Data-Driven Commodity Research, The Commodity Report

The Commodity Report

Data-Driven Commodity Research

A unique newsletter about commodities and macro analysis in a weekly format.

Commodities

<ul><li>Gold Demand Data Indicates More Economic Weakness Gold demand for technology purposes is still up but the pace continues to decline for the second quarter in a row now, as the latest data by the World Gold Council for Q3 showed.</li><li>The total gold demand (inclusive of OTC investment) gained meanwhile 5% y/y to 1,313 tonnes.</li><li>Global gold ETF inflows (95t) were a major driver of growth as Q3 was the first positive quarter for ETF flows since Q1’22.</li></ul>

Gold Demand Data Indicates More Economic Weakness Gold demand for technology purposes is still up but the pace continues to decline for the second quarter in a row now, as the latest data by the World Gold Council for Q3 showed.The total gold demand (inclusive of OTC investment) gained meanwhile 5% y/y to 1,313 tonnes.Global gold ETF inflows (95t) were a major driver of growth as Q3 was the first positive quarter for ETF flows since Q1’22.

Gold Demand Data Indicates More Economic Weakness

Managing Partner, VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

Managing Partner

Valuation & Research Specialists (VRS) is a boutique financial advisor with more than 17 years of experience in Corporate Valuation and Finance, and a diversified client base including some of the largest Companies in Greece.

Since 2002, VRS has completed more than 200 engagements in the areas of business valuation and financial analysis for more than 100 clients in a wide range of industries.

VRS has been honored to work with small and large private and publicly traded companies in Europe and overseas.

Boutique Financial Advisor

<ul><li>According to Graph 1, during the period September 16th, 2024 – October 14th , 2024, a bullish trend was reflected in the price of gold futures.</li><li>During this period, there was a significant increase in the price of the commodity. The MA-10 was recorded to perform remarkably higher than MA-20 in the whole period, without any cross, indicating an upward momentum.</li><li>The CCI Indicator in Graph 2, followed an exclusively ascending trajectory, among fluctuations from the beginning of the period and ended up around 2,662.00.</li></ul>

According to Graph 1, during the period September 16th, 2024 – October 14th , 2024, a bullish trend was reflected in the price of gold futures.During this period, there was a significant increase in the price of the commodity. The MA-10 was recorded to perform remarkably higher than MA-20 in the whole period, without any cross, indicating an upward momentum.The CCI Indicator in Graph 2, followed an exclusively ascending trajectory, among fluctuations from the beginning of the period and ended up around 2,662.00.

Commodity Analysis Gold Futures - October 14, 2024

<ul><li>Futures Trading is Booming - due to Weather Risks Agricultural futures and options closed Q3 with 10% growth compared to Q3 2023.</li><li>This surge was notably fueled by a record 1.6M ADV in August, marking a 19% increase in growth year over year.</li><li>Drought conditions in Brazil, poor weather in the Black sea, low river levels, increased fund participation and low cattle herd have traders turning to Agricultural futures and options as essential tools for managing risk.</li></ul>

Futures Trading is Booming - due to Weather Risks Agricultural futures and options closed Q3 with 10% growth compared to Q3 2023.This surge was notably fueled by a record 1.6M ADV in August, marking a 19% increase in growth year over year.Drought conditions in Brazil, poor weather in the Black sea, low river levels, increased fund participation and low cattle herd have traders turning to Agricultural futures and options as essential tools for managing risk.

The Cattle Cycle - Higher Prices for Longer?

Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets, At Any Rate

At Any Rate

Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets

Analysts from J.P. Morgan’s Research team take a closer look at the stories behind some of the biggest trends, themes and developments in markets today.

<ul><li>Gold seen as a safe haven and store of value amidst diversification away from the dollar</li><li>Concerns about potential election outcomes and fiscal deficit driving urgency to own gold</li><li>Bullish outlook for gold and silver, with attendees predicting high prices in the near future</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Gold seen as a safe haven and store of value amidst diversification away from the dollarConcerns about potential election outcomes and fiscal deficit driving urgency to own goldBullish outlook for gold and silver, with attendees predicting high prices in the near futureThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Global Commodities: Gold gains as upcoming US election restokes the “debasement trade”

Podcast series by Dean Curnutt, Alpha Exchange

Alpha Exchange

Podcast series by Dean Curnutt

The Alpha Exchange is a podcast series launched by Dean Curnutt to explore topics in financial markets, risk management and capital allocation in the alternatives industry. Our in depth discussions with highly established industry professionals seek to uncover the nuanced and complex interactions between economic, monetary, financial, regulatory and geopolitical sources of risk. We aim to learn from the perspective our guests can bring with respect to the history of financial and business cycles, promoting a better understanding among listeners as to how prior periods provide important context to present day dynamics. The “price of risk” is an important topic. Here we engage experts in their assessment of risk premium levels in the context of uncertainty. Is the level of compensation attractive? Because Central Banks have played so important a role in markets post crisis, our discussions sometimes aim to better understand the evolution of monetary policy and the degree to which the real and financial economy will be impacted. An especially important area of focus is on derivative products and how they interact with risk taking and carry dynamics. Our conversations seek to enlighten listeners, for example, as to the factors that promoted the February melt-down of the VIX complex. We do NOT ask our guests for their political opinions. We seek a better understanding of the market impact of regulatory change, election outcomes and events of geopolitical consequence. Our discussions cover markets from a macro perspective with an assessment of risk and opportunity across asset classes. Within equity markets, we may explore the relative attractiveness of sectors but will NOT discuss single stocks.

<ul><li>Option prices are a valuable tool for studying market trends and risk premium</li><li>Gold's unique properties make it a valuable asset for portfolio diversification and defense against government chaos</li><li>The oil VIX index, OVX, provides insights into market risk and volatility in the oil market, with potential implications for broader market trends</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Option prices are a valuable tool for studying market trends and risk premiumGold's unique properties make it a valuable asset for portfolio diversification and defense against government chaosThe oil VIX index, OVX, provides insights into market risk and volatility in the oil market, with potential implications for broader market trendsThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

United States

Gold is a chemical element with the symbol Au (from Latin: aurum) and the atomic number 79. In its purest form, it is a bright, slightly reddish yellow, dense, soft, malleable and ductile metal. Chemically, gold is a transition metal and a group 11 element. It is one of the least reactive chemical elements, and is solid under standard conditions. The metal therefore occurs often in free elemental (native) form, as nuggets or grains, in rocks, in veins and in alluvial deposits. It occurs in a solid solution series with the native element silver (as electrum) and also naturally alloyed with copper and palladium. Less commonly, it occurs in minerals as gold compounds, often with tellurium (gold tellurides).

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Gold (GOLD COMDTY)

Gold Demand Data Indicates More Economic Weakness

Gold Demand Data Indicates More Economic Weakness Gold demand for technology purposes is still up but the pace continues to decline for the second...

The Commodity Report

Commodity Analysis Gold Futures - October 14, 2024

According to Graph 1, during the period September 16th, 2024 – October 14th , 2024, a bullish trend was reflected in the price of gold futures.

VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

The Cattle Cycle - Higher Prices for Longer?

Futures Trading is Booming - due to Weather Risks Agricultural futures and options closed Q3 with 10% growth compared to Q3 2023.

The Commodity Report

Global Commodities: Gold gains as upcoming US election restokes the “debasement trade”

Gold and silver are seen as safe haven investments amidst diversification away from the dollar, with a bullish outlook for both metals despite...

At Any Rate

Option Prices are Singing

An analysis of option prices in markets like gold and oil can provide valuable insights into market conditions and help investors manage risk...

Alpha Exchange

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