Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our global intermediate-term outlook remains bullish on MSCI ACWI (in place since our 5/14/25 Compass).</li>
<li>We also upgraded our near-term outlook to bullish on MSCI ACWI in our April 23, 2026 Int’l Compass.</li>
<li>Remain overweight Technology, our primary focus every single week since April 16. It's getting hard to find names near buy points. Elsewhere, we highlight opportunities within Discretionary, Industrials, and Transportation</li>
</ul>


Our global intermediate-term outlook remains bullish on MSCI ACWI (in place since our 5/14/25 Compass).
We also upgraded our near-term outlook to bullish on MSCI ACWI in our April 23, 2026 Int’l Compass.
Remain overweight Technology, our primary focus every single week since April 16. It's getting hard to find names near buy points. Elsewhere, we highlight opportunities within Discretionary, Industrials, and Transportation


Lockout Rally Continues; Yet Another Bullish Gap on ACWI-US; Crude Oil Top in Place

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Taiwan in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on TSMC, UMC, Nanya Technology, Quanta Computer, Phison Electronics, Wiwynn, Formosa Plastics.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Taiwan in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on TSMC, UMC, Nanya Technology, Quanta Computer, Phison Electronics, Wiwynn, Formosa Plastics.


MS-Taiwan Index Earning Revision (Sep): TSMC, UMC, Nanya Technology, Quanta Computer, Wiwynn

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>China has reintroduced trade-in subsidies aimed at boosting sales of ICT devices in the market.</li><li>A new partnership between Sony and TCL may create substantial competition for Samsung in the OLED sector.</li><li>Nvidia has surpassed Apple to become TSMC's largest customer, indicating a shift in market dynamics.</li></ul>

China has reintroduced trade-in subsidies aimed at boosting sales of ICT devices in the market.A new partnership between Sony and TCL may create substantial competition for Samsung in the OLED sector.Nvidia has surpassed Apple to become TSMC's largest customer, indicating a shift in market dynamics.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (23-Jan-2026): China reintroduces trade-in subsidies for ICT

Sunwoda Electronic Co Ltd A / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>Market dynamics remain overwhelmingly risk-on; with plenty of global liquidity, we expect upside to continue into year-end and the early part of 2026.</li>
<li>Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, U.S., and Greece. Many buys in these countries, and also Europe and Japan. EURO STOXX 50 on the cusp of major breakout above 5500</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
Market dynamics remain overwhelmingly risk-on; with plenty of global liquidity, we expect upside to continue into year-end and the early part of 2026.
Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, U.S., and Greece. Many buys in these countries, and also Europe and Japan. EURO STOXX 50 on the cusp of major breakout above 5500


Buys Focused in China, Taiwan, and Korea; Bullish Outlook Intact

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We are upgrading our <em><strong>existing</strong></em> facilities and any discussions with customers at this point are based on the capacity that we believe is possible as a result of such upgrades.</li>
<li>Demand is likely to exceed supply for more than three years, because of such supply constraints. In terms of the price level,  prices would need to be dramatically higher.</li>
<li>We have no plans whatsoever to restart the Yoshinogari project. At current price levels, it is not viable. All costs are rising now, with Japan potentially headed for more inflation</li>
</ul>


We are upgrading our existing facilities and any discussions with customers at this point are based on the capacity that we believe is possible as a result of such upgrades.
Demand is likely to exceed supply for more than three years, because of such supply constraints. In terms of the price level,  prices would need to be dramatically higher.
We have no plans whatsoever to restart the Yoshinogari project. At current price levels, it is not viable. All costs are rising now, with Japan potentially headed for more inflation


Silicon Wafers & The Looming Leading Edge Supply Crisis

Taiwan

Globalwafers Co., Ltd. specializes in silicon wafer manufacturing and also provides solar wafers and crystal rods. The Company possesses a complete production line from ingot growth, slicing, etching, diffusion, polishing to epitaxy. Their products include Epi wafers, polished wafers, etched wafers, ultra thin wafers and deep diffusion wafers.

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Globalwafers (6488 TT)

Lockout Rally Continues; Yet Another Bullish Gap on ACWI-US; Crude Oil Top in Place

Lockout Rally Continues; Yet Another Bullish Gap on $ACWI; Crude Oil $USO Top in Place; Actionable Themes: Technology, Discretionary, Industrials,...

Vermilion Research

MS-Taiwan Index Earning Revision (Sep): TSMC, UMC, Nanya Technology, Quanta Computer, Wiwynn

We analyzed MS-Taiwan's consensus for Sep 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in TSMC, UMC, Nanya Technology, Quanta Computer, Phison Electronics,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (23-Jan-2026): China reintroduces trade-in subsidies for ICT

China's trade-in subsidies boost ICT sales, while Sony and TCL challenge Samsung in OLEDs, Nvidia surpasses Apple as TSMC's top customer, and...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Buys Focused in China, Taiwan, and Korea; Bullish Outlook Intact

Buys Focused in China, Taiwan, and Korea; Bullish Outlook Intact. Actionable Themes: Communications, Manufacturing (Robotics and Batteries),...

Vermilion Research

Silicon Wafers & The Looming Leading Edge Supply Crisis

Demand is likely to exceed supply for more than three years, because of such supply constraints. In terms of the price level, prices would need to...

William Keating

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