External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Scotiabank

Scotiabank

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Scotiabank’s global foreign exchange strategy team provides in-depth regional insights and macro-economic analysis for G10 and advanced economies, Asia Pacific, and Latin America. Find technical and fundamental strategy reports focused on trade ideas, market risks, and the unfolding macro outlook. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

FX & Rates

<ul><li>The aggregate USD short was largely unchanged in the week ended September 16, widening a modest $0.7bn w/w to $7.8bn, in a reporting period that captured speculative positioning into the Fed, BoC, BoE, and BoJ policy meetings.</li><li>Individual reporting currency swings offered some interesting w/w changes with notable short covering in GBP and AUD alongside a sizeable reduction in the JPY net long.</li><li>Speculators also slightly pared back their massive EUR long. The EUR remains the largest held net long, followed by the JPY in a distant second. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The aggregate USD short was largely unchanged in the week ended September 16, widening a modest $0.7bn w/w to $7.8bn, in a reporting period that captured speculative positioning into the Fed, BoC, BoE, and BoJ policy meetings.Individual reporting currency swings offered some interesting w/w changes with notable short covering in GBP and AUD alongside a sizeable reduction in the JPY net long.Speculators also slightly pared back their massive EUR long. The EUR remains the largest held net long, followed by the JPY in a distant second. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CFTC Weekly Sentiment Report - Speculators Covered GBP Shorts Ahead Of BoE

<ul><li>We remain bullish GBP and see no reason to make changes to our longer-term forecast targeting 1.40 by year-end 2025 and 1.48 by year-end 2026.</li><li>We see Wednesday’s political turbulence as a short-lived event with no lasting impact, given PM Starmer’s expression of continued support for Chancellor Reeves as both the PM and Chancellor seek to reinforce their commitment to fiscal responsibility in the UK.</li><li>The pound fell 0.8% on Wednesday, pressured by renewed fears about the UK’s fiscal situation as market participants considered the prospect of a possible change in leadership at HM Treasury. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We remain bullish GBP and see no reason to make changes to our longer-term forecast targeting 1.40 by year-end 2025 and 1.48 by year-end 2026.We see Wednesday’s political turbulence as a short-lived event with no lasting impact, given PM Starmer’s expression of continued support for Chancellor Reeves as both the PM and Chancellor seek to reinforce their commitment to fiscal responsibility in the UK.The pound fell 0.8% on Wednesday, pressured by renewed fears about the UK’s fiscal situation as market participants considered the prospect of a possible change in leadership at HM Treasury. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Snapshot - Remain Bullish GBP Despite Latest Political Troubles

<ul><li>The aggregate USD short widened modestly in the week ended September 23, with a $0.8bn w/w build to $8.6bn.</li><li>This was the third consecutive week of deterioration in aggregate USD positioning, suggesting a renewed appetite for bearish USD bets following a period of short covering that was observed through much of July and August.</li><li>Adjustments among the reporting currencies were mixed, with a sizeable increase in the JPY long and short covering in CHF and GBP. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The aggregate USD short widened modestly in the week ended September 23, with a $0.8bn w/w build to $8.6bn.This was the third consecutive week of deterioration in aggregate USD positioning, suggesting a renewed appetite for bearish USD bets following a period of short covering that was observed through much of July and August.Adjustments among the reporting currencies were mixed, with a sizeable increase in the JPY long and short covering in CHF and GBP. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CFTC Weekly Sentiment Report - JPY Net Long Sees Sizeable Build , Likely Driven By Hawkish BoJ

<ul><li>The aggregate USD short widened a notable $2.1bn in the week ended September 9, reaching $7.2bn in a reporting period that captured the US/Canada jobs disappointments and the media reporting of the BoJ’s intention to resume tightening by year end.</li><li>The largest w/w swings were observed in JPY and EUR, as both net longs increased. The CHF short widened modestly, and all of the remaining currencies saw there positions remain largely unchanged w/w.</li><li>The EUR remains the largest net long, followed by JPY, with MXN a distant third. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The aggregate USD short widened a notable $2.1bn in the week ended September 9, reaching $7.2bn in a reporting period that captured the US/Canada jobs disappointments and the media reporting of the BoJ’s intention to resume tightening by year end.The largest w/w swings were observed in JPY and EUR, as both net longs increased. The CHF short widened modestly, and all of the remaining currencies saw there positions remain largely unchanged w/w.The EUR remains the largest net long, followed by JPY, with MXN a distant third. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CFTC Weekly Sentiment Report - JPY Sees Massive Speculative Swing On BoJ Tightening Report

<ul><li>The speculative USD short was largely unchanged in the week leading up to Friday’s nonfarm payroll release, with the aggregate USD bear bet widening $0.7bn w/w to $9.1bn.</li><li>AUD saw the largest w/w swing with its net short narrowing an impressive $1.1bn w/w to $5.4bn.</li><li>In terms of negative swings, the JPY saw a notable $0.9bn narrowing in its gross long, with $0.5bn for EUR. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The speculative USD short was largely unchanged in the week leading up to Friday’s nonfarm payroll release, with the aggregate USD bear bet widening $0.7bn w/w to $9.1bn.AUD saw the largest w/w swing with its net short narrowing an impressive $1.1bn w/w to $5.4bn.In terms of negative swings, the JPY saw a notable $0.9bn narrowing in its gross long, with $0.5bn for EUR. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CFTC Weekly Sentiment Report - Speculative EUR And JPY Positions Are Vulnerable To A Breakout

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The British Pound Sterling is the official currency of The United Kingdom. 

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CFTC Weekly Sentiment Report - Speculators Covered GBP Shorts Ahead Of BoE

Individual reporting currency swings offered some interesting w/w changes with notable short covering in GBP and AUD alongside a sizeable reduction...

Scotiabank

FX Snapshot - Remain Bullish GBP Despite Latest Political Troubles

We remain bullish GBP and see no reason to make changes to our longer-term forecast targeting 1.40 by year-end 2025 and 1.48 by year-end 2026.

Scotiabank

CFTC Weekly Sentiment Report - JPY Net Long Sees Sizeable Build , Likely Driven By Hawkish BoJ

The aggregate USD short widened modestly in the week ended September 23, with a $0.8bn w/w build to $8.6bn. This was the third consecutive week of...

Scotiabank

CFTC Weekly Sentiment Report - JPY Sees Massive Speculative Swing On BoJ Tightening Report

The aggregate USD short widened a notable $2.1bn in the week ended September 9, reaching $7.2bn in a reporting period that captured the US/Canada...

Scotiabank

CFTC Weekly Sentiment Report - Speculative EUR And JPY Positions Are Vulnerable To A Breakout

The speculative USD short was largely unchanged in the week leading up to Friday’s nonfarm payroll release, with the aggregate USD bear bet...

Scotiabank

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