Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 4 additions for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-gold-miners-etf-usa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32924:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Gold Miners ETF/USA (GDX US)</a> in March. Plus a whole bunch of float and capping changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 7.5% and that leads to a round-trip trade of US$5.1bn. There are many stocks with multiple days of ADV to trade from passive trackers.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pan-american-silver-corp-ce7d7ca6-59e0-44f1-958f-e5b679750b06" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25937:1" rel="noopener">Pan American Silver</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/royal-gold-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11226:1" rel="noopener">Royal Gold</a> are deletions from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-junior-gold-miners-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32845:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF</a> while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/greatland-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:47602:1" rel="noopener">Greatland Resources (GGP AU)</a> is an inclusion to the ASX100 Index.</li>
</ul>


There are 4 additions for the VanEck Gold Miners ETF/USA (GDX US) in March. Plus a whole bunch of float and capping changes.
Estimated one-way turnover is 7.5% and that leads to a round-trip trade of US$5.1bn. There are many stocks with multiple days of ADV to trade from passive trackers.

Pan American Silver and Royal Gold are deletions from the VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF while Greatland Resources (GGP AU) is an inclusion to the ASX100 Index.


Gold Miners ETF (GDX US) March Rebalance: 4 Adds and US$5.1bn Trade

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>The MV Global Gold Miners index represents the performance of high and mid-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world.</li>
<li>There will be four ADDs for the March 2026 rebal event. We predicted two correctly and the other two were surprises.</li>
<li>We expect a one-way flow of US$2.7bn and a turnover of ~7.2% for March 2026. Most of this is recapping flows of the large caps.</li>
</ul>


The MV Global Gold Miners index represents the performance of high and mid-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world.
There will be four ADDs for the March 2026 rebal event. We predicted two correctly and the other two were surprises.
We expect a one-way flow of US$2.7bn and a turnover of ~7.2% for March 2026. Most of this is recapping flows of the large caps.


[Quiddity Index] MV Global Gold Miners Mar26 Rebal Results: Four ADDs; US$2.7bn One-Way

David Blennerhassett

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 4th May, published ~midday on the 8th May.</li>
<li>The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$767mn into "Diversified Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was A$265mn out of  "Diversified Metals". Net shorts increased A$2.8bn week-on-week.</li>
<li>Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/woodside-petroleum-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:177:1" rel="noopener">Woodside Petroleum (WPL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/woolworths-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:500:1" rel="noopener">Woolworths (WOW AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/james-hardie-industries-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10937:1" rel="noopener">James Hardie Industries Plc (JHX AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beach-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:795:1" rel="noopener">Beach Energy (BPT AU)</a>, and<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/idp-education-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1098:1" rel="noopener">IDP Education (IEL AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 4th May, published ~midday on the 8th May.
The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$767mn into "Diversified Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was A$265mn out of  "Diversified Metals". Net shorts increased A$2.8bn week-on-week.
Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: Woodside Petroleum (WPL AU), Woolworths (WOW AU), James Hardie Industries Plc (JHX AU), Beach Energy (BPT AU), andIDP Education (IEL AU).


Aussie Shorts [4 May 2026]: Woodside Petroleum, Woolworths, James Hardie, Beach Energy, IDP Edu.

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vault-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46317:1" rel="noopener">Vault Minerals Ltd (VAU AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/regis-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20106:1" rel="noopener">Regis Resources (RRL AU)</a> entered into a merger through a scheme of arrangement. The consideration is 0.6937 RRL shares per VAU share.</li>
<li>The deal is largely about chasing scale rather than about operational synergies. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genesis-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4650:1" rel="noopener">Genesis Minerals (GMD AU)</a>, the long-rumoured suitor for Vault, is unlikely to get involved. </li>
<li>The key condition is Vault shareholder approval. The scheme vote is low risk due to a fair merger exchange ratio and benign shareholder structure.</li>
</ul>



Vault Minerals Ltd (VAU AU) and Regis Resources (RRL AU) entered into a merger through a scheme of arrangement. The consideration is 0.6937 RRL shares per VAU share.
The deal is largely about chasing scale rather than about operational synergies. Genesis Minerals (GMD AU), the long-rumoured suitor for Vault, is unlikely to get involved. 
The key condition is Vault shareholder approval. The scheme vote is low risk due to a fair merger exchange ratio and benign shareholder structure.


Vault Minerals (VAU AU): Regis Resources’ Strategically Sensible Merger

<ul>
<li>Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 23rd March, published ~9AM on the 27th March.</li>
<li>The largest industry net increase in the past week was into "Healthcare Distributors"; the largest industry net decrease was out of "Diversified Metals &amp; Mining". Net shorts declined A$2.3bn week-on-week.</li>
<li>Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pilbara-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7460:1" rel="noopener">Pilbara Minerals (PLS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sigma-healthcare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15966:1" rel="noopener">Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yancoal-australia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4145:1" rel="noopener">Yancoal Australia (YAL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lotus-resources-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13978:1" rel="noopener">Lotus Resources (LOT AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/treasury-wine-estates-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:710:1" rel="noopener">Treasury Wine Estates (TWE AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 23rd March, published ~9AM on the 27th March.
The largest industry net increase in the past week was into "Healthcare Distributors"; the largest industry net decrease was out of "Diversified Metals &amp; Mining". Net shorts declined A$2.3bn week-on-week.
Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: Pilbara Minerals (PLS AU), Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU), Yancoal Australia (YAL AU), Lotus Resources (LOT AU), and Treasury Wine Estates (TWE AU).


Aussie Shorts (23rd Mar 2026): Pilbara Minerals, Sigma Healthcare, Yancoal, Treasury Wine Estates

Australia

Greatland Resources Limited operates as a gold and copper mining company. The company owns a 100% interest in the Telfer gold-copper mine located in the Paterson region of Western Australia; and in the Havieron brownfield development project, a gold-copper deposit located in Western Australia, as well as owns various exploration projects across Western Australia.

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Greatland Resources (GGP AU)

Gold Miners ETF (GDX US) March Rebalance: 4 Adds and US$5.1bn Trade

The index rebalances at the close today. With gold trading lower since rebalance announcement and another big down move overnight (though off the...

Brian Freitas

[Quiddity Index] MV Global Gold Miners Mar26 Rebal Results: Four ADDs; US$2.7bn One-Way

The MV Global Gold Miners Index saw 4 ADDs and sees US$2.7bn one-way of flows or about 7.2% turnover. That is as expected, but 2 of the 4 ADDs were...

Travis Lundy

Aussie Shorts [4 May 2026]: Woodside Petroleum, Woolworths, James Hardie, Beach Energy, IDP Edu.

The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$767mn into "Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was A$265mn out of "Metals". Net...

David Blennerhassett

Vault Minerals (VAU AU): Regis Resources’ Strategically Sensible Merger

The deal is largely about chasing scale rather than about operational synergies. The scheme vote is low risk due to a fair merger exchange ratio...

Arun George

Aussie Shorts (23rd Mar 2026): Pilbara Minerals, Sigma Healthcare, Yancoal, Treasury Wine Estates

As at the 23rd March 2026, total shares short amounted to ~A$52.2bn down~A$2.3bn in the past week. The largest industry net increase in the past...

David Blennerhassett

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