Steno Signals #115 – The head-fake business cycle strikes again
Happy Sunday from Copenhagen. Almost exactly a year ago, we wrote about the “roadmap to a recession” and how the market wrongly anticipated a...
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Portfolio Watch: Preparing for a nasty September due to liquidity
It’s been a relatively uneventful week, and we haven’t been overly active as we await September trends for our portfolio. Examining our underlying...
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The Week At A Glance: The slippery slope of data revisions
Happy Monday from Europe. Powell is cutting, Ueda is hiking and USDJPY is heading lower. It sounds like a tune we have heard before, and while we...
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Steno Signals #114 – A Powell Put is Ueda’s Catastrophe
Happy Sunday from Denmark!I’ve had a few days to digest Powell’s speech from Friday, and my takeaway is unequivocally dovish. Powell and the...
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Macro/Rates Watch: When the entire foundation rests on liquidity
What a July we’ve had. The G3 central banks have now received plenty of labor market data that justifies cutting rates fairly aggressively. In our...
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