Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

FX & Rates

<ul><li>Welcome to our short and sweet Fed preview.</li><li>No one expects policy action from the Fed this week, but Powell could decide to reiterate that the dot plot remains intact given the most recent information received.</li><li>We doubt that Powell will bring about a strong guidance for a December hike, but unless the wheels come off, it’s very likely that they will be tempted to deliver that hike come December.</li></ul>

Welcome to our short and sweet Fed preview.No one expects policy action from the Fed this week, but Powell could decide to reiterate that the dot plot remains intact given the most recent information received.We doubt that Powell will bring about a strong guidance for a December hike, but unless the wheels come off, it’s very likely that they will be tempted to deliver that hike come December.

Fed Watch: Why Should the Fed Abandon the Planned Year-End Hike?

Decoding the Future of MENA Financial Markets, MENA Market Lab

Denis Collot

Decoding the Future of MENA Financial Markets

MENA Market Lab

Decoding the future of Middle East and North Africa Financial markets

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>
Inflation lower. Trade deficit improving.       
</li>
<li>
Next phase for privatisation pushed to Q1 2026. Markets all-in on Egypt.
</li>
<li>It seems we could be in the last stretch of negotiations for a ceasefire in Ukraine.</li>
</ul>



Inflation lower. Trade deficit improving.       


Next phase for privatisation pushed to Q1 2026. Markets all-in on Egypt.

It seems we could be in the last stretch of negotiations for a ceasefire in Ukraine.


Covering the Mexican Economy, Actinver Research

Actinver

Covering the Mexican Economy

Actinver Research

Actinver is a mexican leading financial group, that generates well being for individuals and companies through advisory services that provides investment management to maintain and grow their wealth.

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>The Bank for International Settlements’ (BIS) triennial survey highlights the continued expansion of global foreign exchange activity.</li>
<li>The Mexican peso reaffirmed its relevance, ranking among the most actively traded currencies worldwide and consolidating its position as one of the leading currencies within emerging markets.</li>
<li>According to the BIS Triennial Central Bank Survey on foreign exchange markets (April 2025), global FX trading volumes increased by 28% compared with the 2022 survey, reaching an average daily turnover of USD 9.6 trillion.</li>
</ul>


The Bank for International Settlements’ (BIS) triennial survey highlights the continued expansion of global foreign exchange activity.
The Mexican peso reaffirmed its relevance, ranking among the most actively traded currencies worldwide and consolidating its position as one of the leading currencies within emerging markets.
According to the BIS Triennial Central Bank Survey on foreign exchange markets (April 2025), global FX trading volumes increased by 28% compared with the 2022 survey, reaching an average daily turnover of USD 9.6 trillion.


Macro, FX and Rates Strategist

Ishaan Dev Kapoor

<ul>
<li>The dollar reacted to one macro factor all year, with a sensitivity statistically indistinguishable across five regimes; what changed was which driver moved the factor and whether others followed it.</li>
<li>Gold led before the Iran war, VIX during it and again in the fiscal-dominance weeks; since Jackson Hole the dollar has traded the factor itself, led by the front end.</li>
<li>A dollar factor and the same macro drivers explain 72%-85% of every G10 currency except the yen; beyond the dollar, NOK traded oil, CAD the BoC, NZD the RBNZ.</li>
</ul>


The dollar reacted to one macro factor all year, with a sensitivity statistically indistinguishable across five regimes; what changed was which driver moved the factor and whether others followed it.
Gold led before the Iran war, VIX during it and again in the fiscal-dominance weeks; since Jackson Hole the dollar has traded the factor itself, led by the front end.
A dollar factor and the same macro drivers explain 72%-85% of every G10 currency except the yen; beyond the dollar, NOK traded oil, CAD the BoC, NZD the RBNZ.


Five Regimes, One Reaction Function-  What the Dollar and G10 Have Traded on in 2026

Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets, At Any Rate

At Any Rate

Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets

Analysts from J.P. Morgan’s Research team take a closer look at the stories behind some of the biggest trends, themes and developments in markets today.

<ul><li>Steepening of the 530s treasury curve globally is at historically high levels, driven by different factors in the US, Europe, and the UK</li><li>US curve steepness is reflective of repricing of additional Fed easing, while Europe's steepening is technical and related to Dutch pension fund transitions</li><li>Market hesitancy to fade the steepness due to ongoing technical flows in Europe and front-end driven steepening in the US, with uncertainty surrounding terminal rates in both regions</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Steepening of the 530s treasury curve globally is at historically high levels, driven by different factors in the US, Europe, and the UKUS curve steepness is reflective of repricing of additional Fed easing, while Europe's steepening is technical and related to Dutch pension fund transitionsMarket hesitancy to fade the steepness due to ongoing technical flows in Europe and front-end driven steepening in the US, with uncertainty surrounding terminal rates in both regionsThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Global FX and Rates: Yield curve steepening, payrolls and FX hedge ratios

United Kingdom

The British Pound Sterling is the official currency of The United Kingdom. 

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Fed Watch: Why Should the Fed Abandon the Planned Year-End Hike?

No one expects policy action from the Fed this week, but Powell could decide to reiterate that the dot plot remains intact given the most recent...

Steno Research

Egypt (December 16th 2025)

Inflation lower. Trade deficit improving. Next phase for privatisation pushed to Q1 2026. Markets all-in on Egypt. It seems we could be in the...

MENA Market Lab

Actinver Research - Mexican Peso Trading

The Bank for International Settlements’ (BIS) triennial survey highlights the continued expansion of global foreign exchange activity.

Actinver

Five Regimes, One Reaction Function- What the Dollar and G10 Have Traded on in 2026

The dollar traded one macro factor all year with an unchanged sensitivity; though underlying drivers shifted In G10, four currencies traded beyond...

Ishaan Dev Kapoor

Global FX and Rates: Yield curve steepening, payrolls and FX hedge ratios

The steepness in bond curves across the US, Europe, and UK has deepened due to various drivers, making it challenging to fade the steepness in the...

At Any Rate

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