'Quantamental' Japan Specialist, LightStream Research

Campbell Gunn

'Quantamental' Japan Specialist

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<div><p style="text-align: center;"><strong>• BEST &amp; WORST •</strong></p></div><div>
<p>Our best and worst pair from Monday's announcements is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/weathernews-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16991:1" rel="noopener">Weathernews (4825 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coca-cola-bottlers-japan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20051:1" rel="noopener">Coca Cola Bottlers Japan (2579 JP)</a>. </p>
<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/163/489/original/2020-10-06_05-34-42.png?1601930214" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="163489"></figure><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/163/490/original/2020-10-06_05-35-26.png?1601930263" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="163490"></figure><div class="content-caption">Source for all charts &amp; tables: Japan Analytics</div>
<div><p>DAILY STATS</p></div>
<hr>
<div><p style="text-align: center;"><strong>12 Quarterly Results</strong></p></div>
<div><ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li><p><strong>Results Score:</strong> 33% Positive / 8% Neutral / 58% Negative</p></li>
<li><p><strong>Average Results Score Change:</strong> -2.0 points</p></li>
<li><p><strong>Average % Change in Revenue:</strong> -12.5% Quarter YoY / -5.1% Rolling TTM YoY </p></li>
<li><p><strong>Average Operating Profit Margin Change:</strong> -3.3ppt</p></li>
<li><p><strong>Percentage Making Quarterly Losses:</strong> 25%</p></li>
</ul></div>
<hr>
<div><p style="text-align: center;"><strong>10 Annual • 5 Interim Forecasts/Revisions</strong></p></div>
<div><ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li><p><strong>Annual Forecast/Revision Score:</strong> 50% Positive /20% Neutral / 30% Negative</p></li>
<li><p><strong>Interim Forecast/Revision Score Change:</strong> 20% Positive / 0% Neutral / 80% Negative</p></li>
<li><p><strong>Average Forecast/Revision Score Change:</strong> -5.1 point</p></li>
</ul></div>
</div>

• BEST &amp; WORST •
Our best and worst pair from Monday's announcements is Weathernews (4825 JP) and Coca Cola Bottlers Japan (2579 JP). 
Source for all charts &amp; tables: Japan Analytics
DAILY STATS

12 Quarterly Results

Results Score: 33% Positive / 8% Neutral / 58% Negative
Average Results Score Change: -2.0 points
Average % Change in Revenue: -12.5% Quarter YoY / -5.1% Rolling TTM YoY 
Average Operating Profit Margin Change: -3.3ppt
Percentage Making Quarterly Losses: 25%


10 Annual • 5 Interim Forecasts/Revisions

Annual Forecast/Revision Score: 50% Positive /20% Neutral / 30% Negative
Interim Forecast/Revision Score Change: 20% Positive / 0% Neutral / 80% Negative
Average Forecast/Revision Score Change: -5.1 point



🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions - 10/​​​​​​05 Fuji, Weathernews, Create SD, Daikin, Coca Cola Japan

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Feb 27th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD24,962m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Rakuten Bank, Lasertec, Disco, Kandenko, Toho, SoftBank, Advantest, Sanrio, Tokyo Electron, Create Restaurants.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Feb 27th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD24,962m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Rakuten Bank, Lasertec, Disco, Kandenko, Toho, SoftBank, Advantest, Sanrio, Tokyo Electron, Create Restaurants.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Feb 27th): Rakuten Bank, Lasertec, Disco, Kandenko, Toho, SoftBank

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Jan 16th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD20,863m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in SoftBank, Advantest, Lasertec, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Kioxia, Sanrio, Fast Retailing, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Keyence, Softbank, Advantest, Lasertec.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Jan 16th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD20,863m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in SoftBank, Advantest, Lasertec, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Kioxia, Sanrio, Fast Retailing, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Keyence, Softbank, Advantest, Lasertec.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Jan 16th): SoftBank, Advantest, Lasertec, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Jan 9th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD20,644m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Shibaura Electronics, SoftBank, Skylark, Kioxia, McDonald's, Ise Chemicals, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Disco, Itochu, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Shibaura Electronics, Softbank, Skylark, Kioxia, Mcdonald'S.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Jan 9th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD20,644m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Shibaura Electronics, SoftBank, Skylark, Kioxia, McDonald's, Ise Chemicals, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Disco, Itochu, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Shibaura Electronics, Softbank, Skylark, Kioxia, Mcdonald'S.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Jan 9th): Shibaura Electronics, SoftBank, Skylark, Kioxia, McDonald's

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Bowing before bureaucratic, governmental, societal, and perhaps finally shareholder pressure, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aeon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3:1" rel="noopener">Aeon Co Ltd (8267 JP)</a> Friday announced it is rolling up two big subsidiaries. </li>
<li>Aeon Mall will be merged with Aeon in a share exchange and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aeon-delight-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16763:1" rel="noopener">Aeon Delight (9787 JP)</a> will be taken over via slightly long-dated Tender Offer which starts Monday.</li>
<li>This is probably the wrong price, but it isn't <em>egregiously</em> wrong I expect. And it would be difficult to block. I expect it gets done easily.</li>
</ul>


Bowing before bureaucratic, governmental, societal, and perhaps finally shareholder pressure, Aeon Co Ltd (8267 JP) Friday announced it is rolling up two big subsidiaries. 
Aeon Mall will be merged with Aeon in a share exchange and Aeon Delight (9787 JP) will be taken over via slightly long-dated Tender Offer which starts Monday.
This is probably the wrong price, but it isn't egregiously wrong I expect. And it would be difficult to block. I expect it gets done easily.


Aeon Tender Offer for Aeon Delight (9787) At ¥5,400/Share

Japan

FUJI CO., LTD. operates shopping center chain mainly in the Shikoku and the Chugoku regions.  The Company mainly sells foodstuffs, clothing, and sundry goods.  Fuji also operates home entertainment stores, BACH, which sells books, CDs, videos, and video games.  The Company also operates sports fitness centers. The Company provides credit card service.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Fuji Co Ltd (8278 JP)

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions - 10/05 Fuji, Weathernews, Create SD, Daikin, Coca Cola Japan

• BEST & WORST • Our best and worst pair is home centre Shimachu (8184 JP) for whom a rumoured bid from peer DCM has emerged and diaper...

Campbell Gunn

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Feb 27th): Rakuten Bank, Lasertec, Disco, Kandenko, Toho, SoftBank

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Rakuten Bank, Lasertec, Disco, Kandenko, Toho, SoftBank,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Jan 16th): SoftBank, Advantest, Lasertec, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted SoftBank (9984 JP), Advantest (6857 JP), Lasertec (6920 JP),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Jan 9th): Shibaura Electronics, SoftBank, Skylark, Kioxia, McDonald's

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP), SoftBank (9984 JP), Skylark (3197...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions - 10/​​​​​​05 Fuji, Weathernews, Create SD, Daikin, Coca Cola Japan

• BEST & WORST • Our best and worst pair is home centre Shimachu (8184 JP) for whom a rumoured bid from peer DCM has emerged and diaper...

Campbell Gunn

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Feb 27th): Rakuten Bank, Lasertec, Disco, Kandenko, Toho, SoftBank

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Rakuten Bank, Lasertec, Disco, Kandenko, Toho, SoftBank,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Jan 16th): SoftBank, Advantest, Lasertec, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted SoftBank (9984 JP), Advantest (6857 JP), Lasertec (6920 JP),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Jan 9th): Shibaura Electronics, SoftBank, Skylark, Kioxia, McDonald's

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP), SoftBank (9984 JP), Skylark (3197...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Aeon Tender Offer for Aeon Delight (9787) At ¥5,400/Share

Aeon has announced a Tender Offer for facilities maintenance subsidiary Aeon Delight. It's an all-time high, but the TOB Premium on Aeon Delight is...

Travis Lundy

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions - 10/05 Fuji, Weathernews, Create SD, Daikin, Coca Cola Japan