IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/total-access-communication" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:948:1" rel="noopener">Total Access Communication (DTAC TB)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/true-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8:1" rel="noopener">True Corp Pcl (TRUE TB)</a> shares declined as <a href="https://www.bangkokbiznews.com/tech/1016819" target="_blank" rel="noopener">reports suggest</a> that NBTC’s subcommittees voted 3:1 AGAINST the merger. True said the reports <a href="https://classic.set.or.th/set/pdfnews.do?newsId=16584462215240&amp;sequence=0" target="_blank" rel="noopener">are false</a>.</li>
<li>An earlier press conference by CP Group and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/telenor-asa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22258:1" rel="noopener">Telenor ASA (TEL NO)</a> reiterated that the NBTC could only prescribe remedial measures. A court ruling on 16 June supports this view.</li>
<li>NBTC will allegedly review the subcommittees’ findings on 26-27 July. We think this development results in the NBTC prescribing harsher remedial conditions to the merger rather than blocking it. </li>
</ul>



Total Access Communication (DTAC TB) and True Corp Pcl (TRUE TB) shares declined as reports suggest that NBTC’s subcommittees voted 3:1 AGAINST the merger. True said the reports are false.
An earlier press conference by CP Group and Telenor ASA (TEL NO) reiterated that the NBTC could only prescribe remedial measures. A court ruling on 16 June supports this view.
NBTC will allegedly review the subcommittees’ findings on 26-27 July. We think this development results in the NBTC prescribing harsher remedial conditions to the merger rather than blocking it. 


DTAC/True Merger: Shares Decline on Noise About NBTC Subcommittees Voting Decision

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Emperador (Emp) is looking to raise up to US$750m via a secondary listing in Singapore.</li>
<li>Emp is the Philippines’ largest liquor company and the world’s largest brandy producer. Its products are sold in over 100 countries.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the company's past performance.</li>
</ul>


Emperador (Emp) is looking to raise up to US$750m via a secondary listing in Singapore.
Emp is the Philippines’ largest liquor company and the world’s largest brandy producer. Its products are sold in over 100 countries.
In this note, we look at the company's past performance.


Emperador Secondary Listing - Driven by Whisky, Supported by Brandy

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/axiata-group-berhad" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:944:1" rel="noopener">Axiata Group (AXIATA MK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xl-axiata-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15028:1" rel="noopener">XL Axiata (EXCL IJ)</a> completed the acquisition of a combined 66.03% interest in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-net-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1050:1" rel="noopener">Link Net (LINK IJ)</a> at IDR4,800 per share. </li>
<li>Axiata will disclose the details of the MTO in due course. We think that the MTO opens on 7 July with the earliest possible close of 11 August. </li>
<li>At the last close, the gross and annualised spread of a 19 August payment is 3.7% and 23.7%, respectively.</li>
</ul>



Axiata Group (AXIATA MK) and XL Axiata (EXCL IJ) completed the acquisition of a combined 66.03% interest in Link Net (LINK IJ) at IDR4,800 per share. 
Axiata will disclose the details of the MTO in due course. We think that the MTO opens on 7 July with the earliest possible close of 11 August. 
At the last close, the gross and annualised spread of a 19 August payment is 3.7% and 23.7%, respectively.


Link Net MTO Set to Launch as Axiata Completes Stake Acquisition

Total Access Communication / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Press reports (<a href="https://www.nationthailand.com/in-focus/40016835" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a> and <a href="https://www.thaipbsworld.com/court-rejects-petition-to-delay-merger-of-dtac-and-true/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a>) suggest that Administrative Court has ruled out the request to suspend the DTAC/True merger and that the regulation which repeals NBTC’s veto rights is lawful.</li>
<li>This development suggests that the NBTC will apply remedial conditions rather than block the merger. The timeline for the satisfaction of VTO conditions is from late June to early August. </li>
<li>With the Court ruling increasing the probability of a successful merger, it is attractive to buy the current share price ratio of 9.698x vs the implied swap ratio of 10.221x.</li>
</ul>


Press reports (here and here) suggest that Administrative Court has ruled out the request to suspend the DTAC/True merger and that the regulation which repeals NBTC’s veto rights is lawful.
This development suggests that the NBTC will apply remedial conditions rather than block the merger. The timeline for the satisfaction of VTO conditions is from late June to early August. 
With the Court ruling increasing the probability of a successful merger, it is attractive to buy the current share price ratio of 9.698x vs the implied swap ratio of 10.221x.


DTAC/True Merger: Administrative Court Ruling a Positive

<ul>
<li>Various recent media reports have indicated that Singtel aims to sell 2-4% of its stake in Bharti Airtel. Singtel has officially dismissed the reports as media speculation.</li>
<li>There have been subsequent reports in the Indian media about the founder, Sunil Mittal, looking to raise around US$2bn in debt, to finance an increase in his stake in Airtel.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the possible deal and its implications.</li>
</ul>


Various recent media reports have indicated that Singtel aims to sell 2-4% of its stake in Bharti Airtel. Singtel has officially dismissed the reports as media speculation.
There have been subsequent reports in the Indian media about the founder, Sunil Mittal, looking to raise around US$2bn in debt, to finance an increase in his stake in Airtel.
In this note, we talk about the possible deal and its implications.


Bharti Singtel Possible Selldown/Holdco Trade - Singtel Appears to Be Ready for Cashing in US$1-2bn

Philippines

Globe Telecom, Inc. provides wireless application protocol services and digital wireless communication services via GSM network. The Company also offers service which allows users access to a wide range of information and services via a user-friendly menu. In addition, Globe  provides wire line voice and data services.

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Globe Telecom (GLO PM)

DTAC/True Merger: Shares Decline on Noise About NBTC Subcommittees Voting Decision

We think this development results in the NBTC prescribing harsher conditions to the merger rather than blocking it. Due to high volatility on...

Arun George

Emperador Secondary Listing - Driven by Whisky, Supported by Brandy

Emperador (Emp) is looking to raise up to US$750m via a secondary listing in Singapore. In this note, we look at the company's past performance.

Sumeet Singh

Link Net MTO Set to Launch as Axiata Completes Stake Acquisition

We think that the MTO opens on 7 July with the earliest possible close of 11 August. At the last close, the gross and annualised spread of a 19...

Arun George

DTAC/True Merger: Administrative Court Ruling a Positive

With the Court ruling increasing the probability of a successful merger, it is attractive to buy the current share price ratio of 9.698x vs the...

Arun George

Bharti Singtel Possible Selldown/Holdco Trade - Singtel Appears to Be Ready for Cashing in US$1-2bn

Various recent media reports have indicated that Singtel aims to sell 2-4% of its stake in Bharti Airtel. In this note, we talk about the possible...

Sumeet Singh

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