Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We believe a 1-4-month pullback/consolidation is ongoing, and we would look for an important low to be made near the U.S. election.</li>
<li>Supports to watch continue to be $110 on $ACWI and $41-42 on MSCI EM $EEM, and whether these levels hold or not will determine the severity of the pullback.</li>
<li>Primary reasons for this bearish expectation include major bullish RS inflections for defensive Sectors, and bearish price action in the U.S. (SPX), Japan (TOPIX/Nikkei 225), and Europe (EURO STOXX 50)</li>
</ul>


We believe a 1-4-month pullback/consolidation is ongoing, and we would look for an important low to be made near the U.S. election.
Supports to watch continue to be $110 on $ACWI and $41-42 on MSCI EM $EEM, and whether these levels hold or not will determine the severity of the pullback.
Primary reasons for this bearish expectation include major bullish RS inflections for defensive Sectors, and bearish price action in the U.S. (SPX), Japan (TOPIX/Nikkei 225), and Europe (EURO STOXX 50)


Pullback Continues $ACWI; Stick With Defensives; More Countries With Improving Price and RS Trends

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Currently, the share of natural gas in energy basket is just 6.7%, Which India is aiming for 15% by 2030.</li>
<li>Capex in Place- expanding the Dahej Plant, Petchem facility(20000Cr) will be operational in 4-5 years, Kochi utilization will improve</li>
<li>20% Volume Growth expected by Management, with a rising LNG portion in overall Gas Consumption in India.</li>
</ul>


Currently, the share of natural gas in energy basket is just 6.7%, Which India is aiming for 15% by 2030.
Capex in Place- expanding the Dahej Plant, Petchem facility(20000Cr) will be operational in 4-5 years, Kochi utilization will improve
20% Volume Growth expected by Management, with a rising LNG portion in overall Gas Consumption in India.


The Beat Ideas- Petronet LNG: Driving Growth in India's Natural Gas Sector

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>GAIL's Rs. 12,940-crore Urja Ganga gas pipeline delayed to March 2025 completion date</li>
<li>Tata Steel UK pursues legal action against Unite union over planned July 8 strike</li>
<li>IREDA could unlock Rs. 22-lakh crore debt market for renewables energy</li>
</ul>


GAIL's Rs. 12,940-crore Urja Ganga gas pipeline delayed to March 2025 completion date
Tata Steel UK pursues legal action against Unite union over planned July 8 strike
IREDA could unlock Rs. 22-lakh crore debt market for renewables energy


#21 India Insight: Zomato Tax Demand, Tata Steel Legal Action, NTPC Rs. 12,000 Fund-Raise

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gail-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15263:1" rel="noopener">Gail India (GAIL IN)</a> to Invest Rs 60,000 Crore in Ethane Cracker Project in Madhya Pradesh.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suzlon-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1073:1" rel="noopener">Suzlon Energy (SUEL IN)</a> Director Resigns Citing Governance Concerns in his letter</li>
<li>Masdar, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsw-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14949:1" rel="noopener">JSW Energy Ltd (JSW IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/torrent-power-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17884:1" rel="noopener">Torrent Power (TPW IN)</a> , and More Eye Enel's Indian Assets</li>
</ul>



Gail India (GAIL IN) to Invest Rs 60,000 Crore in Ethane Cracker Project in Madhya Pradesh.

Suzlon Energy (SUEL IN) Director Resigns Citing Governance Concerns in his letter
Masdar, JSW Energy Ltd (JSW IN), Torrent Power (TPW IN) , and More Eye Enel's Indian Assets


#11 India Insight: GAIL 60000Cr Project, Paytm Layoff, Suzlon CG Issues, Axiscades Drone Order

<ul>
<li>What will be implication in case of weaker Modi &amp; BJP mandate?</li>
<li>Public Sector and State-Owned Bank Shares Plunge whole day after poor BJP tally during counting.</li>
<li>Improvement in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-steel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20934:1" rel="noopener">Tata Steel Ltd (TATA IN)</a>'s credit profile by FY25 and Higher RoCE for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharti-airtel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:953:1" rel="noopener">Bharti Airtel (BHARTI IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/reliance-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:198:1" rel="noopener">Reliance Industries (RIL IN)</a> </li>
</ul>


What will be implication in case of weaker Modi &amp; BJP mandate?
Public Sector and State-Owned Bank Shares Plunge whole day after poor BJP tally during counting.
Improvement in Tata Steel Ltd (TATA IN)'s credit profile by FY25 and Higher RoCE for Bharti Airtel (BHARTI IN) and Reliance Industries (RIL IN) 


#7 India Insights: Weaker Modi Mandate, Plunging PSUs, Tata Steel Credit Profile, Reliance, Airtel

India

GAIL India Limited processes and distributes natural gas and liquefied petroleum gas. The Company is a Government of India undertaking.

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Gail India (GAIL IN)

Pullback Continues $ACWI; Stick With Defensives; More Countries With Improving Price and RS Trends

Pullback Continues $ACWI; Stick With Defensives. We continue to believe a 1- to 4-month pullback/consolidation is ongoing, and would look for an...

Vermilion Research

The Beat Ideas- Petronet LNG: Driving Growth in India's Natural Gas Sector

Petronet LNG: The Pure Play Natural Gas Player in India. Rising Energy Demand, Capex and upcoming Petchem project will drive the growth.

Sudarshan Bhandari

#21 India Insight: Zomato Tax Demand, Tata Steel Legal Action, NTPC Rs. 12,000 Fund-Raise

Delays in GAIL's gas pipeline, Tata Steel UK legal action, and IREDA's potential to unlock renewable energy debt market.

Sudarshan Bhandari

#11 India Insight: GAIL 60000Cr Project, Paytm Layoff, Suzlon CG Issues, Axiscades Drone Order

Gail India to invest Rs 60,000 crore in ethane cracker project, Suzlon Energy director resigns over governance concerns, Masdar, JSW Energy,...

Sudarshan Bhandari

#7 India Insights: Weaker Modi Mandate, Plunging PSUs, Tata Steel Credit Profile, Reliance, Airtel

Weaker Modi & BJP mandate leads to plunge in PSUs and state-owned bank shares, while Tata Steel, Bharti Airtel, and Reliance Industries see credit...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Pullback Continues $ACWI; Stick With Defensives; More Countries With Improving Price and RS Trends

Pullback Continues $ACWI; Stick With Defensives. We continue to believe a 1- to 4-month pullback/consolidation is ongoing, and would look for an...

Vermilion Research

The Beat Ideas- Petronet LNG: Driving Growth in India's Natural Gas Sector

Petronet LNG: The Pure Play Natural Gas Player in India. Rising Energy Demand, Capex and upcoming Petchem project will drive the growth.

Sudarshan Bhandari

#21 India Insight: Zomato Tax Demand, Tata Steel Legal Action, NTPC Rs. 12,000 Fund-Raise

​Delays in GAIL's gas pipeline, Tata Steel UK legal action, and IREDA's potential to unlock renewable energy debt market.

Sudarshan Bhandari

#11 India Insight: GAIL 60000Cr Project, Paytm Layoff, Suzlon CG Issues, Axiscades Drone Order

​Gail India to invest Rs 60,000 crore in ethane cracker project, Suzlon Energy director resigns over governance concerns, Masdar, JSW Energy,...

Sudarshan Bhandari

#7 India Insights: Weaker Modi Mandate, Plunging PSUs, Tata Steel Credit Profile, Reliance, Airtel

​Weaker Modi & BJP mandate leads to plunge in PSUs and state-owned bank shares, while Tata Steel, Bharti Airtel, and Reliance Industries see credit...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Delays in GAIL's gas pipeline, Tata Steel UK legal action, and IREDA's potential to unlock renewable energy debt market.

Gail India to invest Rs 60,000 crore in ethane cracker project, Suzlon Energy director resigns over governance concerns, Masdar, JSW Energy,...

Weaker Modi & BJP mandate leads to plunge in PSUs and state-owned bank shares, while Tata Steel, Bharti Airtel, and Reliance Industries see credit...