Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight flows of Tencent (700 HK), Meituan (3690 HK), CCB (939 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK), BYD (1211 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight flows of Tencent (700 HK), Meituan (3690 HK), CCB (939 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK), BYD (1211 HK).


Hong Kong Connect Flows (June): Inflows Accelerated, Xiaomi/Tencent Profit Taking Continued

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes up to US$17+bn a day this past 5-day week. Net buying strong at +US$700mm a day.</li>
<li>Among the top buys as a percentage of volume, FINANCIALS stood out, dramatically. Again. Neither INFO TECH nor Tencent were the big sells this week. </li>
<li>The data tables below update on a daily basis in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Monitor</a> are both there free for SK readers. Technical issue delayed this week's Monitor.</li>
</ul>


Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes up to US$17+bn a day this past 5-day week. Net buying strong at +US$700mm a day.
Among the top buys as a percentage of volume, FINANCIALS stood out, dramatically. Again. Neither INFO TECH nor Tencent were the big sells this week. 
The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor and AH Monitor are both there free for SK readers. Technical issue delayed this week's Monitor.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 27 June 2025); Volumes Up, Net Buying Up, Banks Bought, SOEs Sold

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 27th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for CCB, SMIC, Meituan, Guotai Junan Intl, CMB, Tencent, Alibaba, Xiaomi, BOC, Petrochina.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 27th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for CCB, SMIC, Meituan, Guotai Junan Intl, CMB, Tencent, Alibaba, Xiaomi, BOC, Petrochina.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Jun 27th): CCB, SMIC, Meituan, Guotai Junan Intl, CMB, Tencent, Alibaba

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

Bright Smart Securities & Commodities / Equity Bottom-Up

Bright Smart Securities & Commodities (1428 HK)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bright-smart-securities-and" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20511:1" rel="noopener">Bright Smart Securities (1428 HK)</a> will benefit from Ant Financial's technology innovation capabilities, customer group, digitalisation, and cross-selling to over 640m of Alipay users.</li>
<li>With <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/futu-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27858:1" rel="noopener">Futu Holdings Ltd (FUTU US)</a> having an average PER of 19x for 2020-2025, we use 15x for BSS after a conservative estimate of 50% earnings growth in 5 years. </li>
<li>We value BSS at HK$8.13, but this is a conservative estimate. Its earnings growth is likely to be faster than our forecast, given its better leverage on the new parent.  </li>
</ul>



Bright Smart Securities (1428 HK) will benefit from Ant Financial's technology innovation capabilities, customer group, digitalisation, and cross-selling to over 640m of Alipay users.
With Futu Holdings Ltd (FUTU US) having an average PER of 19x for 2020-2025, we use 15x for BSS after a conservative estimate of 50% earnings growth in 5 years. 
We value BSS at HK$8.13, but this is a conservative estimate. Its earnings growth is likely to be faster than our forecast, given its better leverage on the new parent.  


Bright Smart (1428 HK): An Attempt to Derive a Value

<ul>
<li>The offer price of HK$3.28 by Ant Financial is attractive - 2.9x P/B and 8.3x PER, both on 12-month forward basis. It is also appealing relative to peers.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bright-smart-securities-and" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20511:1" rel="noopener">Bright Smart Securities (1428 HK)</a>'s massive outperformance against the HSI showed its strong marketing and execution capabilities. Ant Financial will bring many synergies to it.  </li>
<li>Risk-Averse investors may take this opportunity to cash out, but we are on the long-term bull camp and prefer to hold for further upside. </li>
</ul>


The offer price of HK$3.28 by Ant Financial is attractive - 2.9x P/B and 8.3x PER, both on 12-month forward basis. It is also appealing relative to peers.

Bright Smart Securities (1428 HK)'s massive outperformance against the HSI showed its strong marketing and execution capabilities. Ant Financial will bring many synergies to it.  
Risk-Averse investors may take this opportunity to cash out, but we are on the long-term bull camp and prefer to hold for further upside. 


Bright Smart (1428 HK): To Sell or Not to Sell?

Hong Kong

Guotai Junan International is an integrated financial service provider offering wealth management, institutional investor services, corporate finance, and investment management. Its diverse offerings include brokerage, asset management, and digital asset trading. The company was established in Hong Kong in 1993 and is headquartered there.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Guotai Junan International (1788 HK)

Hong Kong Connect Flows (June): Inflows Accelerated, Xiaomi/Tencent Profit Taking Continued

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for June and highlighted flows for Tencent (700 HK), Meituan (3690 HK), CCB (939 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 27 June 2025); Volumes Up, Net Buying Up, Banks Bought, SOEs Sold

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND volumes rose 20+% week-on-week to be the strongest week in a while. Net buying was strong too at HK$28bn. Broad-based volumes...

Travis Lundy

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Jun 27th): CCB, SMIC, Meituan, Guotai Junan Intl, CMB, Tencent, Alibaba

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for CCB, SMIC, Meituan, Guotai Junan Intl, CMB, Tencent,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Bright Smart (1428 HK): An Attempt to Derive a Value

Bright Smart benefits from Ant Financial's technology and customer base, with potentially faster-than-forecast growth. At a 50% 5-year growth and...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Bright Smart (1428 HK): To Sell or Not to Sell?

Ant Financial's attractive offer price of HK$3.28 for Bright Smart is appealing relative to peers, and is at a good premium to historical P/B and...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Hong Kong Connect Flows (June): Inflows Accelerated, Xiaomi/Tencent Profit Taking Continued

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for June and highlighted flows for Tencent (700 HK), Meituan (3690 HK), CCB (939 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 27 June 2025); Volumes Up, Net Buying Up, Banks Bought, SOEs Sold

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND volumes rose 20+% week-on-week to be the strongest week in a while. Net buying was strong too at HK$28bn. Broad-based volumes...

Travis Lundy

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Jun 27th): CCB, SMIC, Meituan, Guotai Junan Intl, CMB, Tencent, Alibaba

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for CCB, SMIC, Meituan, Guotai Junan Intl, CMB, Tencent,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Bright Smart (1428 HK): An Attempt to Derive a Value

​Bright Smart benefits from Ant Financial's technology and customer base, with potentially faster-than-forecast growth. At a 50% 5-year growth and...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Bright Smart (1428 HK): To Sell or Not to Sell?

​Ant Financial's attractive offer price of HK$3.28 for Bright Smart is appealing relative to peers, and is at a good premium to historical P/B and...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Bright Smart benefits from Ant Financial's technology and customer base, with potentially faster-than-forecast growth. At a 50% 5-year growth and...

Ant Financial's attractive offer price of HK$3.28 for Bright Smart is appealing relative to peers, and is at a good premium to historical P/B and...