Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>I tally 41 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.</li>
<li>Four new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/northern-star-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4243:1" rel="noopener">Northern Star Resources (NST AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meteoric-resources-nl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1747:1" rel="noopener">Meteoric Resources Nl (MEI AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zheneng-jinjiang-environment-holding-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22847:1" rel="noopener">Zheneng Jinjiang Environment (ZJE SP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goodbaby-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9467:1" rel="noopener">Goodbaby International (1086 HK)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates/news also took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ingenia-communities-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5495:1" rel="noopener">Ingenia Communities (INA AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ooh-media-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8662:1" rel="noopener">oOh!Media Ltd (OML AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/get-nice-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16415:1" rel="noopener">Get Nice (64 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yinson-holdings-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3252:1" rel="noopener">Yinson Holdings (YNS MK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 41 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.
Four new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this week: Northern Star Resources (NST AU), Meteoric Resources Nl (MEI AU), Zheneng Jinjiang Environment (ZJE SP), and Goodbaby International (1086 HK).
Key updates/news also took place on: Ingenia Communities (INA AU), oOh!Media Ltd (OML AU), Get Nice (64 HK), and Yinson Holdings (YNS MK).


Asia-Pac Weekly Wrap: Northern Star, Meteoric, Goodbaby, Ingenia, OOh!Media, Zheneng Jinjiang

<ul>
<li>We know that Bain knew that their mid-September overbid for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakaku-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7408:1" rel="noopener">Kakaku.com Inc (2371 JP)</a> did not meet the so-called KDDI Threshold, yet they made that bid anyway (¥3,720 vs EQT's ¥3,680).</li>
<li>IF <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sankei-real-estate-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35239:1" rel="noopener">Sankei Real Estate (2972 JP)</a> trades wide, consider going long the arb, but generally, need to participate unless it does trade wide. There're other more interesting deals out there.</li>
<li>Despite the lower-than-expected bid optics compared to prior negotiations, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/renew-energy-global-plc-class-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:37038:1" rel="noopener">ReNew Energy Global (RNW US)</a>'s Offer looks done. All ducks are lined up. Just a question of timing on regulatory approvals.</li>
</ul>


We know that Bain knew that their mid-September overbid for Kakaku.com Inc (2371 JP) did not meet the so-called KDDI Threshold, yet they made that bid anyway (¥3,720 vs EQT's ¥3,680).
IF Sankei Real Estate (2972 JP) trades wide, consider going long the arb, but generally, need to participate unless it does trade wide. There're other more interesting deals out there.
Despite the lower-than-expected bid optics compared to prior negotiations, ReNew Energy Global (RNW US)'s Offer looks done. All ducks are lined up. Just a question of timing on regulatory approvals.


Last Week In Event SPACE: Kakaku.com, Sankei Real Estate, ReNew Energy Global, Korea Aerospace Ind

<ul>
<li>For September 2026, 11 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall announced deal size of ~US$26bn.</li>
<li>
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in September was ~46%; and a year-to-date average of ~45%.</li>
<li>The average premiums for transactions in 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, and 2019 were 49%, 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%.</li>
</ul>


For September 2026, 11 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall announced deal size of ~US$26bn.

The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in September was ~46%; and a year-to-date average of ~45%.
The average premiums for transactions in 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, and 2019 were 49%, 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%.


Asia-Pac M&A [Sept 2026 Wrap]: Northern Star, Kadoya Sesame, Ingenia, Leopalace21, IDP, Sharingtech

Trio Industrial Electronics Group / Event-Driven

Trio Industrial Electronics Group (1710 HK)

<ul>
<li>In the past two months, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lotus-horizon-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:49193:1" rel="noopener">Lotus Horizon (6063 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wk-group-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:49355:1" rel="noopener">WK (2535 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/superland-group-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:55388:1" rel="noopener">Superland (368 HK)</a> have been subject to conditional/unconditional (massive) takeunders. Expect the same for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kfm-kingdom-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10030:1" rel="noopener">KFM (3816 HK)</a>.</li>
<li>Now fellow contractor/manufacturer, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trio-industrial-electronics-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35764:1" rel="noopener">Trio Industrial Electronics Group (1710 HK)</a>, is suspended pursuant to the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers. Its share price is up ~567% since June-end.</li>
<li>Not a great look for the exchange. I've reached out to the HKEx to get their read.</li>
</ul>


In the past two months, Lotus Horizon (6063 HK), WK (2535 HK), and Superland (368 HK) have been subject to conditional/unconditional (massive) takeunders. Expect the same for KFM (3816 HK).
Now fellow contractor/manufacturer, Trio Industrial Electronics Group (1710 HK), is suspended pursuant to the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers. Its share price is up ~567% since June-end.
Not a great look for the exchange. I've reached out to the HKEx to get their read.


More Contractor Craziness. The HKEx Needs To Open An Investigation

Kobayashi Pharmaceutical Co / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>I tally 36 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.</li>
<li>Three new deals were discussed on Smartkarma this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/global-lithium-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34827:1" rel="noopener">Global Lithium Resources Ltd (GL1 AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/idp-education-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1098:1" rel="noopener">IDP Education (IEL AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kobayashi-pharmaceutical-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14930:1" rel="noopener">Kobayashi Pharmaceutical Co (4967 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates/news also took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ofx-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8376:1" rel="noopener">OFX Group (OFX AU)</a>,<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/changhong-jiahua-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5849:1" rel="noopener">Changhong Jiahua (3991 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ajinomoto-malaysia-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12499:1" rel="noopener">Ajinomoto Malaysia (AJI MK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/carnaby-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4197:1" rel="noopener">Carnaby Resources (CNB AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/reliance-worldwide-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22690:1" rel="noopener">Reliance Worldwide Corp (RWC AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 36 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.
Three new deals were discussed on Smartkarma this week: Global Lithium Resources Ltd (GL1 AU), IDP Education (IEL AU), and Kobayashi Pharmaceutical Co (4967 JP).
Key updates/news also took place on: OFX Group (OFX AU),Changhong Jiahua (3991 HK), Ajinomoto Malaysia (AJI MK), Carnaby Resources (CNB AU), and Reliance Worldwide Corp (RWC AU).


Asia-Pac Weekly Wrap: Kobayashi Pharma, Global Lithium, IDP, OFX, Ajinomoto, Reliance Worldwide

Hong Kong

Get Nice is an investment holding company primarily engaged in financial services, including securities brokerage, margin financing, money lending, and corporate finance. The company also has interests in property development and investment, and real estate agency services. It was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Hong Kong.

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Get Nice (64 HK)

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David Blennerhassett

More Contractor Craziness. The HKEx Needs To Open An Investigation

Trio's' shares are suspended, so there's nothing to do. You could scope out other small‑cap industrial with a concentrated ownership. But I'm...

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Asia-Pac Weekly Wrap: Kobayashi Pharma, Global Lithium, IDP, OFX, Ajinomoto, Reliance Worldwide

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

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