Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Somewhat-Brand-Spanking New (10 weeks old) A-H Monitor has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.</li>
<li>We used to do it. We brought it back better, with lots of cool interactive tables, and charts, heat maps, and comparative data. And 50 Trade Recommendations.</li>
<li>The last 10wks (since the start of the new Tracker and Portfolio 11 weeks ago) have seen net portfolio performance of +0.50%, +1.35%, +0.14%, +0.47%, +0.15%, +0.12%, -0.29%, -0.71%, -68%.</li>
</ul>


The Somewhat-Brand-Spanking New (10 weeks old) A-H Monitor has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
We used to do it. We brought it back better, with lots of cool interactive tables, and charts, heat maps, and comparative data. And 50 Trade Recommendations.
The last 10wks (since the start of the new Tracker and Portfolio 11 weeks ago) have seen net portfolio performance of +0.50%, +1.35%, +0.14%, +0.47%, +0.15%, +0.12%, -0.29%, -0.71%, -68%.


Quiddity A/H Premium Tracker (To Oct20): Volatility Up Further, Wide Spreads Even Wider. Messy²

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Maintain BUY. Great Wall’s 1Q26 GPM beat our prior forecast despite industry headwinds, which gives us more confidence in its FY26-27E GPM.</li><li>We are of the view that the chance of rolling out a competitive new model for Great Wall is increasing given its planned 12 new models this year.</li><li>1Q26 core profit largely in line, GPM beat. Great Wall’s 1Q26 revenue rose 13% YoY amid a sales volume growth of 5% YoY, or 4% lower than our prior forecast. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain BUY. Great Wall’s 1Q26 GPM beat our prior forecast despite industry headwinds, which gives us more confidence in its FY26-27E GPM.We are of the view that the chance of rolling out a competitive new model for Great Wall is increasing given its planned 12 new models this year.1Q26 core profit largely in line, GPM beat. Great Wall’s 1Q26 revenue rose 13% YoY amid a sales volume growth of 5% YoY, or 4% lower than our prior forecast. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Great Wall Motor (2333 HK/601633 CH) - New-Model Sales as Key After 1Q26 Solid GPM

Focused on the Climate–Nature Nexus., Carbon Tracker Initiative

Carbon Tracker Initiative

Focused on the Climate–Nature Nexus.

Carbon Tracker and Planet Tracker - part of the Tracker Group - are award-winning, non-profit financial think tanks focused on the climate–nature nexus.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>This report analyses 17 of the world’s largest automakers and identifies a systemic “Carbon Gap” between reported Scope 3 Category 11 emissions and estimated real-world lifecycle emissions.</li>
<li>Across the sector, Carbon Tracker estimates a median reporting gap of 33%, driven by differences between corporate reporting assumptions and real-world vehicle emissions.</li>
<li>Adjusted emissions estimates suggest several automakers are as carbon intensive as traditional oil and gas companies.</li>
</ul>


This report analyses 17 of the world’s largest automakers and identifies a systemic “Carbon Gap” between reported Scope 3 Category 11 emissions and estimated real-world lifecycle emissions.
Across the sector, Carbon Tracker estimates a median reporting gap of 33%, driven by differences between corporate reporting assumptions and real-world vehicle emissions.
Adjusted emissions estimates suggest several automakers are as carbon intensive as traditional oil and gas companies.


Energy Transition: Oil Companies in Disguise

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

<ul>
<li>
Context:<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guangzhou-automobile-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11082:1" rel="noopener">Guangzhou Automobile (2238 HK)</a> vs. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-wall-motor-co-ltd-cb302af9-398c-4d2d-ba39-023e43287eef" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:128:1" rel="noopener">Great Wall Motor (2333 HK)</a> price ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Going long Great Wall Motor (2333 HK) and short Guangzhou Automobile Group (2238 HK) targets a 10% return.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.</li>
</ul>



Context:Guangzhou Automobile (2238 HK) vs. Great Wall Motor (2333 HK) price ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.

Highlights: Going long Great Wall Motor (2333 HK) and short Guangzhou Automobile Group (2238 HK) targets a 10% return.

Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.


Great Wall Motor (2333 HK) Vs. Guangzhou Automobile (2238 HK): Quant Pair Trade Targeting 10%

<ul><li>Maintain BUY. Despite the GPM miss in 3Q25, Great Wall is poised to achieve its all-time high sales volume in FY25E with efficient cost controls on SG&amp;A and R&amp;D.</li><li>We also project its FY26E sales volume to rise 16% YoY to 1.57mn units, the highest growth since FY17.</li><li>We expect Tank to continue being the foundation of Great Wall’s resilient earnings, with Wey and Ora being sales drivers in FY26E.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain BUY. Despite the GPM miss in 3Q25, Great Wall is poised to achieve its all-time high sales volume in FY25E with efficient cost controls on SG&amp;A and R&amp;D.We also project its FY26E sales volume to rise 16% YoY to 1.57mn units, the highest growth since FY17.We expect Tank to continue being the foundation of Great Wall’s resilient earnings, with Wey and Ora being sales drivers in FY26E.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Great Wall Motor (2333 HK/601633 CH) - Stronger FY26 Sales Outlook Despite 3Q GPM Miss

China

Great Wall Motor is a Chinese automobile manufacturer specializing in the design, development, production, and sale of a diverse range of vehicles, including SUVs, pickup trucks, sedans, and new energy vehicles under various brands. The company also produces automotive parts and components. It was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Baoding, Hebei, China.

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Great Wall Motor (2333 HK)

Quiddity A/H Premium Tracker (To Oct20): Volatility Up Further, Wide Spreads Even Wider. Messy²

The Quiddity A/H Premium Tracker. Tables, Charts, Flows, Positions (both SB and NB). This week was AGAIN messy. Pairwise volatility is up. universe...

Travis Lundy