External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Numbers for catering sector did rebound strongly YoY, but since SSS/ table turnover recovery rate were not as good as expected, de-rating was massive in 1H23E.</li><li>After a disappointing 2Q23 plus worrying macro outlook, we downgrade the sector to MARKET-PERFORM as we see more downside in earnings.</li><li>However, as valuation turned more attractive, we can start to accumulate industry leaders. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Numbers for catering sector did rebound strongly YoY, but since SSS/ table turnover recovery rate were not as good as expected, de-rating was massive in 1H23E.After a disappointing 2Q23 plus worrying macro outlook, we downgrade the sector to MARKET-PERFORM as we see more downside in earnings.However, as valuation turned more attractive, we can start to accumulate industry leaders. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Catering Sector – Staying cautious after a disappointing 2Q23E

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>Although 5% GDP growth target for 2023 is at the low end of market speculation of 5.5-6%, we think this reflects the government's conservative stance amid post-COVID recovery. </li>
<li>A 0.2pp higher budget deficit and a special purpose bond quota of Rmb3.8trn suggested that government spending will stay as important economic driver.</li>
<li>Consumption is another major stimulus for economic growth, and more supportive measures will be rolled out - we have seen many cities planning to hand out consumption vouchers.</li>
</ul>


Although 5% GDP growth target for 2023 is at the low end of market speculation of 5.5-6%, we think this reflects the government's conservative stance amid post-COVID recovery. 
A 0.2pp higher budget deficit and a special purpose bond quota of Rmb3.8trn suggested that government spending will stay as important economic driver.
Consumption is another major stimulus for economic growth, and more supportive measures will be rolled out - we have seen many cities planning to hand out consumption vouchers.


China NPC: Implications of Government Working Report 2023

<ul>
<li>While China's U-turn on COVID policy is expected to bring consumption rebound in 2023, the near-term surge in infections will weigh negatively on retail sales in Dec and Jan.</li>
<li>Residents are spending more time at home in the first wave, with subways and shopping malls empty. We think this will cast negativity on 4Q22 and 1Q23 consumer discretionary profit.</li>
<li>It is prudent to take some monies off the table, particularly F&amp;B stocks like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haidilao-international-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27044:1" rel="noopener">Haidilao (6862 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiabuxiabu-catering-mgt-chn-hldgs-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:76:1" rel="noopener">Xiabuxiabu (520 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/helen-s-international-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34113:1" rel="noopener">Helen's (9869 HK)</a> which have almost doubled from trough.</li>
</ul>


While China's U-turn on COVID policy is expected to bring consumption rebound in 2023, the near-term surge in infections will weigh negatively on retail sales in Dec and Jan.
Residents are spending more time at home in the first wave, with subways and shopping malls empty. We think this will cast negativity on 4Q22 and 1Q23 consumer discretionary profit.
It is prudent to take some monies off the table, particularly F&amp;B stocks like Haidilao (6862 HK), Xiabuxiabu (520 HK) and Helen's (9869 HK) which have almost doubled from trough.


China COVID Policy: Near-Term Pains for Consumer Discretionary

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Jiwusiwei's all-round coverage strategy and offering high-profit products have demonstrated strong competitiveness in current period of restaurant differentiation, which enables Jiwusiwei to have stronger “buffering capacity” when consumption environment fluctuates.</li>
<li>The heavy reliance on core shopping districts in first-/second-tier cities, as well as the uncertainty of its expansion in lower-tier markets, could become bottlenecks that restrict its long-term development.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/helens-international-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34113:1" rel="noopener">Helens International Holdings (9869 HK)</a> is the comparable company. Given that Jiwusiwei outperforms Helens International Holdings in all aspects, its valuation should rightfully receive a significant premium.</li>
</ul>


Jiwusiwei's all-round coverage strategy and offering high-profit products have demonstrated strong competitiveness in current period of restaurant differentiation, which enables Jiwusiwei to have stronger “buffering capacity” when consumption environment fluctuates.
The heavy reliance on core shopping districts in first-/second-tier cities, as well as the uncertainty of its expansion in lower-tier markets, could become bottlenecks that restrict its long-term development.

Helens International Holdings (9869 HK) is the comparable company. Given that Jiwusiwei outperforms Helens International Holdings in all aspects, its valuation should rightfully receive a significant premium.


Pre-IPO Jiwusiwei - The Strength and the Concerns

Mid-market focused investment bank within SE Asia, Evolve Capital Advisory Pte Ltd

Evolve Capital Research

Mid-market focused investment bank within SE Asia

Evolve Capital Advisory Pte Ltd

Equity Bottom-Up

Goodwill Entertainment Holding / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goodwill-entertainment-holding-pte-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44296:1" rel="noopener">Goodwill Entertainment Holding (GWEH SP)</a> is a multi-entertainment concept operator, comprising a network of family friendly karaoke facilities with F&amp;B concepts, performance halls and dance clubs.</li>
<li>It operates under the brand names HaveFun Family Karaoke, FATEbyhavefun and HaveFun Live Show.</li>
<li>We maintain our BUY rating on GEH with a TP of S$0.22, pegged to 10.7x FY27E P/E, representing an upside of approximately 29.4%.</li>
</ul>



Goodwill Entertainment Holding (GWEH SP) is a multi-entertainment concept operator, comprising a network of family friendly karaoke facilities with F&amp;B concepts, performance halls and dance clubs.
It operates under the brand names HaveFun Family Karaoke, FATEbyhavefun and HaveFun Live Show.
We maintain our BUY rating on GEH with a TP of S$0.22, pegged to 10.7x FY27E P/E, representing an upside of approximately 29.4%.


Goodwill Entertainment Holding - 1H25 Earnings Update - Execution of Growth Initiatives Underway

China

Helens International Holdings Company Limited is an investment holding company primarily engaged in bar operations and franchise business, running one of the largest bar chain networks in China. It offers a product portfolio of own-branded alcoholic and non-alcoholic drinks, alongside third-party products, in its offline social spaces. The company was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Wuhan, People's Republic of China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Helens (9869 HK)

China Catering Sector – Staying cautious after a disappointing 2Q23E

Numbers for catering sector did rebound strongly YoY, but since SSS/ table turnover recovery rate were not as good as expected, de-rating was...

CMB International

China NPC: Implications of Government Working Report 2023

A 0.2pp higher budget deficit and a Rmb3.8trn special purpose bond quota suggested government spending will remain important economic driver. More...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China COVID Policy: Near-Term Pains for Consumer Discretionary

Near-term negative impact of China's U-turn in COVID policy on consumer discretionary has been underestimated by the market. It is prudent to take...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Pre-IPO Jiwusiwei - The Strength and the Concerns

Jiwusiwei's strong competitiveness in restaurant differentiation gives it a "buffering capacity" in fluctuating environments. However, uncertainty...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Goodwill Entertainment Holding - 1H25 Earnings Update - Execution of Growth Initiatives Underway

We maintain our BUY rating on GEH with a TP of S$0.22, pegged to 10.7x FY27E P/E, representing an upside of approximately 29.4%.

Evolve Capital Advisory Pte Ltd

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China Catering Sector – Staying cautious after a disappointing 2Q23E

Numbers for catering sector did rebound strongly YoY, but since SSS/ table turnover recovery rate were not as good as expected, de-rating was...

CMB International

China NPC: Implications of Government Working Report 2023

A 0.2pp higher budget deficit and a Rmb3.8trn special purpose bond quota suggested government spending will remain important economic driver. More...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China COVID Policy: Near-Term Pains for Consumer Discretionary

Near-term negative impact of China's U-turn in COVID policy on consumer discretionary has been underestimated by the market. It is prudent to take...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Pre-IPO Jiwusiwei - The Strength and the Concerns

​Jiwusiwei's strong competitiveness in restaurant differentiation gives it a "buffering capacity" in fluctuating environments. However, uncertainty...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Goodwill Entertainment Holding - 1H25 Earnings Update - Execution of Growth Initiatives Underway

We maintain our BUY rating on GEH with a TP of S$0.22, pegged to 10.7x FY27E P/E, representing an upside of approximately 29.4%.

Evolve Capital Advisory Pte Ltd

Jiwusiwei's strong competitiveness in restaurant differentiation gives it a "buffering capacity" in fluctuating environments. However, uncertainty...