Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Today, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/macnica-fuji-electronics-hol" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26074:1" rel="noopener">Macnica Fuji Electronics Hol (3132 JP)</a> (Macnica Holdings) announced that it would launch a tender offer to buy 100% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/glosel-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18515:1" rel="noopener">Glosel (9995 JP)</a>, a semiconductor trading company. </li>
<li>Glosel is special because it has three main assets. 1) 61% of net assets are inventory (&lt;3mo), 2) 34% of net assets are net receivables (&lt;3mos), 3) 8+% is securities.</li>
<li>For that, Glosel's Board decided 0.71x book was OK. Nah. The register is reasonably wide open, and this is a delayed start. Someone might get noisy, but &lt; 50/50 bet.</li>
</ul>


Today, Macnica Fuji Electronics Hol (3132 JP) (Macnica Holdings) announced that it would launch a tender offer to buy 100% of Glosel (9995 JP), a semiconductor trading company. 
Glosel is special because it has three main assets. 1) 61% of net assets are inventory (&lt;3mo), 2) 34% of net assets are net receivables (&lt;3mos), 3) 8+% is securities.
For that, Glosel's Board decided 0.71x book was OK. Nah. The register is reasonably wide open, and this is a delayed start. Someone might get noisy, but &lt; 50/50 bet.


Another Day Ending in Y, Another Low-Balled Takeover - This Time Glosel (9995)

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<ul>
 <li>Glosel is an established Japanese electronics distributor with strong ties to key suppliers like Renesas, positioned to benefit from positive industry tailwinds in automotive and industrial sectors.</li>
 <li>The company exhibits a high-risk financial profile, characterized by strong three-year earnings growth but severely negative operating and free cash flow, leading to the elimination of its dividend in FY24.</li>
 <li>While valuation appears reasonable on a Price-to-Book basis, the persistent cash burn, volatile profitability, and intense competitive landscape present significant uncertainty for investors.</li>
</ul>This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


  Glosel is an established Japanese electronics distributor with strong ties to key suppliers like Renesas, positioned to benefit from positive industry tailwinds in automotive and industrial sectors.
  The company exhibits a high-risk financial profile, characterized by strong three-year earnings growth but severely negative operating and free cash flow, leading to the elimination of its dividend in FY24.
  While valuation appears reasonable on a Price-to-Book basis, the persistent cash burn, volatile profitability, and intense competitive landscape present significant uncertainty for investors.
This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>
Market Watch: Japanese equities made minor gains as US Fed indicated potential rate cuts in 2024. BOJ next week, but no changes anticipated</li>
<li>
Major Movers: Outsourcing leaps on MBO; Advantest +15% as Semicon Japan gets underway; Ibiden beneficiary of improved tech sentiment</li>
<li>
Activist Watch: New positions for Murakami in Glosel; Nippon Active Value watching Fuji Media more closely; fresh interest in Goodspeed, the car dealer</li>
</ul>



Market Watch: Japanese equities made minor gains as US Fed indicated potential rate cuts in 2024. BOJ next week, but no changes anticipated

Major Movers: Outsourcing leaps on MBO; Advantest +15% as Semicon Japan gets underway; Ibiden beneficiary of improved tech sentiment

Activist Watch: New positions for Murakami in Glosel; Nippon Active Value watching Fuji Media more closely; fresh interest in Goodspeed, the car dealer


Japan Weekly | Advantest, Ibiden, Recruit, Infroneer, Glosel

David Blennerhassett

<ul>
<li>I tally 54 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Three new deals discussed this week on Smartkarma (possible four): Offers for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alumina-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:939:1" rel="noopener">Alumina (AWC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/superloop-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23604:1" rel="noopener">Superloop (SLC AU)</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qantm-intellectual-property" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24317:1" rel="noopener">Qantm Intellectual (QIP AU)</a>; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsonite-international-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12790:1" rel="noopener">Samsonite (1910 HK)</a>'s <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/esr-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27983:1" rel="noopener">ESR (1821 HK)</a>'s rumoured approaches. </li>
<li>Key updates took place on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apm-human-services-internation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34808:1" rel="noopener">APM Human Services Internation (APM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adbri-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20166:1" rel="noopener">Adbri (ABC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csr-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17380:1" rel="noopener">CSR Ltd (CSR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/weiqiao-textile-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3690:1" rel="noopener">Weiqiao Textile Co (2698 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/outsourcing-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7431:1" rel="noopener">Outsourcing Inc (2427 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 54 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Three new deals discussed this week on Smartkarma (possible four): Offers for Alumina (AWC AU), Superloop (SLC AU) &amp; Qantm Intellectual (QIP AU); Samsonite (1910 HK)'s ESR (1821 HK)'s rumoured approaches. 
Key updates took place on APM Human Services Internation (APM AU), Adbri (ABC AU), CSR Ltd (CSR AU), Weiqiao Textile Co (2698 HK), and Outsourcing Inc (2427 JP).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Alumina, Superloop, Qantm, Samsonite, ESR, APM , Adbri, CSR, Outsourcing

<ul>
<li>For the month of February 2024, 15 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$20bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in February was ~33%.</li>
<li>This compares to the average premium for transactions in 2023 (117 transactions), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) of 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.</li>
</ul>


For the month of February 2024, 15 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$20bn.
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in February was ~33%.
This compares to the average premium for transactions in 2023 (117 transactions), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) of 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.


(Mostly) Asia M&A, Feb 2024: Lawson, Altium, CSR, TCM, Boral, APM, Roland DG, Ssangyong Cement

Japan

GLOSEL Co., Ltd. operates as a distributor of electronic components.  The Company sells integrated circuits, semiconductor devices, display devices, and other electric parts and instruments. GLOSEL designs and develops electronic equipment and software as well.

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Glosel (9995 JP)

Another Day Ending in Y, Another Low-Balled Takeover - This Time Glosel (9995)

Glosel earns a low ROE on running too high an inventory and net receivables balance. That's all the company is. Now it will be bought at 0.71x book...

Travis Lundy

Primer: Glosel (9995 JP) - Nov 2025

Glosel is an established Japanese electronics distributor with strong ties to key suppliers like Renesas, positioned to benefit from positive...

αSK Primers

Japan Weekly | Advantest, Ibiden, Recruit, Infroneer, Glosel

Japanese equities gain as US Fed hints potential rate cuts in 2024. Advantest & Ibiden experience positive movement. Murakami's new positions in...

Mark Chadwick

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Alumina, Superloop, Qantm, Samsonite, ESR, APM , Adbri, CSR, Outsourcing

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia M&A, Feb 2024: Lawson, Altium, CSR, TCM, Boral, APM, Roland DG, Ssangyong Cement

For the month of February, 20 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of ~US$20bn. The average premium for the new deals...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Another Day Ending in Y, Another Low-Balled Takeover - This Time Glosel (9995)

Glosel earns a low ROE on running too high an inventory and net receivables balance. That's all the company is. Now it will be bought at 0.71x book...

Travis Lundy

Primer: Glosel (9995 JP) - Nov 2025

Glosel is an established Japanese electronics distributor with strong ties to key suppliers like Renesas, positioned to benefit from positive...

αSK Primers

Japan Weekly | Advantest, Ibiden, Recruit, Infroneer, Glosel

​Japanese equities gain as US Fed hints potential rate cuts in 2024. Advantest & Ibiden experience positive movement. Murakami's new positions in...

Mark Chadwick

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Alumina, Superloop, Qantm, Samsonite, ESR, APM , Adbri, CSR, Outsourcing

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia M&A, Feb 2024: Lawson, Altium, CSR, TCM, Boral, APM, Roland DG, Ssangyong Cement

For the month of February, 20 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of ~US$20bn. The average premium for the new deals...

David Blennerhassett

Japanese equities gain as US Fed hints potential rate cuts in 2024. Advantest & Ibiden experience positive movement. Murakami's new positions in...