Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Activist Strategic Capital has made shareholder noise at civil engineer-road infra company <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seikitokyu-kogyo-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7819:1" rel="noopener">Seikitokyu Kogyo (1898 JP)</a> for years. Two years ago I wrote about Seikitokyu as "A REALLY Cheap Company."</li>
<li>When I wrote, it was ¥885/share. 23 months later it was ¥824/share having paid ¥60/share over two years. <em>Despite having bought back 10% of shares outstanding in the interim.</em>
</li>
<li>Today they announced a radical new Shareholder Return Policy. It is worth reading in detail. The insight is labelled BEARISH for a specific reason. That's a detail too. </li>
</ul>


Activist Strategic Capital has made shareholder noise at civil engineer-road infra company Seikitokyu Kogyo (1898 JP) for years. Two years ago I wrote about Seikitokyu as "A REALLY Cheap Company."
When I wrote, it was ¥885/share. 23 months later it was ¥824/share having paid ¥60/share over two years. Despite having bought back 10% of shares outstanding in the interim.

Today they announced a radical new Shareholder Return Policy. It is worth reading in detail. The insight is labelled BEARISH for a specific reason. That's a detail too. 


JAPAN GOVERNANCE CHANGES III:  New Return Policy at Seikitokyu (1898) - To Be Copied Elsewhere?

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nojima-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9655:1" rel="noopener">Nojima Corp (7419 JP)</a> is buying out <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/conexio-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19064:1" rel="noopener">Conexio Corp (9422 JP)</a> majority owner <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/itochu-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18448:1" rel="noopener">Itochu Corp (8001 JP)</a> along with minorities. At a 59% premium, it looks good. </li>
<li>However, in terms of normalised EV/EBITDA or EV/FCF multiple, this is not expensive. </li>
<li>And while the major seller/target and friendlies are oh so close, the register is more interesting than the yuho top 10 shareholder list suggests. </li>
</ul>



Nojima Corp (7419 JP) is buying out Conexio Corp (9422 JP) majority owner Itochu Corp (8001 JP) along with minorities. At a 59% premium, it looks good. 
However, in terms of normalised EV/EBITDA or EV/FCF multiple, this is not expensive. 
And while the major seller/target and friendlies are oh so close, the register is more interesting than the yuho top 10 shareholder list suggests. 


Nojima (7419) Launches Buyout of Conexio (9422)

<ul>
<li>Last year, Aslead Capital tried a hostile partial tender offer on Fuji Kosan, perhaps to get in, or perhaps to try to trigger an overbid to exit. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fuji-kosan-company-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17867:1" rel="noopener">Fuji Kosan Company (5009 JP)</a> made life difficult for them, and Aslead backed down. Now the stock has fallen 25% from where they made their Tender Offer.</li>
<li>And now they are selling. That will leave ENEOS and SHIGETA Mitsutoki as the two largest shareholders.... 👀</li>
</ul>


Last year, Aslead Capital tried a hostile partial tender offer on Fuji Kosan, perhaps to get in, or perhaps to try to trigger an overbid to exit. 

Fuji Kosan Company (5009 JP) made life difficult for them, and Aslead backed down. Now the stock has fallen 25% from where they made their Tender Offer.
And now they are selling. That will leave ENEOS and SHIGETA Mitsutoki as the two largest shareholders.... 👀


Aslead To Exit Fuji Kosan, Leaving Would-Be Activist Shigeta-San

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/katakura-industries-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2007:1" rel="noopener">Katakura Industries (3001 JP)</a> MBO has been in danger since Day 1 as the shares have yet to trade below terms. It was cheap, but it was an exit.</li>
<li>The activist-ish investor who agreed to tender their shares into the MBO left themselves an out if another investor came over the top. One did. </li>
<li>The investor who came over the top has a brief history as "activist" on cash- and asset-rich smallcaps. We don't know yet where this will go.</li>
</ul>


The Katakura Industries (3001 JP) MBO has been in danger since Day 1 as the shares have yet to trade below terms. It was cheap, but it was an exit.
The activist-ish investor who agreed to tender their shares into the MBO left themselves an out if another investor came over the top. One did. 
The investor who came over the top has a brief history as "activist" on cash- and asset-rich smallcaps. We don't know yet where this will go.


Katakura (3001) Tender In Danger As New Player Displaces Activist Who Agreed To Tender

David Blennerhassett

<div>
<p>This insight provides a quick summary of gross/annualised (where possible) spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and how those spreads have changed over the last week; plus the next hard events over the coming weeks.</p>
<p>I number 36, mostly firm, deals around the region.</p>
<p>More below the fold.</p>
</div>


This insight provides a quick summary of gross/annualised (where possible) spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and how those spreads have changed over the last week; plus the next hard events over the coming weeks.
I number 36, mostly firm, deals around the region.
More below the fold.


Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: Beijing Capital Land, Suchuang Gas, Siam Dev, 1300Smiles

Japan

HIKARI TSUSHIN, INC. is a mobile telecommunication service subscription agency. The Company also operates telecommunication services stores, HIT SHOP, which sell cellular telephones, and related goods.  Hikari Tsushin also sells office automation equipment and insurance.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Hikari Tsushin (9435 JP)

JAPAN GOVERNANCE CHANGES III: New Return Policy at Seikitokyu (1898) - To Be Copied Elsewhere?

Seikitokyu Kogyo, after years of harassment by activist shareholder Stracap, has announced a new Shareholder Return policy - a 100% dividend payout...

Travis Lundy

Nojima (7419) Launches Buyout of Conexio (9422)

Cheap company Nojima is buying cheap company Conexio, cheaply. Itochu is selling it. It looks like a done deal but there is an outlying chance the...

Travis Lundy

Aslead To Exit Fuji Kosan, Leaving Would-Be Activist Shigeta-San

Aslead Capital is bailing on Fuji Kosan 11mos after launching a Tender Offer which failed because of the company's defense mechanism. This is...

Travis Lundy

Katakura (3001) Tender In Danger As New Player Displaces Activist Who Agreed To Tender

The Katakura Industries (3001) Tender Offer was not looking good until it finally dropped back 10 days ago. Late last week it started lifting off....

Travis Lundy

Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: Beijing Capital Land, Suchuang Gas, Siam Dev, 1300Smiles

This insight provides a quick summary of gross/annualised (where possible) spreads on 36 (mostly) firm deals as at the last trading date, and how...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)