customer acquisition in core BPCTeething issues in its new ad tech stack now seem to have settledErgo, ad/shipping income (non-linear) which bottomed out in FY24 is normalizing upwards (8.6% to 9.8% of NSV in 9MFY25)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Fsn E-commerce Ventures: Step up in BPC customer acquisition encouraging. Maintain ADD

Ajax Engineering Limited / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ajax-engineering-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44026:1" rel="noopener">Ajax Engineering Limited (0896529D IN)</a> raised around US$145m in its India IPO.</li>
<li>Ajax Engineering Limited (AEL) is one of the leading concrete equipment manufacturers with a comprehensive range of concrete equipment, services and solutions across the concrete application value chain.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Ajax Engineering Limited (0896529D IN) raised around US$145m in its India IPO.
Ajax Engineering Limited (AEL) is one of the leading concrete equipment manufacturers with a comprehensive range of concrete equipment, services and solutions across the concrete application value chain.
We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.


Ajax Engineering IPO Trading - Decent Insti Coverage but Subdued Retail Demand

India

FSN E-Commerce Ventures Ltd., operating as Nykaa, is an Indian retail company specializing in beauty, wellness, and fashion products. It sells products online and through physical stores, offering a wide assortment from various brands, including its own. The company is headquartered in Mumbai, India, and was founded in April 2012.

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Nykaa (NYKAA IN)

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: HUGE Turnover and Trade as Financials Shine

The Nifty200 Momentum30 Index rebalances at the close tomorrow. Since announcement, the adds have outperformed the deletes (but only marginally)....

Brian Freitas

Vishal Mega Mart IPO Lockup Expiry - US$4bn Lockup Release with PE Sitting on 10x Gains

Kedaara Capital is now, on the day of the lock-up expiry, looking to sell around 10% of the company, as per media reports, at a floor price of...

Sumeet Singh

Oswal Pumps IPO - RHP Updates & Thoughts on Peer Comp and Valuation

Oswal Pumps is looking to raise about US$162m in its upcoming India IPO. We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In...

Akshat Shah

Fsn E-commerce Ventures: Step up in BPC customer acquisition encouraging. Maintain ADD

Nykaa’s core BPC online AUTC/orders are likely to grow at 20/21% CAGR along with rising order frequency over FY25-27E vs a soft 17% in FY24

HDFC Securities

Ajax Engineering IPO Trading - Decent Insti Coverage but Subdued Retail Demand

Ajax Engineering Limited raised around US$145m in its India IPO. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.

Akshat Shah

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