Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Fleet renewal tailwind: With an aging VLCC fleet (12.8 years average) and a lean orderbook (~9% of fleet), shipowners are incentivized to contract new tonnage.</li>
<li>Regional differentiation: Korean yards dominate (~50% share, with listed exposure via Hanwha Aerospace, HD Hyundai, Samsung HI), China anchors volumes through CSSC, while Japan remains niche and unlisted.</li>
<li>Cyclical caveat: Today’s high TCEs ($90k/day peaks) may not last; over-ordering could set up a 2028 glut, making VLCCs a cyclical rather than structural growth story.</li>
</ul>


Fleet renewal tailwind: With an aging VLCC fleet (12.8 years average) and a lean orderbook (~9% of fleet), shipowners are incentivized to contract new tonnage.
Regional differentiation: Korean yards dominate (~50% share, with listed exposure via Hanwha Aerospace, HD Hyundai, Samsung HI), China anchors volumes through CSSC, while Japan remains niche and unlisted.
Cyclical caveat: Today’s high TCEs ($90k/day peaks) may not last; over-ordering could set up a 2028 glut, making VLCCs a cyclical rather than structural growth story.


VLCC Shipbuilding: Aging Fleet, Lean Orderbook, and Renewal Momentum

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Sep 19th. The aggregated holding was USD718.2bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD2,529mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, Samsung Elec (PREF), HYBE, Kakao.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Sep 19th. The aggregated holding was USD718.2bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD2,529mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, Samsung Elec (PREF), HYBE, Kakao.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 19th): Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, Samsung Elec (PREF), HYBE

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Sep 12th. The aggregated holding was USD694.4bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,835mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in SK Hynix, Hanwha Ocean, Samsung Electronics, kakaopay, HANWHA AEROSPACE.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Sep 12th. The aggregated holding was USD694.4bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,835mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in SK Hynix, Hanwha Ocean, Samsung Electronics, kakaopay, HANWHA AEROSPACE.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 12th): SK Hynix, Hanwha Ocean, Samsung Electronics, Kakaopay

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanwha-systems-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28308:1" rel="noopener">Hanwha Systems Co Ltd (272210 KS)</a> will be added to the MarketVector Global Defense Industry Index at the close on 19 September.</li>
<li>The constituent change, float changes and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover of 3.1% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$437m.</li>
<li>Inflows to the tracking ETF have slowed down but there could be more inflows after a period of consolidation in the underlying stocks.</li>
</ul>



Hanwha Systems Co Ltd (272210 KS) will be added to the MarketVector Global Defense Industry Index at the close on 19 September.
The constituent change, float changes and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover of 3.1% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$437m.
Inflows to the tracking ETF have slowed down but there could be more inflows after a period of consolidation in the underlying stocks.


MV Global Defense Industry Index Rebalance: Hanwha Systems Added as Stocks Play Offence

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Sep 5th. The aggregated holding was USD644.3bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD33mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, NAVER, HYUNDAI ROTEM, Mobis.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Sep 5th. The aggregated holding was USD644.3bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD33mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, NAVER, HYUNDAI ROTEM, Mobis.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 5th): SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, NAVER, HYUNDAI ROTEM, Mobis

South Korea

Hanwha Aerospace Co., Ltd. operates as an aircraft parts manufacturing company. The Company produces and sells aircraft gas turbine engine products, aircraft compressors, low pressure turbines, and other products. Hanwha Aerospace markets its products worldwide.

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Hanwha Aerospace (012450 KS)

VLCC Shipbuilding: Aging Fleet, Lean Orderbook, and Renewal Momentum

Shipowners are motivated to contract new VLCC tonnage due to aging fleet and low orderbook, but caution is advised as high TCEs may not last....

Rahul Jain

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 19th): Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, Samsung Elec (PREF), HYBE

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, Samsung Elec...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 12th): SK Hynix, Hanwha Ocean, Samsung Electronics, Kakaopay

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in SK Hynix, Hanwha Ocean, Samsung Electronics,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

MV Global Defense Industry Index Rebalance: Hanwha Systems Added as Stocks Play Offence

Hanwha Systems will be added to the index. One-way turnover is 3.1% and the round-trip trade is US$437m. Most stocks are at or near new highs and...

Brian Freitas

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 5th): SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, NAVER, HYUNDAI ROTEM, Mobis

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, NAVER, HYUNDAI...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

VLCC Shipbuilding: Aging Fleet, Lean Orderbook, and Renewal Momentum

​Shipowners are motivated to contract new VLCC tonnage due to aging fleet and low orderbook, but caution is advised as high TCEs may not last....

Rahul Jain

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 19th): Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, Samsung Elec (PREF), HYBE

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, Samsung Elec...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 12th): SK Hynix, Hanwha Ocean, Samsung Electronics, Kakaopay

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in SK Hynix, Hanwha Ocean, Samsung Electronics,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

MV Global Defense Industry Index Rebalance: Hanwha Systems Added as Stocks Play Offence

Hanwha Systems will be added to the index. One-way turnover is 3.1% and the round-trip trade is US$437m. Most stocks are at or near new highs and...

Brian Freitas

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 5th): SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, NAVER, HYUNDAI ROTEM, Mobis

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, NAVER, HYUNDAI...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shipowners are motivated to contract new VLCC tonnage due to aging fleet and low orderbook, but caution is advised as high TCEs may not last....