Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The proposed bill fully closes the treasury-share loopholes, bans all exchangeable/pledge uses, blocks M&amp;A allocations, and imposes strict cancellation deadlines—1 year for new buys, 6 months for existing.</li>
<li>The amendment tightens disposal rules: no cancellation means pro-rata sales to existing shareholders only, shutting down selective deals and closing the wide-open disposal gap under current law.</li>
<li>The proposal is far tougher than expected, likely to become the final version, and should drive a near-term mandatory-cancel narrative and notable price action in governance-sensitive holding-co names.</li>
</ul>


The proposed bill fully closes the treasury-share loopholes, bans all exchangeable/pledge uses, blocks M&amp;A allocations, and imposes strict cancellation deadlines—1 year for new buys, 6 months for existing.
The amendment tightens disposal rules: no cancellation means pro-rata sales to existing shareholders only, shutting down selective deals and closing the wide-open disposal gap under current law.
The proposal is far tougher than expected, likely to become the final version, and should drive a near-term mandatory-cancel narrative and notable price action in governance-sensitive holding-co names.


Ruling Party Unveils Key Details of 3rd Commercial Act Amendment: Mandatory Treasury-Share Disposal

HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering / Event-Driven

HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering (009540 KS)

HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering

<ul>
<li>Market sniffing policy push; low-float names flagged as junk risk with skewed control. Desks circling, Palliser hit early—LG Chem trade popped, timing spot on.</li>
<li>Trade setup: screen &gt;₩1tn caps with low float, parent stakes 60–80%. Policy push likely forces stake cuts, driving float higher and squeezing NAV discounts—LG Chem shows the play.</li>
<li>Screening &gt;₩1tn caps flags 11 names: parents hold 60–80%. All potential stake-sale plays to boost float, squeeze NAV discount.</li>
</ul>


Market sniffing policy push; low-float names flagged as junk risk with skewed control. Desks circling, Palliser hit early—LG Chem trade popped, timing spot on.
Trade setup: screen &gt;₩1tn caps with low float, parent stakes 60–80%. Policy push likely forces stake cuts, driving float higher and squeezing NAV discounts—LG Chem shows the play.
Screening &gt;₩1tn caps flags 11 names: parents hold 60–80%. All potential stake-sale plays to boost float, squeeze NAV discount.


Korea’s Next Policy Play: NAV Discount Squeeze on Low‑Float Large Caps

<ul>
<li>PLUS High Dividend ETF (161510 KS) reshuffle is now a key flow catalyst: June saw GS E&amp;C and HD Hyundai out, Hyundai Motor in, with sharp one-day moves.</li>
<li>December review shaping up as 2-in/2-out: Seoul Guarantee (031210) and LG Corp (003550) in, Shinhan (055550) and KB (105560) out.</li>
<li>Passive flows: Shinhan/KB ~0.3–0.4x DTV, LG ~3x, Seoul Guarantee 5–6x. With AUM up 30% since June, upcoming adds face outsized passive impact.</li>
</ul>


PLUS High Dividend ETF (161510 KS) reshuffle is now a key flow catalyst: June saw GS E&amp;C and HD Hyundai out, Hyundai Motor in, with sharp one-day moves.
December review shaping up as 2-in/2-out: Seoul Guarantee (031210) and LG Corp (003550) in, Shinhan (055550) and KB (105560) out.
Passive flows: Shinhan/KB ~0.3–0.4x DTV, LG ~3x, Seoul Guarantee 5–6x. With AUM up 30% since June, upcoming adds face outsized passive impact.


Flagging a New Passive Flow Trading Opportunity Triggered by Korea’s Divvy Policy Momentum

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

<ul>
<li>HD Hyundai Robotics will raise 200 billion won ($144 million) valuing the company at 1.8 trillion won.</li>
<li>Korea Development Bank and KY PE will be investing 200 billion won in HD Hyundai Robotics through a redeemable convertible preference shares in September.</li>
<li>Our NAV valuation analysis of HD Hyundai suggests target price of 168,561 won per share, which represents a 27% upside from current levels.</li>
</ul>


HD Hyundai Robotics will raise 200 billion won ($144 million) valuing the company at 1.8 trillion won.
Korea Development Bank and KY PE will be investing 200 billion won in HD Hyundai Robotics through a redeemable convertible preference shares in September.
Our NAV valuation analysis of HD Hyundai suggests target price of 168,561 won per share, which represents a 27% upside from current levels.


HD Hyundai Robotics Raises 200 Billion Won and NAV Analysis of HD Hyundai

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Jul 11th. The aggregated holding was USD638.1bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD373mln. We tabulates the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Alteogen, Samsung Electronics.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Jul 11th. The aggregated holding was USD638.1bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD373mln. We tabulates the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Alteogen, Samsung Electronics.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 11th): Alteogen, Samsung Electronics

South Korea

HD Hyundai Co.,Ltd. operates as a oil refining company. The Company provides crude oil refining, petroleum refinery, and other related products. HD Hyundai markets its products worldwide.

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HD Hyundai (267250 KS)

Korea’s Next Policy Play: NAV Discount Squeeze on Low‑Float Large Caps

This post lays out a live watchlist for NAV discount traders as Korea’s policy narrative shifts to low‑float large caps.

Sanghyun Park

Flagging a New Passive Flow Trading Opportunity Triggered by Korea’s Divvy Policy Momentum

This post flags a new passive flow trade kicking in on Korea’s divvy policy momentum, with upcoming index reshuffles and strong dividend trends...

Sanghyun Park

HD Hyundai Robotics Raises 200 Billion Won and NAV Analysis of HD Hyundai

HD Hyundai Robotics will raise 200 billion won ($144 million) valuing the company at 1.8 trillion won. Korea Development Bank and KY PE will be...

Douglas Kim

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 11th): Alteogen, Samsung Electronics

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Alteogen, Samsung Electronics.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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Ruling Party Unveils Key Details of 3rd Commercial Act Amendment: Mandatory Treasury-Share Disposal

This post covers the full structure of the Ruling Party’s full 3rd Commercial Act amendment draft, outlining mandatory treasury-share disposal.

Sanghyun Park

Korea’s Next Policy Play: NAV Discount Squeeze on Low‑Float Large Caps

This post lays out a live watchlist for NAV discount traders as Korea’s policy narrative shifts to low‑float large caps.

Sanghyun Park

Flagging a New Passive Flow Trading Opportunity Triggered by Korea’s Divvy Policy Momentum

This post flags a new passive flow trade kicking in on Korea’s divvy policy momentum, with upcoming index reshuffles and strong dividend trends...

Sanghyun Park

HD Hyundai Robotics Raises 200 Billion Won and NAV Analysis of HD Hyundai

HD Hyundai Robotics will raise 200 billion won ($144 million) valuing the company at 1.8 trillion won. Korea Development Bank and KY PE will be...

Douglas Kim

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 11th): Alteogen, Samsung Electronics

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Alteogen, Samsung Electronics.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM