Forensic Analyst, Trudence Capital Advisors

Nitin Mangal

Forensic Analyst

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Shares of city gas distribution players such as MAHGL, IGL, GUJGA and IRMENERG are down in the last one month.</li>
<li>This comes after the government's decision to reduce APM gas allocation towards CNG from 70% to 50%. </li>
<li>MAHGL, IGL due to high concentration towards CNG would be most impacted and would need price hikes. GUJGA and IRMENERG are less exposed due to high proportion of Industrial demand.</li>
</ul>


Shares of city gas distribution players such as MAHGL, IGL, GUJGA and IRMENERG are down in the last one month.
This comes after the government's decision to reduce APM gas allocation towards CNG from 70% to 50%. 
MAHGL, IGL due to high concentration towards CNG would be most impacted and would need price hikes. GUJGA and IRMENERG are less exposed due to high proportion of Industrial demand.


CGD Allocation Reduction- Decoding the Impact

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>SEBI has overhauled F&amp;O eligibility criteria, introducing stricter norms for stock inclusion and exclusion for more active stocks. </li>
<li>As per calculation, New criteria will include 80 stocks and exclude 18 to 23, impacting market liquidity and stability.</li>
<li>This will lead to the creation of a more robust, transparent, and liquid for the F&amp;O Market.</li>
</ul>


SEBI has overhauled F&amp;O eligibility criteria, introducing stricter norms for stock inclusion and exclusion for more active stocks. 
As per calculation, New criteria will include 80 stocks and exclude 18 to 23, impacting market liquidity and stability.
This will lead to the creation of a more robust, transparent, and liquid for the F&amp;O Market.


SEBI's F&O Criteria Revision & Its Impact

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited is an Indian diversified financial services firm offering a range of financial products and services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Gujarat Gas has announced a scheme of amalgamation and arrangement, under which Gujarat State Petroleum Corp.</li><li>(GSPC), Gujarat State Petronet (GUJS) and GSPC Energy (GEL) will merge with Gujarat Gas.</li><li>This will be followed by the merged entity de-merging the transmission business into a new entity, GSPL Transmission Limited (GTL).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Gujarat Gas has announced a scheme of amalgamation and arrangement, under which Gujarat State Petroleum Corp.(GSPC), Gujarat State Petronet (GUJS) and GSPC Energy (GEL) will merge with Gujarat Gas.This will be followed by the merged entity de-merging the transmission business into a new entity, GSPL Transmission Limited (GTL).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Gujarat Gas - Merger to Unlock Value for GUJGA and GUJS

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Cummins: Cummins India Ltd (CIL) reported in-line/below performance vs consensus/our estimates with revenue/EBITDA/APAT missing our estimates by 7/13/12%</li><li>Domestic business grew 12% YoY whilst exports declined 22% on the back of weak overseas demand.</li><li>CPCB 4+ implementation seems to be a game changer as it forces demand to move from commodity players to technology players and opens up service opportunities</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cummins: Cummins India Ltd (CIL) reported in-line/below performance vs consensus/our estimates with revenue/EBITDA/APAT missing our estimates by 7/13/12%Domestic business grew 12% YoY whilst exports declined 22% on the back of weak overseas demand.CPCB 4+ implementation seems to be a game changer as it forces demand to move from commodity players to technology players and opens up service opportunitiesContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Cummins, Lupin, Shree Cement, Gujarat Gas, Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We believe a 1-4-month pullback/consolidation is ongoing, and we would look for an important low to be made near the U.S. election.</li>
<li>Supports to watch continue to be $110 on $ACWI and $41-42 on MSCI EM $EEM, and whether these levels hold or not will determine the severity of the pullback.</li>
<li>Primary reasons for this bearish expectation include major bullish RS inflections for defensive Sectors, and bearish price action in the U.S. (SPX), Japan (TOPIX/Nikkei 225), and Europe (EURO STOXX 50)</li>
</ul>


We believe a 1-4-month pullback/consolidation is ongoing, and we would look for an important low to be made near the U.S. election.
Supports to watch continue to be $110 on $ACWI and $41-42 on MSCI EM $EEM, and whether these levels hold or not will determine the severity of the pullback.
Primary reasons for this bearish expectation include major bullish RS inflections for defensive Sectors, and bearish price action in the U.S. (SPX), Japan (TOPIX/Nikkei 225), and Europe (EURO STOXX 50)


Pullback Continues $ACWI; Stick With Defensives; More Countries With Improving Price and RS Trends

India

Gujarat Gas Limited provides natural gas. The Company supplies piped natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. Gujarat Gas serves customers in India.

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Gujarat Gas Ltd (GUJGA IN)

CGD Allocation Reduction- Decoding the Impact

Shares of CGD players are down due to government reducing APM gas allocation for CNG, impacting MAHGL and IGL the most while GUJGA and IRMENERG...

Nitin Mangal

SEBI's F&O Criteria Revision & Its Impact

SEBI introduces stricter F&O eligibility criteria, impacting market liquidity and stability by including 80 stocks and excluding 18 to 23. #SEBI...

Nimish Maheshwari

Gujarat Gas - Merger to Unlock Value for GUJGA and GUJS

We maintain our BUY rating on Gujarat Gas with a TP of INR715. While 2QFY25 volume momentum is expected to be weak QoQ amid high spot LNG prices...

Motilal Oswal

HSIE Results Daily: Cummins, Lupin, Shree Cement, Gujarat Gas, Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail

Cummins India Ltd (CIL) reported in-line/below performance vs consensus/our estimates with revenue/EBITDA/APAT missing our estimates by 7/13/12%

HDFC Securities

Pullback Continues $ACWI; Stick With Defensives; More Countries With Improving Price and RS Trends

Pullback Continues $ACWI; Stick With Defensives. We continue to believe a 1- to 4-month pullback/consolidation is ongoing, and would look for an...

Vermilion Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

CGD Allocation Reduction- Decoding the Impact

​Shares of CGD players are down due to government reducing APM gas allocation for CNG, impacting MAHGL and IGL the most while GUJGA and IRMENERG...

Nitin Mangal

SEBI's F&O Criteria Revision & Its Impact

​SEBI introduces stricter F&O eligibility criteria, impacting market liquidity and stability by including 80 stocks and excluding 18 to 23. #SEBI...

Nimish Maheshwari

Gujarat Gas - Merger to Unlock Value for GUJGA and GUJS

We maintain our BUY rating on Gujarat Gas with a TP of INR715. While 2QFY25 volume momentum is expected to be weak QoQ amid high spot LNG prices...

Motilal Oswal

HSIE Results Daily: Cummins, Lupin, Shree Cement, Gujarat Gas, Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail

Cummins India Ltd (CIL) reported in-line/below performance vs consensus/our estimates with revenue/EBITDA/APAT missing our estimates by 7/13/12%

HDFC Securities

Pullback Continues $ACWI; Stick With Defensives; More Countries With Improving Price and RS Trends

Pullback Continues $ACWI; Stick With Defensives. We continue to believe a 1- to 4-month pullback/consolidation is ongoing, and would look for an...

Vermilion Research

Shares of CGD players are down due to government reducing APM gas allocation for CNG, impacting MAHGL and IGL the most while GUJGA and IRMENERG...

SEBI introduces stricter F&O eligibility criteria, impacting market liquidity and stability by including 80 stocks and excluding 18 to 23. #SEBI...