IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bright-smart-securities-and" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20511:1" rel="noopener">Bright Smart Securities And (1428 HK)</a> is in a trading halt “<em>pursuant to the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers, which constitutes inside information of the Company.</em>”</li>
<li>It is likely that Mr Lum, the founder and chairman, has entered a sale and purchase agreement to sell his controlling stake, which would trigger a mandatory general offer (MGO).   </li>
<li>The shares are at an all-time high and have a P/B multiple that is a material premium to peers. The MGO price is likely to be lower than last close.</li>
</ul>



Bright Smart Securities And (1428 HK) is in a trading halt “pursuant to the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers, which constitutes inside information of the Company.”
It is likely that Mr Lum, the founder and chairman, has entered a sale and purchase agreement to sell his controlling stake, which would trigger a mandatory general offer (MGO).   
The shares are at an all-time high and have a P/B multiple that is a material premium to peers. The MGO price is likely to be lower than last close.


Bright Smart Securities (1428 HK): A Takeunder MGO?

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 150 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 86.7% as of April 4th. </li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 1.6ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Joinn Lab, Beigene, Qinhuangdao Port, Sichuan Expressway.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 150 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 86.7% as of April 4th. 
The average A-H premium changed by 1.6ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Joinn Lab, Beigene, Qinhuangdao Port, Sichuan Expressway.


A-H Premium Weekly (Apr 4th): Joinn Lab, Beigene, Qinhuangdao Port, Sichuan Expressway

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 150 stocks over the last week.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium was 85.0% as of Mar 28th. The average A-H premium changed by 1.8ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, communication services, financials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Great Wall Motor, China Oilfield Services, Tsingtao Brewery, Cmoc, Xinhua Winshare Publishing And Media.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 150 stocks over the last week.
The average A-H premium was 85.0% as of Mar 28th. The average A-H premium changed by 1.8ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, communication services, financials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Great Wall Motor, China Oilfield Services, Tsingtao Brewery, Cmoc, Xinhua Winshare Publishing And Media.


A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 28th): Great Wall Motor, China Oilfield Services, Tsingtao Brewery, Cmoc

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>When the Starwood/Warburg Pincus Consortium announced a firm offer on the 4th December, it was pre-conditional on a raft of regulatory approvals from no less than eight countries/jurisdictions. </li>
<li>We're half way there, with four approvals now squared away, leaving Australia, China, Hong Kong and New Zealand still to give the go ahead. </li>
<li>Irrevocables comprising 34.26% of the register (and 57.01% of disinterested shares) are now in the bag. This is a done deal. It's just a question of timing.</li>
</ul>


When the Starwood/Warburg Pincus Consortium announced a firm offer on the 4th December, it was pre-conditional on a raft of regulatory approvals from no less than eight countries/jurisdictions. 
We're half way there, with four approvals now squared away, leaving Australia, China, Hong Kong and New Zealand still to give the go ahead. 
Irrevocables comprising 34.26% of the register (and 57.01% of disinterested shares) are now in the bag. This is a done deal. It's just a question of timing.


Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>AH Premia continue to fall. Spread curve torsion reverses again with narrow premia trades seeing Hs perform the best. </li>
<li>Warning signs are starting to flash on spreads. This week I have the biggest week of changes recommended that I have <em>ever</em> had. By a long ways.</li>
<li>This week threatens to be a very strange week geopolitically. Being smaller in crowded trades is probably a good thing.</li>
</ul>


AH Premia continue to fall. Spread curve torsion reverses again with narrow premia trades seeing Hs perform the best. 
Warning signs are starting to flash on spreads. This week I have the biggest week of changes recommended that I have ever had. By a long ways.
This week threatens to be a very strange week geopolitically. Being smaller in crowded trades is probably a good thing.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 28 Feb 2025):  AH Premia Continue to Fall; Expect Widening

China

Guolian Securities Co. Ltd. offers financial services. The Company provides securities brokerage, asset management, securities investment, margin trading, share transfer agency, and other financial services.

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Guolian Securities Co Ltd H (1456 HK)

Bright Smart Securities (1428 HK): A Takeunder MGO?

It is likely that Mr Lum, the founder, has entered a sale and purchase agreement to sell his controlling stake, which would trigger an MGO.

Arun George

A-H Premium Weekly (Apr 4th): Joinn Lab, Beigene, Qinhuangdao Port, Sichuan Expressway

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Joinn Lab, Beigene, Qinhuangdao Port, Sichuan Expressway.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 28th): Great Wall Motor, China Oilfield Services, Tsingtao Brewery, Cmoc

We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Great Wall Motor, China Oilfield Services, Tsingtao Brewery, Cmoc, Xinhua Winshare Publishing And...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ESR (1821 HK) Chips Away At Pre-Cons

Four of the eight key pre-conditions are now in the bag. And irrevocable undertakings have also been bolstered. This is a done deal. It’s just a...

David Blennerhassett

A/H Premium Tracker (To 28 Feb 2025): AH Premia Continue to Fall; Expect Widening

AH Premia are again at a 5yr low. Liquid Hs outperform illiquids with wider spreads. Trades are getting crowded. Biggest slew of recommendations in...

Travis Lundy

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