Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/brainbees-solutions-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36115:1" rel="noopener">BrainBees Solutions (FIRSTCRY IN)</a> reported marginal decline in 1QFY2025 revenues and GMV (India operations) versus previous quarter, though both were up 17% YoY; fell short of market expectations.</li>
<li>Key operating metrics for India business too were soft with Average Order Value slipping both on a QoQ and YoY basis, impacting GMV growth and segment margins.</li>
<li>With 0% promoter holding, nearly 30%-50% shares could possibly start trading post lock-in expiry and this could test the stock's resilience. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group(9984 JP)</a>, the biggest stake holder, owns 19.99%.</li>
</ul>



BrainBees Solutions (FIRSTCRY IN) reported marginal decline in 1QFY2025 revenues and GMV (India operations) versus previous quarter, though both were up 17% YoY; fell short of market expectations.
Key operating metrics for India business too were soft with Average Order Value slipping both on a QoQ and YoY basis, impacting GMV growth and segment margins.
With 0% promoter holding, nearly 30%-50% shares could possibly start trading post lock-in expiry and this could test the stock's resilience. Softbank Group(9984 JP), the biggest stake holder, owns 19.99%.


Brainbees (FIRSTCRY IN): First Results Fail to Cheer. Lock-In Expiry May Test Stock Resilience

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

InterGlobe Aviation Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/interglobe-aviation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24877:1" rel="noopener">InterGlobe Aviation Ltd (INDIGO IN)</a>’s co-founder, Rakesh Gangwal, aims to raise around US$850m via selling around 3.8% stake in Indigo.</li>
<li>He had earlier stated his intention to pare down his stake after a long drawn, and very public battle, with his co-founder Rahul Bhatia. He has sold many times before.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>



InterGlobe Aviation Ltd (INDIGO IN)’s co-founder, Rakesh Gangwal, aims to raise around US$850m via selling around 3.8% stake in Indigo.
He had earlier stated his intention to pare down his stake after a long drawn, and very public battle, with his co-founder Rahul Bhatia. He has sold many times before.
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


Interglobe Aviation (Indigo) Placement - Another US$800m+ Deal, This Time by the Correct Co-Founder

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, we looked at a number of upcoming listings in India.</li>
<li>There was a revival in placement flows during the week, after a lull over the past few weeks.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
On the IPO front, we looked at a number of upcoming listings in India.
There was a revival in placement flows during the week, after a lull over the past few weeks.


ECM Weekly (26th Aug 2024) - Zomato, Colowide, Star Asia, Yamaha, 99Speed, Hero Fin, Bajaj Housing

<ul>
<li>AntFin is looking to raise around US$400m by selling around 2% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOMATO IN)</a>.</li>
<li>Ant Group had earlier sold some of its stake in Nov 2023 and Mar 2024, with the deals producing a mixed bag result.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


AntFin is looking to raise around US$400m by selling around 2% of Zomato (ZOMATO IN).
Ant Group had earlier sold some of its stake in Nov 2023 and Mar 2024, with the deals producing a mixed bag result.
In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Zomato Placement - Momentum Is Very Strong, past Ant Related Deals Have Been Mixed

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Hero Motocorp: Hero MotoCorp Q1 PAT at INR 11.2bn (+20% YoY) exceeded our estimate of INR 10.6bn, driven by a better product mix and cost control initiatives</li><li>It continues to focus on the 125cc segment, with capacity increased from 25k units per month to 40k per month to cater to the demand for Xtreme 125R</li><li>With better consumer sentiment aided by marriage dates and the onset of the festive season, a significant recovery is expected in the rural segment</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Hero Motocorp: Hero MotoCorp Q1 PAT at INR 11.2bn (+20% YoY) exceeded our estimate of INR 10.6bn, driven by a better product mix and cost control initiativesIt continues to focus on the 125cc segment, with capacity increased from 25k units per month to 40k per month to cater to the demand for Xtreme 125RWith better consumer sentiment aided by marriage dates and the onset of the festive season, a significant recovery is expected in the rural segmentContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Hero Motocorp, Apollo Hospitals Enterprise, FSN E-Commerce Ventures (Nykaa)

India

FSN E-Commerce Ventures Private Limited providese-retailing beauty and personal care solutions. The Company offers comprehensive selection of makeup, skin and hair care, bath body, fragrance, grooming appliances, personal care, and health and welness categories. FSN E-Commerce Ventures serves customers worldwide.

FSN E-Commerce Ventures (Nykaa) (NYKAA IN)

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FSN E-Commerce Ventures (Nykaa) (NYKAA IN)

Brainbees (FIRSTCRY IN): First Results Fail to Cheer. Lock-In Expiry May Test Stock Resilience

Lock-in expiry may test stock price resilience as company's 0% promoter holding imply 30%-50% shares could start trading. Lack lustre growth and...

Devi Subhakesan

Interglobe Aviation (Indigo) Placement - Another US$800m+ Deal, This Time by the Correct Co-Founder

InterGlobe Aviation Ltd (INDIGO IN)’s co-founder, Rakesh Gangwal, aims to raise around US$850m via selling around 3.8% stake in Indigo.

Sumeet Singh

ECM Weekly (26th Aug 2024) - Zomato, Colowide, Star Asia, Yamaha, 99Speed, Hero Fin, Bajaj Housing

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

HSIE Results Daily: Hero Motocorp, Apollo Hospitals Enterprise, FSN E-Commerce Ventures (Nykaa)

Hero Motocorp: Hero MotoCorp Q1 PAT at INR 11.2bn (+20% YoY) exceeded our estimate of INR 10.6bn, driven by a better product mix and cost control...

HDFC Securities

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Brainbees (FIRSTCRY IN): First Results Fail to Cheer. Lock-In Expiry May Test Stock Resilience

Lock-in expiry may test stock price resilience as company's 0% promoter holding imply 30%-50% shares could start trading. Lack lustre growth and...

Devi Subhakesan

Interglobe Aviation (Indigo) Placement - Another US$800m+ Deal, This Time by the Correct Co-Founder

InterGlobe Aviation Ltd (INDIGO IN)’s co-founder, Rakesh Gangwal, aims to raise around US$850m via selling around 3.8% stake in Indigo.

Sumeet Singh

ECM Weekly (26th Aug 2024) - Zomato, Colowide, Star Asia, Yamaha, 99Speed, Hero Fin, Bajaj Housing

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

Zomato Placement - Momentum Is Very Strong, past Ant Related Deals Have Been Mixed

AntFin is looking to raise around US$400m by selling around 2% of Zomato (ZOMATO IN). Past selldown's by AntFin have produced mixed results.

Sumeet Singh

HSIE Results Daily: Hero Motocorp, Apollo Hospitals Enterprise, FSN E-Commerce Ventures (Nykaa)

Hero Motocorp: Hero MotoCorp Q1 PAT at INR 11.2bn (+20% YoY) exceeded our estimate of INR 10.6bn, driven by a better product mix and cost control...

HDFC Securities