Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>HESAI (HSAI) reported C2Q25 top line, non-GAAP operating profit and GAAP net income in-line, 143% and 6019% vs. our estimate. </li>
<li>ADS LiDAR shipment beat our estimate by 50%, growing 276% YoY and 108% QoQ; Robotic LiDAR grew 744% YoY and (2%) QoQ, beating our estimate by 32%; </li>
<li>Despite the ASP erosion, gross margin grew 2.2ppt YoY and 0.9ppt QoQ to 42.5%, missing our estimate by 0.5ppt. We reiterate our TOP BUY and raise TP to US$35.</li>
</ul>


HESAI (HSAI) reported C2Q25 top line, non-GAAP operating profit and GAAP net income in-line, 143% and 6019% vs. our estimate. 
ADS LiDAR shipment beat our estimate by 50%, growing 276% YoY and 108% QoQ; Robotic LiDAR grew 744% YoY and (2%) QoQ, beating our estimate by 32%; 
Despite the ASP erosion, gross margin grew 2.2ppt YoY and 0.9ppt QoQ to 42.5%, missing our estimate by 0.5ppt. We reiterate our TOP BUY and raise TP to US$35.


[Hesai Group (HSAI US, BUY, TP US$35) Review]: Rapid Cost Down Continued Driving Penetration

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

<ul>
<li>Hesai Group, one of the global leaders in the LiDAR and perception solutions market, completed its IPO in February 2023 and listed ADSs on the Nasdaq Global Select Market.</li>
<li>The stock peaked at $30+ during the first trading day and fell ~67% over the following 8 months as selling pressure intensified and investor sentiment worsened.</li>
<li>The stock has taken another leg down following U.S. DoD’s decision to include Hesai Group in 1260H list of Chinese military-linked companies. Hesai believes this inclusion is unjust and meritless.</li>
</ul>


Hesai Group, one of the global leaders in the LiDAR and perception solutions market, completed its IPO in February 2023 and listed ADSs on the Nasdaq Global Select Market.
The stock peaked at $30+ during the first trading day and fell ~67% over the following 8 months as selling pressure intensified and investor sentiment worsened.
The stock has taken another leg down following U.S. DoD’s decision to include Hesai Group in 1260H list of Chinese military-linked companies. Hesai believes this inclusion is unjust and meritless.


Hesai Group: Time To Cover Shorts As The Stock Found A Bottom and Delisting Risk Is Real

<ul>
<li>Hesai Group, a global leader in LiDAR solutions in the ADAS and robotics markets, forecasted hyper-growth and GAAP profitability for the full year of 2025.</li>
<li>The stock has bottomed in the low $4s (~0.3x 2025E EV/Revs) in 2024 and gained about 350%. Hesai Group currently trades at ~4x EV/2025E revenues, ~32% discount relative to RoboSense.</li>
<li>I believe that the market has already priced in growth acceleration (~58% y/y) scenario in 2025 along with GAAP profitability and 1M+ LiDAR shipments this year.</li>
</ul>


Hesai Group, a global leader in LiDAR solutions in the ADAS and robotics markets, forecasted hyper-growth and GAAP profitability for the full year of 2025.
The stock has bottomed in the low $4s (~0.3x 2025E EV/Revs) in 2024 and gained about 350%. Hesai Group currently trades at ~4x EV/2025E revenues, ~32% discount relative to RoboSense.
I believe that the market has already priced in growth acceleration (~58% y/y) scenario in 2025 along with GAAP profitability and 1M+ LiDAR shipments this year.


Hesai Group: Growth Acceleration Has Already Priced In While Upside May Be Limited

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>Hesai Group (HSAI) is one of the global leaders in three-dimensional light detection and ranging (LiDAR) solutions, and it has developed and produced a full range of LiDAR solutions and products for various applications in advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS), autonomous mobility (AM) and Robotics.</li><li>Aided by strong technical capability, including vertical integration technology and in-house manufacturing, HSAI is able to offer LiDAR products with greater performance, higher quality and consistency at lower cost, which enables it to enhance ties with core customers and enlarge the scale effect.</li><li>HSAI has already recorded industry-leading financial performance, and we are positive that it is poised to grow alongside the rising demand for LiDAR products. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Hesai Group (HSAI) is one of the global leaders in three-dimensional light detection and ranging (LiDAR) solutions, and it has developed and produced a full range of LiDAR solutions and products for various applications in advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS), autonomous mobility (AM) and Robotics.Aided by strong technical capability, including vertical integration technology and in-house manufacturing, HSAI is able to offer LiDAR products with greater performance, higher quality and consistency at lower cost, which enables it to enhance ties with core customers and enlarge the scale effect.HSAI has already recorded industry-leading financial performance, and we are positive that it is poised to grow alongside the rising demand for LiDAR products. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Hesai Group (HSAI US) - Road Towards Scalable Intelligent Driving Starts from Here; Initiate at BUY

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The global robotics industry is experiencing rapid growth as the combination of AI and manufacturing efficiency feed demand for robotic products. As a global robotics leader China's companies are benefiting.</li>
<li>Global robotics industry is projected to double over the next few years to over $150 billion by 2030.  China is the world's largest market for industrial robots.</li>
<li>China's leading robotics companies serve industrial industries like auto, equipment, and electronics, as well as service industries like healthcare, biotech, logistics, and hospitality.</li>
</ul>


The global robotics industry is experiencing rapid growth as the combination of AI and manufacturing efficiency feed demand for robotic products. As a global robotics leader China's companies are benefiting.
Global robotics industry is projected to double over the next few years to over $150 billion by 2030.  China is the world's largest market for industrial robots.
China's leading robotics companies serve industrial industries like auto, equipment, and electronics, as well as service industries like healthcare, biotech, logistics, and hospitality.


China Robotics: EVOLUTION OF THE HUMANOID RACE

United States

Hesai Group provides 3D light detection and ranging solutions. The Company's LiDAR products enables a broad spectrum of applications across passenger and commercial vehicles with advanced driver assistance systems, as well as autonomous vehicle fleets providing passenger and freight mobility services.

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Hesai Group (HSAI US)